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2020 United States Senate election in Virginia

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2020 United States Senate election in Virginia
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee Mark Warner Daniel Gade
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,468,089 1,934,306
Percentage 56.01% 43.89%
Warner:      20–30%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gade:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data
U.S. senator before election

Mark Warner
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mark Warner
Democratic

Elections in Virginia
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Virginia was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Mark Warner won reelection to a third term against Republican nominee Daniel Gade.

Of Virginia's 20 most populous counties and independent cities, Warner won 18, losing only Hanover and Spotsylvania.[1]

Background

[edit]

Incumbent Senator Mark Warner first won election in 2008 getting 65% of the vote over former Governor Jim Gilmore.[2] In 2014, during the Tea Party movement, and declining voter turnout, Senator Warner won re-election by a margin of 0.8% against former chair of the Republican National Committee Ed Gillespie.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Seven Republicans declared that they would compete in the race, but only three made the threshold of 3,500 signatures.[7][8] The original signature threshold was 10,000 signatures, but was lowered to 3,500 following a suit by Omari Faulkner.[9] The primary was on June 23.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Alissa Baldwin, teacher[11]
  • Thomas Speciale, U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer[12]

Failed to qualify

[edit]
  • Blaine Dunn, Frederick County supervisor[13]
  • Omari Faulkner, Navy reservist and former Georgetown University basketball player[14][9]
  • Roger Franklin[15]
  • Victor Williams, attorney and activist[16]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Daniel Gade

National party officials

U.S. representatives

State senators

State delegates

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Gade
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Gade 208,754 67.40%
Republican Alissa Baldwin 56,165 18.13%
Republican Thomas Speciale 44,795 14.46%
Total votes 309,714 100.0%

Independents

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Virginia's 2020 Senate election was widely considered to be a safe hold for Mark Warner, as pre-election polling showed a massive lead for Warner. Warner's razor-thin victory over Ed Gillespie six years earlier was widely considered to be a fluke owing to lowered turnout and complacency. On election day, Warner was declared the winner as soon as polls closed based on exit polling alone. The higher turnout is attributable to this election being held concurrently with the presidential election. Warner also notably outperformed Biden in the state, although narrowly.

Warner's victory was largely drawn from the DC Metropolitan area in north Virginia. This is the area that has shifted Virginia from a Republican stronghold in the early 2000s to a Democratic stronghold.

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Safe D October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[32] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[34] Safe D October 30, 2020
Politico[35] Safe D November 2, 2020
RCP[36] Likely D October 23, 2020
DDHQ[37] Safe D November 3, 2020
538[38] Safe D November 2, 2020
Economist[39] Safe D November 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Mark Warner (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Individuals

  • John Warner, former U.S. senator from Virginia (1979-2009) (Republican)[53]
Daniel Gade (R)

National party officials

U.S. representatives

State senators

State delegates

Individuals

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mark
Warner (D) 		Daniel
Gade (R) 		Other/
Undecided
Swayable[54][b] October 27 – November 1, 2020 283 (LV) ± 8.3% 61% 39% –
Data for Progress[55] October 27 – November 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 57% 42% 1%[c]
Roanoke College[56] October 23–29, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.4% 55% 39% 6%[d]
Christopher Newport University[57] October 15–27, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.4% 57% 37% 6%[e]
Swayable[58] October 23–26, 2020 332 (LV) ± 7.3% 60% 40% –
Virginia Commonwealth University[59] October 13–22, 2020 709 (LV) ± 4.93% 55% 38% 8%[f]
Schar School/Washington Post[60] October 13–19, 2020 908 (LV) ± 4% 57% 39% 4%[g]
Civiqs/Daily Kos[61] October 11–14, 2020 1,231 (LV) ± 3.1% 54% 43% 2%[h]
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College[62] September 30 – October 12, 2020 602 (LV) – 55% 38% 7%[i]
Roanoke College/Reconnect Research[63] September 30 – October 12, 2020 602 (LV) ± 5.4% 55% 38% 7%[i]
Cygnal (R)[64][j] October 9–11, 2020 607 (LV) – 51% 44% 5%[k]
Cygnal (R)[65][l][j] September 22–25, 2020 600 (LV) – 51% 41% –
Christopher Newport University[66] September 9–21, 2020 796 (LV) ± 3.9% 52% 39% 9%[m]
Virginia Commonwealth University[67][n] August 28 – September 7, 2020 692 (LV) ± 6.22% 55% 38% 6[o]
Roanoke College[68] August 9–22, 2020 566 (LV) ± 4.1% 55% 34% 10%[p]
Hypothetical polling

with Mark Warner and Generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mark
Warner (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Roanoke College[69] May 3–16, 2020 563 (LV) ± 4.1% 48% 31% – –

