Opinion polling

Background

First round

Second round

Exit poll

Election results

Exit polls

Election results

Previous scenarios

Rousseff government approval.

	Chamber of Deputies All 513 seats					Senate 27 seats (out of 81)
	Vote		Seats		Composition	Vote		Seats		Composition
	Absolute	%	Elected	+/–	Composition	Absolute	%	Elected	+/–	Composition
Workers' Party (PT) 12 \| 25 13			70		70 / 513 (14%)			2		12 / 81 (15%)
Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB)			66		66 / 513 (13%)			5		18 / 81 (22%)
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)			54		54 / 513 (11%)			4		10 / 81 (12%)
Social Democratic Party (PSD)			37		37 / 513 (7%)			2		3 / 81 (4%)
Progressive Party (PP)			36		36 / 513 (7%)			1		5 / 81 (6%)
Republic Party (PR)			34		34 / 513 (7%)			1		4 / 81 (5%)
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)			34		34 / 513 (7%)			3		7 / 81 (9%)
Democrats (DEM)			22		22 / 513 (4%)
Brazilian Republican Party (PRB)			21		21 / 513 (4%)
Democratic Labour Party (PDT)			19		19 / 513 (4%)
Solidarity (SD)			15		15 / 513 (3%)
Social Christian Party (PSC)			12		12 / 513 (2%)
Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS)			11		11 / 513 (2%)
Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)			10		10 / 513 (2%)

	PT
	PSDB
	PSB
	PSOL
	PSC
	PV
	PRTB
	PSTU
	PSDC
	PCB
	PCO

	PT
	PTB
	PDT
	PCdoB
	PPS
	PMN
	PSTU
	PCB
	PCO

	PSDB
	PP
	PR
	DEM
	PRB
	PTN
	PTC
	PTdoB
	PHS
	PSDC
	PRP

	PMDB
	PSD
	PSC
	PV
	PEN
	PSL
	PPL
	PRTB

	PROS
	SD
	PSB
	PSOL

	PT
	PMDB
	PCdoB
	PDT
	PSD
	PRB
	PP
	PR
	PSDB
	PROS
	SD
	PTB
	DEM
	PTN
	PMN
	PEN
	PTC
	PTdoB
	PSB
	PPS
	PHS
	PSL
	PPL
	PSC
	PV
	PSOL
	PSDC
	PRP
	PRTB
	PSTU
	PCB
	PCO

Key

First round win
Defined run-off
Tie for run-off

Rousseff lead
Neves lead
Silva lead

Statewide results of the first round of the 2014 Brazilian presidential election
Date(s) conducted	Poll source		Sample size	Margin of error															Lead
Date(s) conducted	Poll source		Sample size	Margin of error															Lead

