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2020 United States presidential election in Utah

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Utah
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout69.17% (of registered voters) [1] Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 865,140 560,282
Percentage 58.13% 37.65%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Utah was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations projected Utah as leaning towards Trump, or a safe red state. Throughout the campaign, Trump did not exceed 60% in a single poll conducted. Some polls even showed the president leading by single digits against Biden, likely indicating a closer than normal contest in this traditionally Republican stronghold. In past elections, Utah has often given the GOP nominee one of their largest victories in the nation, having awarded George W. Bush and Mitt Romney over 70% of the vote in 2004 and 2012, respectively. However, Trump only won Utah with 58.1% of the vote and a margin of 20.5%, which although an improvement on his 18.1% margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016, is still relatively narrow compared to past Republican nominees. He performed strongly in rural areas, as well as in some larger counties like Utah (Provo), Davis (Farmington), and Weber (Ogden). Trump improved over his 45.5% plurality win in 2016, due in part to the lack of a strong third party presence, as Evan McMullin, who endorsed Biden,[4][5] earned 21.5% of the vote that year. The election was far more of a two-party contest in 2020, with third parties receiving 4.2% of the vote, compared to 27% in 2016. Despite this, the Associated Press reported a less partisan and more cooperative cultural environment in Utah compared to other states during the election.[6]

With no major third-party challenges, Trump improved his vote share by 13% while Biden improved on Hillary Clinton's 2016 results by 10.3 percentage points. Biden's improvement garnered him the highest percentage by a Democratic presidential nominee in Utah since Lyndon Johnson won with 54.9% of the vote in 1964, as Biden overtook the vote shares of Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Barack Obama in 2008, and Jimmy Carter in 1976 (the only other Democratic nominees to surpass a third of the state's vote since 1964). Biden's greatest support came from Salt Lake County, the state's most populous county, where he won 53.7%, the first outright majority for a Democratic nominee in the county since Johnson in 1964. Biden also won Summit County (Park City), which, along with Salt Lake, was one of two counties in the state Hillary Clinton had carried in 2016 (and the only one where she had won a majority); and he flipped Grand County (Moab), which had voted Democratic in 1992 and 2008.[7]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Utah came from Mormons. 53% of voters identified as Mormons, and Trump received 72% of their votes.[8] Trump also won the suburban areas, which make up 57% of the state, with 54% of the vote.[8]

Utah is also one of the six states (along with Arkansas, Nevada, California, Florida, and Hawaii) as well as the District of Columbia in which Trump's margin increased from 2016.

Primary elections

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Utah Republican presidential primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Utah politicians Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney both declined to run against Trump.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Utah Republican presidential primary § UTresults.[edit]
2020 Utah Republican presidential primary[9][10][11]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump (incumbent) 302,751 87.79% 40
Bill Weld 23,652 6.86% 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 7,509 2.18% 0
Matthew John Matern 5,751 1.67% 0
Robert Ardini 3,971 1.15% 0
Bob Ely 1,218 0.35% 0
Total 344,852 100% 40

Democratic primary

[edit]
Further information: 2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[12][13]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary § UTresults.[edit]
2020 Utah Democratic presidential primary[14]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[15]
Bernie Sanders 79,728 36.14 16[a]
Joe Biden 40,674 18.44 7[b]
Elizabeth Warren 35,727 16.20 3[c]
Michael Bloomberg 33,991 15.41 3[d]
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[e] 18,734 8.49
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[e] 7,603 3.45
Tulsi Gabbard 1,704 0.77
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 950 0.43
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[e] 703 0.32
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 220 0.10
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 159 0.07
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 138 0.06
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 55 0.02
Other candidates 196 0.09
Total 220,582 100% 29

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Likely R November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[17] Likely R November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Likely R November 3, 2020
Politico[19] Likely R November 3, 2020
RCP[20] Likely R November 3, 2020
Niskanen[21] Safe R November 3, 2020
CNN[22] Safe R November 3, 2020
The Economist[23] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[24] Likely R November 3, 2020
270towin[25] Likely R November 3, 2020
ABC News[26] Safe R November 3, 2020
NPR[27] Likely R November 3, 2020
NBC News[28] Likely R November 3, 2020
538[29] Safe R November 3, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]


Aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[f] 		Margin
270 to Win[30] October 23–31, 2020 November 3, 2020 41.0% 50.5% 8.5% Trump +9.5
FiveThirtyEight[31] until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 42.1% 51.9% 6.0% Trump +9.8
Average 41.6% 51.2% 7.2% Trump +9.6

Polls

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,586 (LV) ± 3.5% 55%[h] 43% – – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Oct 1–28, 2020 2,783 (LV) – 55% 43% – – – –
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[33] Oct 15–24, 2020 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 44% – – 5%[i] –
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[34] Oct 12–17, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 38% 3% 0% 1% 7%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[35] Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 40% – – 10% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Sep 1–30, 2020 1,192 (LV) – 56% 42% – – – 2%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[36] Sep 7–12, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 35% 5% 0% 1% 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Aug 1–31, 2020 893 (LV) – 57% 41% – – – 2%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[37] Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 31% 3% 1% 4% 11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Jul 1–31, 2020 1,037 (LV) – 58% 40% – – – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] Jun 8–30, 2020 412 (LV) – 57% 41% – – – 1%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2[38] May 9–15, 2020 1,099 (LV) ± 3% 44% 41% – – 9%[j] 5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[39] Apr 15–21, 2020 964 (RV) ± 3.2% 51% 32% – – 8% 9%
Y2 Analytics[40] Mar 21–30, 2020 1,266 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 41% – – 7% 5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[41] Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 33% – – 8%[k] 8%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 31% – – 13%[l] 7%
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 149 (RV) – 36% 35% – – 14%[m] 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 32% 11%[n] 13%

with Donald Trump and Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Cory
Booker (D) 		Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 153 (RV) – 31% 43% 23%[o] 3%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 25% 13%[l] 14%
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 48% 28% 15%[p] 9%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 48% 33% 15%[q] 5%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D) 		Other Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 23% 14%[r] 14%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 140 (RV) – 41% 27% 25%[s] 7%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[41] Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 33% 9%[t] 7%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 31% 13%[u] 6%
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 153 (RV) – 38% 44% 14%[m] 5%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[41] Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 28% 12%[v] 10%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] Jan 15–22, 2020 1,017 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 28% 12%[v] 10%
Y2 Analytics[43] Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 144 (RV) – 39% 36% 19%[w] 6%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[44] Jan 16–30, 2020 2,174 (LV) – 47% 31% 12%[x] 10%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[44] Sep 25 – Oct 8, 2019 944 (LV) – 41% 33% 16%[y] 10%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[45] Jun 27 – Jul 17, 2019 2,464 (LV) – 38% 30% 18%[z] 14%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[g] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[46] Feb 28 – Mar 11, 2020 798 (LV) ± 3.47% 52% 45%[aa] 3%
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[47] Oct 3–10, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4% 50% 46%[aa] 4%
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[48] Jun 11 – Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 45% 52%[aa] 4%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Utah[49]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		865,140 58.13% +12.59%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		560,282 37.65% +10.19%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		38,447 2.58% −0.92%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball 		7,213 0.48% −
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr 		5,551 0.37% −0.34%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		5,053 0.34% −0.49%
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard 		2,623 0.18% −
Independent Joe McHugh
Elizabeth Storm 		2,229 0.15% −
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman 		1,139 0.08% −
Write-in 612 0.04% -0.38%
Total votes 1,488,289 100.00% -