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Ipsos/University of Virginia[70] Feb 15–19, 2019 636 (A) ± 4.0% 43% 26% 2% 23%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Virginia, 2020[71][q]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Mark Warner (incumbent) 2,468,089 56.01% +6.86%
Republican Daniel Gade 1,934,306 43.89% −4.45%
Write-in 4,388 0.10% +0.02%
Total votes 4,406,783 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county and independent city

[edit]
By county and independent city
County / City Mark Warner
Democratic 		Daniel Gade
Republican 		Write-in Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Accomack 7,939 47.23 8,863 52.72 9 0.05 -924 -5.50 16,811
Albemarle 42,730 67.31 20,700 32.61 55 0.09 22,030 34.70 63,485
Alexandria 65,071 79.37 16,802 20.50 107 0.13 48,269 58.88 81,980
Alleghany 2,822 35.30 5,159 64.53 14 0.18 -2,337 -29.23 7,995
Amelia 2,559 32.67 5,266 67.23 8 0.10 -2,707 -34.56 7,833
Amherst 6,273 37.11 10,624 62.85 6 0.04 -4,351 -25.74 16,903
Appomattox 2,741 30.26 6,306 69.63 10 0.11 -3,565 -39.36 9,057
Arlington 102,880 79.37 26,590 20.51 154 0.12 76,290 58.85 129,624
Augusta 12,224 29.07 29,794 70.86 26 0.06 -17,570 -41.79 42,044
Bath 744 30.57 1,688 69.35 2 0.08 -944 -38.78 2,434
Bedford 13,872 28.71 34,407 71.21 39 0.08 -20,535 -42.53 48,279
Bland 732 21.62 2,651 78.29 3 0.09 -1,919 -56.72 3,383
Botetourt 6,512 31.43 14,190 68.49 15 0.07 -7,678 -37.06 20,717
Bristol 2,787 36.25 4,892 63.63 9 0.12 -2,105 -27.38 7,688
Brunswick 4,727 59.68 3,192 40.30 2 0.03 1,535 19.38 7,921
Buchanan 2,522 25.90 7,202 73.97 12 0.12 -4,680 -48.07 9,736
Buckingham 3,656 45.40 4,392 54.55 4 0.05 -736 -9.14 8,052
Buena Vista 1,020 37.13 1,724 62.76 3 0.11 -704 -25.63 2,747
Campbell 9,278 31.29 20,337 68.60 32 0.11 -11,059 -37.30 29,647
Caroline 8,124 50.23 8,036 49.68 14 0.09 88 0.54 16,174
Carroll 3,591 23.60 11,610 76.31 14 0.09 -8,019 -52.70 15,215
Charles City 2,700 61.29 1,704 38.68 1 0.02 996 22.61 4,405
Charlotte 2,522 40.95 3,633 59.00 3 0.05 -1,111 -18.04 6,158
Charlottesville 20,672 85.76 3,409 14.14 24 0.10 17,263 71.62 24,105
Chesapeake 68,129 53.90 58,154 46.00 125 0.10 9,975 7.89 126,408
Chesterfield 107,568 53.67 92,658 46.23 195 0.10 14,910 7.44 200,421
Clarke 4,052 43.69 5,214 56.22 8 0.09 -1,162 -12.53 9,274
Colonial Heights 3,143 35.16 5,788 64.74 9 0.10 -2,645 -29.59 8,940
Covington 1,157 45.46 1,386 54.46 2 0.08 -229 -9.00 2,545
Craig 757 24.09 2,381 75.76 5 0.16 -1,624 -51.67 3,143
Culpeper 11,123 41.61 15,590 58.33 16 0.06 -4,467 -16.71 26,729
Cumberland 2,317 43.99 2,947 55.95 3 0.06 -630 -11.96 5,267
Danville 12,519 65.16 6,680 34.77 14 0.07 5,839 30.39 19,213
Dickenson 2,052 28.49 5,142 71.40 8 0.11 -3,090 -42.91 7,202
Dinwiddie 6,445 43.34 8,414 56.58 13 0.09 -1,969 -13.24 14,872
Emporia 1,618 69.38 712 30.53 2 0.09 906 38.85 2,332
Essex 3,194 52.25 2,917 47.72 2 0.03 277 4.53 6,113
Fairfax City 9,179 68.88 4,134 31.02 14 0.11 5,045 37.86 13,327