3–4 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		18,116	±2%	40%	24%	22%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	5%	16%
3–4 Oct 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record		2,000	±2%	41%	23%	20%	—	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	6%	18%
2–4 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		3,010	±2%	40%	24%	21%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	5%	16%
2–3 Oct 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	41%	24%	21%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	6%	17%
30 Sep–3 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	37%	20%	22%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	16	%	15%
2 Oct 2014	Fifth Presidential debate
1–2 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		12,022	±2%	40%	21%	24%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	5%	16%
29 Sep–1 Oct 2014	Ibope		3,010	±2%	40%	19%	24%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	7%	16%
29–30 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		7,520	±2%	40%	20%	25%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	5%	15%
27–29 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		3,010	±2%	39%	19%	25%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	7%	14%
28 Sep 2014	Fourth Presidential debate
27–28 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record		2,000	±2.2%	40%	18%	24%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	11%	16%
27–28 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	40%	20%	25%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	6%	15%
25–26 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		11,474	±2%	40%	18%	27%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	6%	13%
21–26 Sep 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	35%	21%	25%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	17	%	10%
23–24 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/Carta Capital		2,000	±2.2%	38%	17%	25%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	11%	13%
20–22 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		3,010	±2%	38%	19%	29%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	5%	9%
20–21 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record		2,000	±2.2%	40%	17%	22%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	12%	18%
20–21 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	36%	18%	27%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	9%	9%
17–18 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		5,340	±2%	37%	17%	30%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	7%	7%
16 Sep 2014	Third Presidential debate
13–15 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		3,010	±2%	36%	19%	30%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	6%	6%
13–14 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record		2,000	±2.2%	36%	15%	27%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	12%	9%
8–9 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		10,568	±2%	36%	15%	33%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	7%	3%
8–9 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/CartaCapital		2,000	±2.2%	36%	15%	28%	—	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	13%	8%
5–8 Sep 2014	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria		2,002	±2%	39%	15%	31%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	5%	8%
5–7 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	38%	15%	33%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	6%	5%
1–4 Sep 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	30%	15%	29%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	23	%	1%
1–3 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		10,054	±2%	35%	14%	34%	—	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%	7%	1%
31 Ago–2 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		2,506	±2%	37%	15%	33%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	5%	4%
1 Sep 2014	Second Presidential debate
28–29 Ago 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		2,874	±2%	34%	15%	34%	—	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	7%	0%
26 Ago 2014	First Presidential debate
23–25 Ago 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		2,506	±2%	34%	19%	29%	—	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7%	8%	5%
21–24 Ago 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	34%	16%	28%	—	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9%	10%	6%
14–15 Ago 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo		2,843	±2%	36%	20%	21%	—	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	8%	9%	15%
13 Ago 2014	Death of Eduardo Campos
9–12 Ago 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	32%	21%	—	9%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	33	%	12%