By county

[edit]
County[49] Donald Trump
Republican 		Joe Biden
Democratic 		Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Kanye West
Independent 		Don Blankenship
Constitution 		Howie Hawkins
Green 		Other Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Beaver 2,695 86.94% 357 11.52% 23 0.74% 7 0.23% 4 0.13% 6 0.19% 8 0.26% 2,338 75.42% 3,100
Box Elder 21,548 78.87% 4,473 16.37% 614 2.25% 112 0.41% 134 0.49% 55 0.20% 384 1.41% 17,075 62.50% 27,320
Cache 38,032 65.17% 16,650 28.53% 1,796 3.08% 230 0.39% 351 0.60% 217 0.37% 1,082 1.86% 21,382 36.64% 58,358
Carbon 6,693 71.05% 2,392 25.39% 151 1.60% 44 0.47% 22 0.23% 18 0.19% 100 1.06% 4,301 45.91% 9,420
Daggett 496 79.74% 111 17.85% 7 1.13% 2 0.32% 2 0.32% 0 0.00% 4 0.64% 385 61.89% 622
Davis 104,135 60.04% 57,411 33.10% 5,004 2.89% 1,012 0.58% 827 0.48% 597 0.34% 4,448 2.56% 46,724 26.94% 173,434
Duchesne 7,513 87.75% 843 9.85% 107 1.25% 18 0.21% 21 0.25% 9 0.11% 51 0.60% 6,670 77.90% 8,562
Emery 4,207 85.89% 572 11.68% 47 0.96% 15 0.31% 4 0.08% 8 0.16% 45 0.91% 3,635 74.21% 4,898
Garfield 2,158 78.99% 514 18.81% 37 1.35% 2 0.07% 3 0.11% 11 0.40% 7 0.26% 1,644 60.18% 2,732
Grand 2,248 43.19% 2,806 53.91% 62 1.19% 19 0.37% 5 0.10% 23 0.44% 42 0.81% -558 -10.72% 5,205
Iron 18,989 75.64% 4,892 19.49% 666 2.65% 94 0.37% 88 0.35% 78 0.31% 297 1.18% 14,097 56.15% 25,104
Juab 5,087 86.18% 645 10.93% 91 1.54% 13 0.22% 16 0.27% 5 0.08% 46 0.79% 4,442 75.72% 5,903
Kane 2,998 71.30% 1,083 25.76% 51 1.21% 15 0.36% 16 0.38% 8 0.19% 34 0.81% 1,915 45.54% 4,205
Millard 5,404 87.30% 624 10.08% 64 1.03% 16 0.26% 26 0.42% 5 0.08% 51 0.83% 4,780 77.22% 6,190
Morgan 5,181 78.43% 1,086 16.44% 160 2.42% 35 0.53% 21 0.32% 13 0.20% 110 1.67% 4,095 61.99% 6,606
Piute 773 88.44% 86 9.84% 7 0.80% 3 0.34% 1 0.11% 0 0.00% 4 0.45% 687 78.60% 874
Rich 1,157 84.51% 180 13.15% 14 1.02% 4 0.29% 3 0.22% 2 0.15% 9 0.66% 977 71.36% 1,369
Salt Lake 230,174 42.11% 289,906 53.04% 12,219 2.24% 2,590 0.47% 1,570 0.29% 2,203 0.40% 7,919 1.45% -59,732 -10.93% 546,581
San Juan 3,535 51.20% 3,113 45.09% 99 1.43% 45 0.65% 28 0.41% 17 0.25% 67 0.97% 422 6.11% 6,904
Sanpete 10,459 82.19% 1,794 14.10% 215 1.69% 39 0.31% 50 0.39% 19 0.15% 149 1.18% 8,665 68.09% 12,725
Sevier 9,052 87.35% 1,084 10.46% 133 1.28% 28 0.27% 31 0.30% 14 0.14% 21 0.20% 7,968 76.89% 10,363
Summit 10,252 39.00% 15,244 57.99% 367 1.40% 86 0.33% 25 0.10% 65 0.25% 250 0.93% -4,992 -18.99% 26,289
Tooele 21,014 66.67% 8,943 28.37% 958 3.04% 152 0.48% 181 0.57% 81 0.26% 189 0.60% 12,071 38.30% 31,518
Uintah 13,261 86.28% 1,663 10.82% 226 1.47% 37 0.24% 56 0.36% 29 0.19% 98 0.67% 11,598 75.46% 15,370
Utah 192,812 66.69% 76,033 26.30% 10,377 3.59% 1,680 0.58% 1,375 0.48% 853 0.30% 5,971 2.07% 116,779 40.39% 289,101
Wasatch 10,795 60.68% 6,187 34.78% 352 1.98% 86 0.48% 53 0.30% 45 0.25% 272 1.52% 4,608 25.90% 17,790
Washington 67,294 73.82% 20,530 22.52% 1,742 1.91% 298 0.33% 220 0.24% 187 0.21% 889 0.98% 46,764 51.30% 91,160
Wayne 1,229 75.40% 365 22.39% 9 0.55% 7 0.43% 3 0.18% 3 0.18% 14 0.85% 864 53.01% 1,630
Weber 65,949 58.54% 40,695 36.13% 2,849 2.53% 524 0.47% 415 0.37% 482 0.43% 1,735 1.54% 25,254 22.41% 112,649
Totals 865,140 57.45% 560,282 37.20% 38,447 2.55% 7,213 0.48% 5,551 0.37% 5,053 0.34% 24,296 1.61% 304,858 20.25% 1,505,982