Fairfax County 415,791 69.89 178,395 29.99 736 0.12 237,396 39.90 594,922
Falls Church 7,016 79.95 1,750 19.94 10 0.11 5,266 60.00 8,776
Fauquier 17,468 41.15 24,937 58.75 41 0.10 -7,469 -17.60 42,446
Floyd 3,407 36.52 5,908 63.34 13 0.14 -2,501 -26.81 9,328
Fluvanna 7,830 49.81 7,880 50.13 9 0.06 -50 -0.32 15,719
Franklin City 2,549 64.35 1,410 35.60 2 0.05 1,139 28.76 3,961
Franklin County 9,907 33.65 19,505 66.26 27 0.09 -9,598 -32.60 29,439
Frederick 17,962 37.46 29,940 62.45 44 0.09 -11,978 -24.98 47,946
Fredericksburg 8,495 67.48 4,080 32.41 13 0.10 4,415 35.07 12,588
Galax 919 35.36 1,679 64.60 1 0.04 -760 -29.24 2,599
Giles 2,713 30.06 6,306 69.87 6 0.07 -3,593 -39.81 9,025
Gloucester 7,521 33.97 14,605 65.96 17 0.08 -7,084 -31.99 22,143
Goochland 6,730 40.26 9,972 59.65 15 0.09 -3,242 -19.39 16,717
Grayson 1,946 24.56 5,972 75.36 7 0.09 -4,026 -50.80 7,925
Greene 4,529 40.45 6,661 59.49 6 0.05 -2,132 -19.04 11,196
Greensville 2,716 59.80 1,822 40.11 4 0.09 894 19.68 4,542
Halifax 8,258 45.65 9,824 54.31 6 0.03 -1,566 -8.66 18,088
Hampton 46,627 72.30 17,777 27.57 86 0.13 28,850 44.74 64,490
Hanover 25,864 37.04 43,893 62.86 69 0.10 -18,029 -25.82 69,826
Harrisonburg 11,116 66.30 5,634 33.60 17 0.10 5,482 32.70 16,767
Henrico 117,199 65.09 62,686 34.81 177 0.10 54,513 30.27 180,062
Henry 10,616 41.32 15,051 58.58 27 0.11 -4,435 -17.26 25,694
Highland 504 33.05 1,020 66.89 1 0.07 -516 -33.84 1,525
Hopewell 5,695 59.64 3,847 40.29 7 0.07 1,848 19.35 9,549
Isle of Wight 9,821 41.99 13,546 57.91 23 0.10 -3,725 -15.93 23,390
James City 25,685 52.07 23,600 47.84 41 0.08 2,085 4.23 49,326
King and Queen 1,705 41.74 2,372 58.07 8 0.20 -667 -16.33 4,085
King George 5,758 40.67 8,384 59.22 15 0.11 -2,626 -18.55 14,157
King William 3,447 32.72 7,079 67.20 9 0.09 -3,632 -34.48 10,535
Lancaster 3,457 48.64 3,648 51.32 3 0.04 -191 -2.69 7,108
Lee 2,240 22.74 7,600 77.16 10 0.10 -5,360 -54.42 9,850
Lexington 1,853 67.36 895 32.53 3 0.11 958 34.82 2,751
Loudoun 137,814 61.80 84,991 38.12 178 0.08 52,823 23.69 222,983
Louisa 8,700 39.98 13,039 59.92 20 0.09 -4,339 -19.94 21,759
Lunenburg 2,531 42.92 3,362 57.01 4 0.07 -831 -14.09 5,897
Lynchburg 18,587 51.85 17,208 48.00 53 0.15 1,379 3.85 35,848
Madison 2,925 36.16 5,156 63.75 7 0.09 -2,231 -27.58 8,088
Manassas 10,547 62.82 6,227 37.09 14 0.08 4,320 25.73 16,788
Manassas Park 4,084 67.86 1,929 32.05 5 0.08 2,155 35.81 6,018
Martinsville 3,957 67.72 1,881 32.19 5 0.09 2,076 35.53 5,843
Mathews 1,943 33.48 3,856 66.44 5 0.09 -1,913 -32.96 5,804
Mecklenburg 7,004 44.08 8,871 55.83 13 0.08 -1,867 -11.75 15,888
Middlesex 2,658 39.44 4,080 60.53 2 0.03 -1,422 -21.09 6,741
Montgomery 24,589 55.09 19,992 44.79 52 0.12 4,597 10.30 44,633
Nelson 4,673 50.75 4,526 49.16 8 0.09 147 1.60 9,207
New Kent 4,764 33.50 9,449 66.44 9 0.06 -4,685 -32.94 14,222
Newport News 53,265 67.61 25,428 32.27 95 0.12 27,837 35.33 78,788
Norfolk 66,152 74.01 23,084 25.83 144 0.16 43,068 48.18 89,380
