Talk:Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election

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Section sizes

Section size for Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election (26 sections)
Section name	Byte count	Section total
(Top)	1,213	1,213
Graphical summaries	1,174	1,174
Guide to tables	3,654	3,654
National poll results	532	619,948
2024	124,810	124,810
2023	150,337	150,337
2022	148,519	148,519
2021	119,452	119,452
2020	76,298	76,298
Non-geographical samples	152	24,466
Ethnic minority voters	4,917	4,917
Muslim voters	4,719	4,719
Jewish voters	1,281	1,281
Private renter voters	2,494	2,494
Young voters	3,940	7,975
16–17 year olds	4,035	4,035
GB News viewers	2,928	2,928
Seat projections	433	31,544
Projections from aggregators	2,576	2,576
MRP and SRP polls	28,535	28,535
Exit poll	2,838	8,334
BBC updated forecasts	5,496	5,496
Sub-national poll results	116	116
See also	525	525
Notes	26	26
References	389	389
Total	691,389	691,389

This article has been mentioned by multiple media organizations:

Sparrow, Andrew (5 May 2021). "Starmer says Labour recovery will take more time ahead of 'Super Thursday' elections – as it happened". The Guardian.
Rentoul, John (18 January 2024). "John Rentoul answers your questions as Tory popularity plummets in the polls". The Independent.
Schofield, Kevin (11 March 2024). "Rishi Sunak Has Somehow Managed Make The Tories As Unpopular As Liz Truss Did". HuffPost.

Reviewing this article after the election - split needed?

With the election is now in the past, and no further polls to be added, it's probably time that we considered what the best form that this article takes permanently.

The article was tagged as being long, which is a fair assessment. There's about a MB of text here (though few pictures, which means actual page load is not too bad). We could potentially split off some of the smaller sections into articles such as Constituency polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election, though the majority of the bytes (~600k) are the national polls which is not so easy to split.

If we're honest this article is a clear (though popular) violation of WP:NOTDATABASE. Having a similar length on Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is pretty much inevitable if the next parliment lasts 4 or 5 years. The long-term solution would be somehow have the data hosted elsewhere (Wikidata?) and just summarised here.

One thing we don't have here at the moment is any prose discussion on poll performance, and how polling influenced the campaign.

Anyhow, no need to rush to any changes now - plenty of time to discuss. LukeSurl^t c 14:33, 10 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I recommend collapsing all the tables and seeing how it loads after that. CNC (talk) 15:48, 10 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I agree with this. It's worth a try to collapse all and see if rendering improves.

Some other options may be to split the 2023 opinion polls off, or to split each constituent country's polls off.

— Your local Sink Cat (The Sink). 03:50, 11 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

This is the longest page on Wikipedia at the moment. C F A 💬 23:35, 15 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Wow, crazy. Splitting off the constituency polling makes sense; we already host national and statewide polling for US Presidential elections on separate pages. GordonGlottal (talk) 01:44, 16 July 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Re: "...prose discussion on poll performance, and how polling influenced the campaign", there is one Financial Times article referenced, but it's behind a paywall so few readers will see it.

The present article does comment that the Conservative and Liberal Democrat votes were underestimated, and the Labour vote was overestimated . . . but leaves it at that. I suppose it could be argued that saying why there were these discrepancies would be speculation, and not the place if an encyclopaedia, but I expect the polling companies will try to explain them, and reporting that would be ok, wouldn't it? Nick Barnett (talk) 23:12, 2 August 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Splitting by year might work: eg. Opinion polling in 202X for the X UK General Election Btljs (talk) 01:18, 4 August 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Splitting proposal

The following discussion is closed. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made in a new section. A summary of the conclusions reached follows.

The result of this discussion was to split into Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election and Sub-national opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election. --Ahecht (TALK
PAGE) 15:55, 28 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Let's make this formal. I am proposing to split this article into National opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election and Sub-national opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election. These terms were taken from the sections in Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election, but given the somewhat sensitive nature of what is and isn't a nation when it comes to the UK, I'm open to other suggestions.

Pinging LukeSurl, CommunityNotesContributor, Sink Cat, CFA, GordonGlottal, Nick Barnett, and Btljs from the above discussion and top 10 contributors Ralbegen, Smart51, JBC05, BrexitZZZ, Utilisateur19911, Nicholas13t, LukeSurl, SD604, Cutler, and Phinbart. --Ahecht (TALK
PAGE) 00:01, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

What is the main problem you want to solve, Ahecht? Nick Barnett (talk) 09:51, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

@Nick Barnett The page is very large, slow to load in some browsers, and trying to edit it in source mode bogs down even high-end computers. Also, while it's hard to define word count for list articles, this one is well over the 15,000-word "almost certainly should be divided or trimmed" level in WP:TOOBIG. --Ahecht (TALK
PAGE) 14:13, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Thanks. Then I agree your initial proposal is the way to go. Nick Barnett (talk) 17:36, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I support this proposal. Bondegezou (talk) 10:26, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree - may be the first step of multiple , but better than doing nothing. LukeSurl^t c 14:29, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree - could've been done before the election and should be quite simple to divide this up into two or three articles. The page is currently 888,129 bytes and is currently the second longest article on the whole of Wikipedia, behind List of Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign endorsements (983,392 bytes). Clyde1998 (talk) 18:51, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree – as per 2015's article, it would be good practice to divide into subnational and constituency polling. It would be good practice to do that for previous elections too. Mia ^{a data witch! talk · contribs} 20:13, 21 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

To clarify, are you also proposing a split between sub-national and constituency? Personally, I don't think a third split is necessary as those tend to be shorter; it may actually be worth merging 2015 sub-national and constituency polling. At the moment, 2015 and 2024 are the only pages in need of splitting imo as there weren't as many polls conducted for 2010 and before, and 2017 and 2019 only had two years of polls. Icantthinkofausernames (talk) 14:23, 22 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree - Polls for National Parliaments and Regional Assemblies are not polls for the UK General Election. They deserve their own pages in their own right, regardless of the size of this page. Smart51 (talk) 08:49, 22 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

All the polls on this page are of Westminster voting intention. Those for the area of mayorality or nation were likely often secondary questions on a survey following a question for that region, but they remain in scope for this article. LukeSurl^t c 09:33, 22 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree - we should split-off sub-national into a different article as this page feels really clunky and slow. I think we should leave the title of the main article as-is though, without the additional 'national'. Icantthinkofausernames (talk) 14:05, 22 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

I agree on keeping "National" off of the main article since it's the primary topic. --Ahecht (TALK
PAGE) 14:54, 22 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Agree Btljs (talk) 07:05, 27 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Done --Ahecht (TALK
PAGE) 15:53, 28 October 2024 (UTC)[reply]

The discussion above is closed. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page. No further edits should be made to this discussion.

Wow

Dang this this the longest article on Wikipedia. Didn't think it'd be on something so recent, but that's neat. I've gotta go sit down now because I just read this entire article. From Rushpedia, the free stupid goofball (talk) 19:21, 30 August 2024 (UTC)[reply]