8–12 Ago 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	36%	22%	—	8%	2%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	17%	12%	14%
3–6 Ago 2014	Ibope/TV Globo		2,506	±2%	38%	23%	—	9%	3%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	13%	11%	15%
18–21 Jul 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo		2,002	±2%	38%	22%	—	8%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	16%	9%	16%
15–16 Jul 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo		5,377	±2%	36%	20%	—	9%	3%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	13%	14%	16%
6 Jul 2014	Official start of the campaign period
12–15 Jul 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	32%	21%	—	7%	3%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	34	%	11%
1–2 Jul 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo		2,857	±2%	38%	20%	—	9%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	—	13%	11%	18%
13–15 Jun 2014	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria		2,002	±2%	39%	21%	—	10%	3%	0%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	13%	8%	18%
4–7 Jun 2014	Ibope/UVESP		2,002	±2%	38%	22%	—	13%	3%	1%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	13%	7%	16%
3–5 Jun 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo		4,337	±2%	34%	19%	—	7%	4%	1%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	17%	13%	15%
26 May–4 Jun 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	32%	21%	—	7%	2%	0%	—	0%	2%	0%	0%	—	30	%	11%
15–19 May 2014	Ibope		2,002	±2%	40%	20%	—	11%	3%	1%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	14%	10%	20%
7–8 May 2014	Datafolha		2,844	±2%	37%	20%	—	11%	3%	1%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	16%	8%	17%
22–25 Apr 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ		2,000	±2.2%	34%	20%	—	8%	2%	—	—	0%	—	0%	—	—	34	%	14%
20–25 Apr 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	36%	21%	—	11%	0%	—	—	0%	—	0%	—	—	19%	10%	17%
10–14 Apr 2014	Ibope	A	2,002	±2%	37%	14%	10%	—	2%	1%	—	0%	—	0%	0%	—	23%	12%	23%
10–14 Apr 2014	Ibope	B	2,002	±2%	37%	14%	—	6%	2%	0%	—	0%	—	0%	0%	—	24%	13%	23%
2–3 Apr 2014	Datafolha	A	2,637	±2%	39%	16%	27%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	13%	6%	12%
		B			43%	18%	—	14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	19%	6%	25%
		C			38%	16%	—	10%	2%	1%	—	1%	1%	0%	0%	—	20%	9%	22%
13–17 Mar 2014	Ibope	A	2,002	±2%	40%	13%	9%	—	2%	—	—	0%	—	0%	0%	—	23%	11%	27%
13–17 Mar 2014	Ibope	B	2,002	±2%	40%	13%	—	6%	3%	—	—	0%	—	0%	0%	—	24%	12%	27%
19–20 Fev 2014	Datafolha	A	2,614	±2%	43%	15%	23%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14%	5%	20%
		B			47%	17%	—	12%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	18%	6%	30%
		C			44%	16%	—	9%	3%	1%	—	0%	1%	0%	0%	—	19%	7%	28%
9–14 Fev 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	A	2,002	±2.2%	41%	15%	21%	—	—	—	—	0%	—	—	—	—	15%	8%	20%
9–14 Fev 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	B	2,002	±2.2%	44%	17%	—	10%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	20%	9%	27%
28–29 Nov 2013	Datafolha	A	4,557	±2%	42%	15%	26%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	11%	5%	16%
28–29 Nov 2013	Datafolha	B	4,557	±2%	47%	19%	—	11%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	16%	7%	28%
31 Oct–4 Nov 2013	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	A	2,005	±2.2%	40%	16%	23%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15%	5%	17%
31 Oct–4 Nov 2013	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	B	2,005	±2.2%	43%	19%	—	9%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	20%	8%	24%
11 Oct 2013	Datafolha	A	2,517	±2%	39%	17%	29%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10%	5%	10%
11 Oct 2013	Datafolha	B	2,517	±2%	42%	21%	—	15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	16%	7%	21%
5 Oct 2013	Marina Silva enters the Brazilian Socialist Party
31 Ago–4 Sep 2013	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	36%	15%	22%	5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15%	6%	14%
7–10 Jul 2013	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,002	±2.2%	33%	15%	21%	7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	18%	5%	12%
27–28 Jun 2013	Datafolha		4,717	±2%	30%	17%	23%	7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	16%	8%	7%
17 Jun-2 Jul 2013	Widespread protests of June 2013
6–7 Jun 2013	Datafolha		?	?	51%	14%	16%	6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7%	5%	35%
1–5 Jun 2013	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte		2,010	±2.2%	53%	17%	12%	4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8%	6%	36%
20–21 Mar 2013	Datafolha		2,653	±2%	58%	10%	16%	6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6%	3%	42%
13 Dez 2012	Datafolha		?	?	54%	12%	18%	4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6%	5%	36%
28 Oct 2012	Second round of the Municipal elections, 2012