Northampton 3,889 58.16 2,795 41.80 3 0.04 1,094 16.37 6,684
Northumberland 3,386 44.00 4,306 55.95 4 0.05 -920 -11.95 7,696
Norton 591 37.33 988 62.41 4 0.25 -397 -25.08 1,583
Nottoway 3,136 44.72 3,869 55.17 8 0.11 -733 -10.45 7,013
Orange 8,392 40.78 12,170 59.14 17 0.08 -3,778 -18.36 20,579
Page 3,420 27.57 8,968 72.31 15 0.12 -5,548 -44.73 12,403
Patrick 2,310 25.11 6,875 74.74 13 0.14 -4,565 -49.63 9,198
Petersburg 12,413 89.09 1,505 10.80 15 0.11 10,908 78.29 13,933
Pittsylvania 11,509 34.33 21,993 65.60 24 0.07 -10,484 -31.27 33,526
Poquoson 2,212 28.31 5,594 71.60 7 0.09 -3,382 -43.29 7,813
Portsmouth 31,520 71.97 12,241 27.95 35 0.08 19,279 44.02 43,796
Powhatan 5,660 28.82 13,972 71.14 8 0.04 -8,312 -42.32 19,640
Prince Edward 5,195 54.68 4,291 45.17 14 0.15 904 9.52 9,500
Prince George 7,199 42.22 9,842 57.72 10 0.06 -2,643 -15.50 17,051
Prince William[r] 145,751 64.46 80,177 35.46 183 0.08 65,574 29.00 226,111
Pulaski 5,941 34.63 11,203 65.29 14 0.08 -5,262 -30.67 17,158
Radford 3,551 56.82 2,690 43.04 9 0.14 861 13.78 6,250
Rappahannock 2,219 44.76 2,734 55.15 4 0.08 -515 -10.39 4,957
Richmond City 91,222 83.27 18,205 16.62 124 0.11 73,017 66.65 109,551
Richmond County 1,687 41.79 2,347 58.14 3 0.07 -660 -16.35 4,037
Roanoke City 28,345 66.08 14,499 33.80 50 0.12 13,846 32.28 42,894
Roanoke County 24,043 42.38 32,642 57.54 48 0.08 -8,599 -15.16 56,733
Rockbridge 4,631 37.73 7,637 62.22 6 0.05 -3,006 -24.49 12,274
Rockingham 13,739 31.61 29,700 68.33 29 0.07 -15,961 -36.72 43,468
Russell 3,288 24.79 9,962 75.11 13 0.10 -6,674 -50.37 13,250
Salem 5,697 44.02 7,235 55.90 11 0.08 -1,538 -11.88 12,943
Scott 2,191 20.38 8,543 79.46 17 0.16 -6,352 -59.08 10,751
Shenandoah 7,313 31.06 16,223 68.89 12 0.05 -8,910 -37.84 23,548
Smyth 3,973 28.38 10,013 71.52 15 0.11 -6,040 -43.14 14,001
Southampton 4,123 42.88 5,492 57.12 0 0.00 -1,369 -14.24 9,615
Spotsylvania 35,485 47.50 39,120 52.37 98 0.13 -3,635 -4.87 74,703
Stafford 40,566 51.97 37,389 47.90 100 0.13 3,177 4.07 78,055
Staunton 7,289 56.72 5,546 43.16 15 0.12 1,743 13.56 12,850
Suffolk 29,275 59.41 19,955 40.50 45 0.09 9,320 18.91 49,275
Surry 2,439 55.43 1,958 44.50 3 0.07 481 10.93 4,400
Sussex 2,924 57.62 2,146 42.29 5 0.10 778 15.33 5,075
Tazewell 4,504 23.03 15,033 76.87 20 0.10 -10,529 -53.84 19,557
Virginia Beach 120,753 53.91 103,037 46.00 202 0.09 17,716 7.91 223,992
Warren 7,075 33.73 13,874 66.15 24 0.11 -6,799 -32.42 20,973
Washington 7,744 27.24 20,656 72.66 27 0.09 -12,912 -45.42 28,427
Waynesboro 5,275 49.71 5,324 50.17 12 0.11 -49 -0.46 10,611
Westmoreland 4,821 49.02 5,009 50.94 4 0.04 -188 -1.91 9,834
Williamsburg 4,811 70.33 2,020 29.53 10 0.15 2,791 40.80 6,841
Winchester 6,898 57.58 5,076 42.37 6 0.05 1,822 15.21 11,980
Wise 4,128 25.41 12,096 74.46 21 0.13 -7,968 -49.05 16,245
Wythe 4,043 27.24 10,787 72.68 12 0.08 -6,744 -45.44 14,842
York 18,025 46.73 20,524 53.21 20 0.05 -2,499 -6.48 38,569
Totals 2,466,500 55.99 1,934,199 43.91 4,388 0.10 532,301 12.08 4,405,087