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won all four congressional districts.[50]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 64.2% 31.6% Rob Bishop
Blake Moore
2nd 56.1% 40.2% Chris Stewart
3rd 60.3% 35.2% John Curtis
4th 52.4% 43.3% Ben McAdams
Burgess Owens

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ 13 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  2. ^ 6 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  3. ^ 5 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  4. ^ 5 delegates, if Warren's and Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  5. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary after all-mail voting had started.
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  10. ^ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 1%
  11. ^ Other with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  12. ^ a b Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%
  13. ^ a b "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%
  14. ^ Other with 8%; would not vote with 3%
  15. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 16%; other with 7%
  16. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 12%; other with 3%
  17. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 13%; other with 2%
  18. ^ Other with 10%; would not vote with 4%
  19. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 20%; other with 5%
  20. ^ Other with 6%; would not vote with 3%
  21. ^ Other with 10%; would not vote with 3%
  22. ^ a b Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%
  23. ^ "A third-party candidate" with 15%; other with 4%
  24. ^ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 4%
  25. ^ "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 4%
  26. ^ "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 6%
  27. ^ a b c Listed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Voter turnout in United States elections". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Former presidential candidate Evan McMullin endorses Rep. Ben McAdams in Utah race". www.ksl.com. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  5. ^ "'Utah Politics' podcast: Evan McMullin on foreign election interference and QAnon". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  6. ^ Sullivan, Tim (December 17, 2020). "AP ROAD TRIP: Amid American rancor, a dash of Utah Nice". Associated Press. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  7. ^ "The Political Graveyard: Grand County, Utah". politicalgraveyard.com. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
  8. ^ a b "Utah Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  9. ^ "2020 Presidential Candidates – Utah Voter Information". voteinfo.utah.gov.
  10. ^ "Utah Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 Presidential Primary Election State Canvass". Utah.gov. Lieutenant Governor of the State of Utah. March 24, 2020. Archived from the original on April 8, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  12. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  14. ^ "2020 Presidential Primary Election State Canvass". Utah.gov. Lieutenant Governor of the State of Utah. March 24, 2020. Archived from the original on April 8, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
  15. ^ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
  16. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  17. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  18. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  20. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  21. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  22. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  23. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  26. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  27. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  28. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  29. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  30. ^ 270 to Win
  31. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  32. ^ a b c d e f SurveyMonkey/Axios
  33. ^ Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
  34. ^ RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics
  35. ^ Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune
  36. ^ RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics
  37. ^ RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News
  38. ^ Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2
  39. ^ Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News
  40. ^ Y2 Analytics
  41. ^ a b c Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News
  42. ^ a b c d e f Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News
  43. ^ a b c d e f g Y2 Analytics
  44. ^ a b Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News
  45. ^ Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News
  46. ^ Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce
  47. ^ Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce
  48. ^ Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce
  49. ^ a b Lieutenant Governor of the State of Utah (November 23, 2020). "2020 General Election Canvass" (PDF). Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  50. ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
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