2014: Denise Abreu, Randolfe Rodrigues, Magno Malta
2013: Lula, José Serra, Joaquim Barbosa, Geraldo Alckimin

Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error	Candidate		%
5 October 2014	Ibope	64,200	±2%		Dilma Rousseff	44%
					Aécio Neves	30%
					Marina Silva	22%
					Luciana Genro	2%
					Everaldo Pereira	1%
				Others		1%

Released 22:00, 5 October 2014 (UTC). Trust level: 99%. Registered at the Superior Electoral Tribunal under protocol n° BR-01063/2014. Reach: 468 municipalities.

Representativa dos votantes da área em estudo, elaborada em três estágios. No primeiro estágio fez-se um sorteio probabilístico dos municípios pesquisados, pelo método PPT (probabilidade Proporcional ao Tamanho), com base na população de votantes (TSE 2014, excluindo abstenção 1º turno 2006 e 2010) de cada município. Em um segundo estágio, dentro dos municípios sorteados foram selecionados, também pelo método PPT, os locais de votação com base no número de votantes de cada local de votação. No terceiro estágio, dentro dos locais de votação sorteados, os respondentes foram selecionados através de quotas amostrais, proporcionais em função de variáveis significativas, a saber: Sexo, Idade, de acordo com o perfil dos votantes. Serão realizadas no total 64.200 entrevistas em todo o Brasil das quais 12.000 na região Sul, 19.300 na região Sudeste, 7.300 na região Centro-Oeste, 21.200 na região Nordeste e 4.400 na região Norte. Das entrevistas previstas na região Sul, 5.000 serão realizadas no Estado do Paraná, 5.000 no Rio Grande do Sul e 2.000 no Estado de Santa Catarina. A distribuição das entrevistas da região Sudeste considera a realização de 7.300 entrevistas no Estado de São Paulo, 6.000 em Minas Gerais, 5.000 no Estado do Rio de Janeiro e 1.000 no Espírito Santo. No Centro-Oeste serão realizadas 4.000 no Distrito Federal, 1.500 em Goiás, 1.000 no Mato Grosso e 800 no Estado do Mato Grosso do Sul. Na região Nordeste serão feitas 5.000 entrevistas no Estado da Bahia, 5.000 em Pernambuco, 4.000 no Ceará, 2.000 no Maranhão, 1.400 na Paraíba, 1.000 em Alagoas, 1.000 no Piauí, 1.000 no Rio Grande do Norte e 800 no Estado de Sergipe. Já na região Norte serão distribuídas 1.600 entrevistas no Pará, 1.000 no Amazonas, 600 no Estado do Tocantins, 400 em Rondônia, 300 no Acre, 300 no Amapá e 200 em Roraima. Para restabelecer o peso de cada estado no Brasil, os resultados serão ponderados. Considerando os Estados da região Sul do País, será utilizado fator 0,7 para o Paraná, 0,8 para o Rio Grande do Sul e 1,1 para Santa Catarina. Na Região Sudeste o fator de ponderação será de 2,0 para Estado de São Paulo, de 1,1 para Minas Gerais, de 1,1 para o Estado do Rio de Janeiro e de 1,2 no Espírito Santo. No Centro-Oeste, o fator do Distrito Federal será 0,2, de Goiás 1,3, no Mato Grosso 1,0 e no Estado do Mato Grosso do Sul também 1,0. Na região Nordeste, o fator de ponderação para o Estado da Bahia será de 0,9, em Pernambuco de 0,6, no Ceará de 0,7, no Maranhão 1,0, na Paraíba de 0,9, em Alagoas de 0,9, no Piauí 1,0, no Rio Grande do Norte 1,1 e 0,8 no Estado de Sergipe. Em relação aos fatores da região Norte, será de 1,4 no Pará, de 1,0 no Amazonas, 0,7 no Estado do Tocantins, 1,2 em Rondônia, 0,7 no Acre, 0,7 no Amapá e 0,7 em Roraima. A margem de erro máxima estimada para os votos válidos da pesquisa, considerando-se um intervalo de confiança de 99% e tendo como base o número de votos brancos e nulos da eleição de 2010 é de 2(dois) pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos sobre os resultados encontrados no total da amostra. A margem de erro é apresentada sem casa decimal da mesma forma que os resultados são apresentados, ou seja, sem casa decimal.

First round

100%	Electorate	142,822,046
100%	Electorate	142,822,046

3.84%	Blank votes	4,420,489
3.84%	Blank votes	4,420,489
5.80%	Null votes	6,678,592
5.80%	Null votes	6,678,592
90.36%	Valid votes	104,023,802
90.36%	Valid votes	104,023,802

V %	T %	Candidate		Votes
V %	T %	Candidate		Votes
41.59%	37.58%		Dilma Rousseff	43,267,668
41.59%	37.58%		Dilma Rousseff	43,267,668
33.55%	30.31%		Aécio Neves	34,897,211
33.55%	30.31%		Aécio Neves	34,897,211
21.32%	19.26%		Marina Silva	22,176,619
21.32%	19.26%		Marina Silva	22,176,619
1.55%	1.40%		Luciana Genro	1,612,186
1.55%	1.40%		Luciana Genro	1,612,186
0.75%	0.67%		Everaldo Pereira	780,513
0.75%	0.67%		Everaldo Pereira	780,513
0.61%	0.54%		Eduardo Jorge	630,099
0.61%	0.54%		Eduardo Jorge	630,099
0.43%	0.38%		Levy Fidelix	446,878
0.43%	0.38%		Levy Fidelix	446,878
0.09%	0.07%		José Maria	91,209
0.09%	0.07%		José Maria	91,209
0.06%	0.05%		Jose Eymael	61,250
0.06%	0.05%		Jose Eymael	61,250
0.05%	0.04%		Mauro Iasi	47,845
0.05%	0.04%		Mauro Iasi	47,845
0.01%	0.01%		Rui Pimenta	12,324
0.01%	0.01%		Rui Pimenta	12,324

Statewide results of the first round of the 2014 Brazilian presidential election
Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error					Lead
Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error					Lead