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Warner won 7 of 11 congressional districts.[72]

District Warner Gade Representative
1st 49% 51% Rob Wittman
2nd 54% 46% Elaine Luria
3rd 69% 31% Bobby Scott
4th 63% 37% Donald McEachin
5th 48% 52% Denver Riggleman
Bob Good
6th 42% 58% Ben Cline
7th 51% 49% Abigail Spanberger
8th 76% 23% Don Beyer
9th 34% 66% Morgan Griffith
10th 59% 41% Jennifer Wexton
11th 70% 30% Gerry Connolly

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  3. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  4. ^ "Refused/would not vote" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
  6. ^ "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  7. ^ "Other" and "Neither" with 0%; would not vote with no voters; Undecided with 4%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  9. ^ a b Undecided with 7%
  10. ^ a b Poll conducted by Daniel Gade's campaign
  11. ^ Undecided with 5%
  12. ^ Archived October 4, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  14. ^ Archived September 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  15. ^ "Don't know/refused" with 6%
  16. ^ "Refused" with 0%
  17. ^ On January 11th, 2024, the Prince William County Office of Elections issued a notice that the election results in the county were improperly reported. The error caused Gade's countywide votes to be underreported by 107, and Warner's countywide votes to be underreported by 1,589. See https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/criminal-charges-against-former-prince-william-elections-chief-now-dropped-stemmed-from-vote-tabulation-errors/article_40a3eeca-b0e9-11ee-b49c-4f4ae054a6b0.html
  18. ^ On January 11th, 2024, the Prince William County Office of Elections issued a notice that the election results in the county were improperly reported. The error caused Gade's countywide votes to be underreported by 107, and Warner's countywide votes to be underreported by 1,589. See https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/criminal-charges-against-former-prince-william-elections-chief-now-dropped-stemmed-from-vote-tabulation-errors/article_40a3eeca-b0e9-11ee-b49c-4f4ae054a6b0.html

