Talk:Assassination of Pim Fortuyn

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predicted to win

I can't read Dutch - can someone clarify the sentence in the opening sentence, that he was predicted to win? He was expected to get elected, sure, but since he was the leader of the LPF, "win" suggests he would have been elected Prime Minister, no? The LPF had no seats and with the swell of support after Fortuyn's election, they managed to elect 26 of 150. - 206.126.92.209 (talk) 12:12, 6 May 2012 (UTC)[reply]

Apparently both listed sources for this claim are interviews with Wim Kok (then prime-minister). The claim that he was predicted to win seems to revolve around polls held before the elections. Getting 26 out of 150 seats as a new party is viewed in the Netherlands as almost impossible. It would therefor be likely for the new coalition cabinet to include the LPF (as they were one of the largest parties at the time). D(r)ead End (talk) 12:53, 6 May 2012 (UTC)[reply]

In the context of elections in The Netherlands, "to win" means winning more seats than any other party. Traditionally, the leader of the party that wins the most seats in the Second Chamber (Tweede Kamer, House of Representatives) will be invited to form a government. This, however, is not a rule or law, but merely a tradition. In the 2002 elections, the Pim Fortuyn party became the second-largest party in the Second Chamber. The leader of the party who won the most seats in the elections, Jan-Peter Balkenende of the Christian-Democrat CDA, was invited to try and form a new government. It was his (and his party's) choice to approach the Pim Fortuyn List and the Liberal party (VVD) to join a coalition government. He could have opted instead to ask the Social-Democrat party (PvdA) to join the CDA and VVD in a coalition, but the political landscape of the time made a government coalition of CDA, PvdA and VVD highly unlikely. Had the Pim Fortuyn party gained more seats in the election than the Christian-Democrats, their leader would most likely have been invited to try to form a government. (82.171.32.73 (talk) 15:39, 6 May 2014 (UTC))[reply]

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