25 Oct 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	48%	41%	5%	5%	7%
24–25 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	42%	46%	12	%	4%
24–25 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	19,318	±2%	47%	43%	5%	5%	4%
24–25 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	49%	43%	5%	3%	6%
24 Oct 2014	Nineth Presidential debate
23–24 Oct 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	44%	45%	6%	4%	1%
21–24 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	40%	48%	9	%	8%
22–23 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	9,910	±2%	48%	42%	5%	5%	6%
20–22 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	49%	41%	7%	3%	8%
21 Oct 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,355	±2%	47%	43%	6%	4%	4%
20 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	4,389	±2%	46%	43%	6%	5%	3%
17–20 Oct 2014	Veritá/Hoje em Dia	7,700	±1.4%	41%	47%	8%	4%	6%
19 Oct 2014	Eighth Presidential debate
18–19 Oct 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	46%	43%	5%	5%	3%
18–19 Oct 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	45%	44%	6%	4%	1%
14–17 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	38%	50%	12	%	12%
16 Oct 2014	Seventh Presidential debate
14–15 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	9,081	±2%	43%	45%	6%	6%	2%
14 Oct 2014	Sixth Presidential debate
12–14 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo	3,010	±2%	43%	45%	7%	5%	2%
11–12 Oct 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	45%	44%	5%	5%	1%
7–10 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	37%	52%	13	%	15%
8–9 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	2,879	±2%	44%	46%	4%	6%	2%
7–8 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	44%	46%	6%	4%	2%
6–8 Oct 2014	Veritá/Hoje em Dia	5,165	±1.4%	39%	48%	6%	7%	9%
5 Oct 2014	First round of the Presidential election
3–4 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	18,116	±2%	48%	42%	7%	3%	6%
3–4 Oct 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2%	46%	41%	—	—	5%
2–4 Oct 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	45%	37%	11%	7%	8%
2–3 Oct 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	46%	41%	10%	3%	5%
30 Sep–3 Oct 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	46%	37%	17	%	9%
2 Oct 2014	Fifth Presidential debate
1–2 Oct 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	12,022	±2%	48%	41%	7%	3%	7%
29 Sep–1 Oct 2014	Ibope	3,010	±2%	46%	33%	12%	9%	13%
29–30 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	7,520	±2%	50%	41%	7%	3%	9%
27–29 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	45%	35%	12%	8%	10%
28 Sep 2014	Fourth Presidential debate
27–28 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	48%	38%	9%	5%	10%
27–28 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	49%	37%	11%	3%	12%
25–26 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	11,474	±2%	50%	39%	8%	4%	11%
21–26 Sep 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	43%	38%	18	%	5%
23–24 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/Carta Capital	2,000	±2.2%	45%	37%	13%	7%	8%
20–22 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	46%	35%	13%	7%	11%
20–21 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	49%	34%	10%	7%	15%
20–21 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	45%	36%	13%	5%	9%
17–18 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	5,340	±2%	49%	39%	12%	6%	10%
16 Sep 2014	Third Presidential debate
13–15 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	44%	37%	12%	6%	7%
13–14 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	47%	36%	12%	5%	11%
8–9 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	10,568	±2%	49%	38%	9%	4%	11%
8–9 Sep 2014	Vox Populi/CartaCapital	2,000	±2.2%	44%	36%	12%	8%	8%
5–8 Sep 2014	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria	2,002	±2%	48%	33%	13%	6%	15%
5–7 Sep 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	47%	34%	15%	4%	13%
1–4 Sep 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	39%	35%	28	%	4%
1–3 Sep 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	10,054	±2%	49%	38%	10%	4%	11%
1 Sep 2014	Second Presidential debate
31 Ago–2 Sep 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,506	±2%	47%	34%	11%	8%	13%
28–29 Ago 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	2,874	±2%	48%	40%	9%	4%	8%
26 Ago 2014	First Presidential debate
23–25 Ago 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,506	±2%	41%	35%	12%	12%	6%
21–24 Ago 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	43%	33%	17%	7%	10%
14–15 Ago 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,843	±2%	47%	39%	9%	5%	8%
13 Ago 2014	Death of Eduardo Campos
9–12 Ago 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	38%	35%	28	%	3%
8–12 Ago 2014	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	42%	34%	18%	6%	8%
3–6 Ago 2014	Ibope/TV Globo	2,506	±2%	42%	36%	15%	7%	6%
18–21 Jul 2014	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,002	±2%	41%	33%	18%	8%	8%
15–16 Jul 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	5,377	±2%	44%	40%	10%	5%	4%
6 Jul 2014	Official start of the campaign period
1–2 Jul 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,857	±2%	46%	39%	10%	5%	7%
13–15 Jun 2014	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria	2,002	±2%	43%	30%	19%	8%	13%
12–15 Jun 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	36%	36%	28	%	0%
4–7 Jun 2014	Ibope/UVESP	2,002	±2%	42%	33%	20%	5%	9%
3–5 Jun 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	46%	38%	11%	5%	8%
26 May–4 Jun 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	38%	33%	30	%	5%
15–19 May 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	43%	24%	24%	10%	19%
7–8 May 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,844	±2%	47%	36%	12%	5%	11%
22–25 Apr 2014	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	39%	32%	30	%	7%
10–14 Apr 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	43%	22%	26%	9%	21%
2–3 Apr 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,637	±2%	50%	31%	16%	4%	19%
13–17 Mar 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	47%	20%	25%	9%	27%
19–20 Feb 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,614	±2%	54%	27%	16%	4%	27%
28–29 Nov 2013	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,557	±2%	57%	27%	12%	4%	20%
11 Oct 2013	Datafolha	2,517	±2%	54%	31%	12%	4%	23%
7–9 Aug 2013	Datafolha	?	?	53%	29%	15%	4%	24%