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Virginia Counties by Population". Virginia Demographics. Archived from the original on February 15, 2013. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  2. ^ "Virginia Elections Database » 2008 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.
  3. ^ "Virginia Elections Database » 2014 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.
  4. ^ Seth McLaughlin (July 8, 2019). "Sen. Mark Warner posts $1.8M second-quarter fundraising haul". Washington Times. Retrieved July 8, 2019.
  5. ^ Virginia Department of Elections. "Declaration of Candidacy" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. Retrieved February 1, 2020.
  6. ^ Virginia Department of Elections (November 2019). "June and November, 2020 United States Senate Candidate Bulletin" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. p. 4. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 1, 2020. Retrieved February 1, 2020.
  7. ^ Moomaw, Graham (April 1, 2020). "Three Republicans qualify for GOP primary to challenge U.S. Sen Mark Warner". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved April 1, 2020.
  8. ^ "Certified Candidates in Ballot Order for June 9, 2020 Primary Elections" (PDF). Virginia Department of Elections. Archived (PDF) from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  9. ^ a b Moomaw, Graham (March 24, 2020). "GOP candidate sues Virginia election officials, says coronavirus thwarted efforts to get ballot signatures". Virginia Mercury. Retrieved April 1, 2020.
  10. ^ Solano, Sophia (December 12, 2019). "SPA professor and veteran running for Virginia U.S. Senate seat". The Eagle. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  11. ^ "Baldwin announces run for U.S. senate". The Kenbridge Victoria Dispatch. July 22, 2019.
  12. ^ Berti, Daniel (September 12, 2019). "Woodbridge Army officer launches bid for U.S. Senate". Prince William Times. Retrieved September 16, 2019.
  13. ^ Janney, Josh (January 30, 2020). "Dunn seeking GOP nomination for U.S. Senate seat". The Winchester Star.
  14. ^ Cline, Nathaniel (April 13, 2020). "Navy reservist Omari Faulkner disappointed to end U.S. Senate run". Loudoun Times-Mirror.
  15. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1346979". docquery.fec.gov.
  16. ^ "On July 4th, Virginia Sen. Mark Warner Harshly Criticized by 2020 Challener, Pro-Tr**p Law Prof Victor Williams". DC Presswire. July 9, 2019. Retrieved July 11, 2019.[permanent dead link‍]
  17. ^ "Gary Adkins Announces Termination of His Bid for U.S. Senate 2020". Standard Newswire (Press release). December 23, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  18. ^ "17 changes to the candidate list. O'Rourke (Democratic) withdraws from Presidential contest". The Green Papers. November 4, 2019. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  19. ^ "70 changes to the candidate list. Member of Congress Mark Randal Meadows (North Carolina, Republican) resigns". The Green Papers. March 31, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  20. ^ Wilson, Reid (December 9, 2019). "Ex-Rep. Scott Taylor to seek old Virginia seat". The Hill. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
  21. ^ Leonor, Mel (December 2, 2019). "Freitas launches bid to challenge Spanberger for congressional seat". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  22. ^ Vozzella, Laura (December 15, 2018). "As Va. GOP seeks new course, Corey Stewart says he's finished with statewide politics". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 16, 2018.
  23. ^ "Corey Stewart to quit politics: 'Just isn't exciting for me anymore'". Washington Examiner. January 9, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2019.
  24. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Gade, Daniel (January 29, 2020). "Daniel Gade Unloads First Round of Endorsements". Archived from the original on January 29, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2020.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g "State Senator Jill Vogel and Former U.S. Senate Candidate Victor Williams Endorse Daniel Gade". April 9, 2020. Archived from the original on April 27, 2020. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
  26. ^ a b c d "State Senator Richard Stuart Endorses Daniel Gade". May 12, 2020. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved May 12, 2020.
  27. ^ "Virginia 2020 June Republican Primary". Virginia Department of Elections. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  28. ^ a b "Virginia Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  29. ^ "FILING FEC-1389132". FEC. March 11, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
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  31. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  32. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  33. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  34. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  35. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  36. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  37. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  38. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  39. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  40. ^ "IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements". ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020. Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
  41. ^ "Mark Warner - Black Economic Alliance PAC". Black Economic Alliance.
  42. ^ "Coalition to Stop Gun Violence Endorses Gun Violence Survivors, Speaker Pelosi, Congressional Allies". Coalition to Stop Gun Violence. March 23, 2020. Archived from the original on June 11, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  43. ^ Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
  44. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses 40 House, 5 Senate Pro-Equality Leaders". Human Rights Campaign. May 18, 2020.
  45. ^ Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  46. ^ "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link‍]
  47. ^ Rich, Aliyah (March 5, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Mark Warner for U.S. Senate". League of Conservation Voters.
  48. ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  49. ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  50. ^ "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved June 18, 2020.
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  52. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  53. ^ "Republican Former Senator John Warner Endorses Mark Warner's Re-election Bid". Mark Warner For Virginia. October 20, 2020. Archived from the original on December 23, 2020. Retrieved December 27, 2020.
  54. ^ Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  55. ^ Data for Progress
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  59. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
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  62. ^ Reconnect Research/Roanoke College
  63. ^ Roanoke College/Reconnect Research
  64. ^ Cygnal (R)
  65. ^ Cygnal (R)
  66. ^ Christopher Newport University
  67. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University Archived September 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  68. ^ Roanoke College
  69. ^ Roanoke College
  70. ^ Ipsos/University of Virginia
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  72. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
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Official campaign websites

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