Second round

100%	Electorate	142,822,046
100%	Electorate	142,822,046

3.84%	Blank votes	4,420,489
3.84%	Blank votes	4,420,489
5.80%	Null votes	6,678,592
5.80%	Null votes	6,678,592
90.36%	Valid votes	104,023,802
90.36%	Valid votes	104,023,802

41.59%	Dilma Rousseff	43,267,668
41.59%	Dilma Rousseff	43,267,668
33.55%	Aécio Neves	34,897,211
33.55%	Aécio Neves	34,897,211

Abstention

Abstention

Statewide results of the first round of the 2014 Brazilian presidential election
Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error
Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error

15–16 Jul 2014	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	5,377	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	38%	11%	6%	—	—	—	—
1–2 Jul 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,857	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48%	35%	12%	6%	—	—	—	—
3–5 Jun 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47%	32%	14%	6%	—	—	—	—
15–19 May 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	42%	22%	25%	12%	—	—	—	—
7–8 May 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,844	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	32%	13%	5%	—	—	—	—
10–14 Mar 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	41%	25%	24%	10%	—	—	—	—	44%	17%	28%	12%	—	—	—	—
2–3 Apr 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,637	±2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	27%	17%	5%	—	—	—	—
13–17 Mar 2014	Ibope	2,002	±2%	45%	21%	24%	10%	—	—	—	—	47%	16%	26%	11%	—	—	—	—
19–20 Feb 2014	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,614	±2%	50%	35%	12%	3%	—	—	—	—	55%	23%	17%	4%	—	—	—	—
28–29 Nov 2013	Datafolha	4,557	±2%	50%	38%	9%	3%	—	—	—	—	58%	22%	15%	5%	—	—	—	—
11 Oct 2013	Datafolha	2,517	±2%	47%	41%	8%	3%	—	—	—	—	54%	28%	13%	5%	—	—	—	—
7–9 Aug 2013	Datafolha	?	?	46%	41%	11%	2%	—	—	—	—	55%	23%	18%	4%	—	—	—	—

Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error
				Scenario 1				Scenario 2				Scenario 3
Date(s) conducted	Poll source	Sample size	Margin of error
1–2 Oct	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	12,022	±2%	48%	41%	7%	3%	48%	41%	8%	3%	—	—	—	—
29 Sep–1 Oct	Ibope	3,010	±2%	46%	33%	12%	9%	43%	36%	12%	8%	38%	33%	18%	11%
29–30 Sep	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	7,520	±2%	50%	41%	7%	3%	49%	41%	7%	3%	—	—	—	—
27–29 Sep	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	45%	35%	12%	8%	42%	38%	12%	8%	38%	34%	16%	12%
27–28 Sep	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	48%	38%	9%	5%	46%	39%	9%	6%	—	—	—	—
27–28 Sep	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	49%	37%	11%	3%	48%	39%	11%	3%	41%	36%	19%	4%
25–26 Sep	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	11,474	±2%	50%	39%	8%	4%	47%	43%	7%	4%	—	—	—	—
21–26 Sep	Sensus/IstoÉ	2,000	±2.2%	43%	38%	18%		40%	40%	19%		—	—	—	—
23–24 Sep	Vox Populi/Carta Capital	2,000	±2.2%	45%	37%	13%	7%	42%	41%	12%	6%	—	—	—	—
20–22 Sep	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	46%	35%	13%	7%	41%	41%	12%	6%	44%	31%	16%	9%
20–21 Sep	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	49%	34%	10%	7%	46%	39%	9%	6%	—	—	—	—
20–21 Sep	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	45%	36%	13%	5%	42%	41%	12%	5%	43%	33%	17%	7%
17–18 Sep	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	5,340	±2%	49%	39%	12%	6%	44%	46%	11%	6%	49%	35%	15%	8%
13–15 Sep	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	3,010	±2%	44%	37%	12%	6%	40%	43%	11%	6%	48%	30%	15%	8%
13–14 Sep	Vox Populi/TV Record	2,000	±2.2%	47%	36%	12%	5%	41%	42%	11%	6%	—	—	—	—
8–9 Sep	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	10,568	±2%	49%	38%	9%	4%	43%	47%	6%	4%	54%	30%	10%	5%
8–9 Sep	Vox Populi/CartaCapital	2,000	±2.2%	44%	36%	12%	8%	41%	42%	10%	7%	—	—	—	—
5–8 Sep	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria	2,002	±2%	48%	33%	13%	6%	42%	43%	10%	5%	51%	27%	14%	8%
5–7 Sep	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	47%	34%	15%	4%	43%	45%	8%	3%	52%	27%	16%	5%
1–3 Sep	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	10,054	±2%	49%	38%	10%	4%	41%	48%	6%	5%	56%	28%	10%	6%
31 Ago–2 Sep	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,506	±2%	47%	34%	11%	8%	39%	46%	8%	6%	—	—	—	—
28–29 Ago	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	2,874	±2%	48%	40%	9%	4%	40%	50%	7%	3%	—	—	—	—
23–25 Ago	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,506	±2%	41%	35%	12%	12%	36%	45%	11%	19%	—	—	—	—
21–24 Ago	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	43%	33%	17%	7%	38%	44%	12%	6%	49%	25%	17%	9%
14–15 Ago	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,843	±2%	47%	39%	9%	5%	43%	47%	6%	4%	—	—	—	—
8–12 Ago	MDA/Confederação Nacional do Transporte	2,002	±2.2%	42%	34%	18%	6%	43%	28%	21%	7%	—	—	—	—
3–6 Ago	Ibope/TV Globo	2,506	±2%	42%	36%	15%	7%	44%	32%	16%	8%	—	—	—	—
18–21 Jul	Ibope/TV Globo/O Estado de S.Paulo	2,002	±2%	41%	33%	18%	8%	41%	29%	20%	10%	—	—	—	—
15–16 Jul	Datafolha/TV Globo/Folha de S.Paulo	5,377	±2%	44%	40%	10%	5%	45%	38%	11%	6%	—	—	—	—
1–2 Jul	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	2,857	±2%	46%	39%	10%	5%	48%	35%	12%	6%	—	—	—	—
13–15 Jun	Ibope/Confederação Nacional da Indústria	2,002	±2%	43%	30%	19%	8%	43%	27%	21%	9%	—	—	—	—
4–7 Jun	Ibope/União dos Vereadores do Estado de São Paulo	2,002	±2%	42%	33%	20%	5%	41%	30%	21%	8%	—	—	—	—
3–5 Jun	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	46%	38%	11%	5%	47%	32%	14%	6%	—	—	—	—
15–19 May	Ibope	2,002	±2%	43%	24%	24%	10%	42%	22%	25%	12%	—	—	—	—
7–8 May	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	47%	36%	12%	5%	49%	32%	13%	5%	—	—	—	—
2–3 Apr	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	50%	31%	16%	4%	51%	27%	17%	5%	—	—	—	—
19–20 Feb	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	54%	27%	16%	4%	55%	23%	17%	4%	—	—	—	—
28–29 Nov 2013	Datafolha/Folha de S.Paulo	4,337	±2%	57%	27%	12%	4%	58%	22%	15%	5%	—	—	—	—

Magno Malta, Denise Abreu, Randolfe Rodrigues.