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Opinion polling for the 2022 Serbian general election

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2022 Serbian general election
Preceding events
Participants
Results and aftermath
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← 2017
← 2020		 3 April
2022		 TBD →
2023 →

In the run-up to the 2022 Serbian general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. Results of such poll are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 2 April 2017, and the previous parliamentary election, held on 21 June 2020, to 3 April 2022.

Graphical summary

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Parliamentary election

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Local regression chart of poll results from 21 June 2020 to 3 April 2022

Presidential election

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Local regression chart of poll results from 10 December 2021 to 3 April 2022. This graph only includes candidates that took part in the 2022 presidential election

Poll results

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Parliamentary election

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2022

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size SNS–led
coalition 		SPAS SPS–JS UZPS Moramo NADA Sovereignists Dveri SSZ SRS SDS–Nova Others Lead
DJB ZS
2022 election 3 April – 44.3 11.8 14.0 4.8 5.5 2.3 3.9[a] 3.8 2.2 1.7 5.7 30.3
Ipsos[1] 31 March 1,100 51.4 8.5 13.8 4.5 4.2 2.6 2.4 3.4 1.7 1.2 6.3[b] 37.6
Faktor Plus[2] 29 March 1,100 53.6 10.2 13.7 4.7 3.8 3.1 2.2 3.7 2.0 2.3 0.7 39.9
NSPM[3] 29 March 1,150 51.7 8.9 17.0 7.3 2.4 1.9 2.0 2.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 34.7
ŠSM[4] 28 March 2,400 44.7 5.7 20.1 5.8 3.3 3.1 2.8 3.0 1.2 2.7 7.6[c] 24.6
Nova S[5] 14 March 1,003 53.6 6.9 13.2 8.1 3.4 1.7 2.6 3.2 1.3 3.1 2.9[d] 40.4
Faktor Plus[6] 7 March 1,100 53.4 10.1 14.0 5.0 3.9 3.0 2.1 3.6 1.8 1.5 1.6 39.4
NSPM[7] 17 February 1,000 41.4 7.4 16.6 12.1 2.0 2.4 2.1 3.4 2.1 2.3 8.2 24.8
Sprint insight[8] 9 February 1,179 55.0 13.5 7.5 2.0 2.0 – 5.0 2.0 – 13.0 41.5
NSPM[9] 4 February – 43.4 9.2 14.8 13.1 3.2 3.7 2.7 2.5 1.7 5.7 28.6
Faktor Plus[10] 30 January 1,100 55.6 10.2 13.3 7.5 4.0 3.0 1.7 3.6 1.1 – 0.0 42.3

2021

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size SNS–led
coalition 		SPAS SPS–JS UZPS Moramo NADA DJB ZS Dveri SSZ SRS SDS–Nova Others Lead
SSP Narodna DS PSG NDB ZZS EU DSS POKS
Faktor Plus[11] 20 December 1,200 57.0 10.3 12.0 7.0 4.3 2.4 1.2 1.4 3.0 1.4 – 0.0 45.0
ŠSM[12] 10 December 1,525 49.9 7.7 17.9 8.8 2.2 2.5 1.0 1.2 2.8 0.6 0.8 4.6[e] 32.0
Demostat[13] 2 December – 55.0 16.0 9.0 – – – – 5.0 – – 15.0 39.0
Faktor Plus[14] 31 October – 58.3 10.4 5.4 2.7 1.9 1.5 3.0 4.3 3.4 – 1.5 2.9 1.4 – 3.3[f] 47.9
Faktor Plus[15] 29 September – 58.0 10.3 5.1 2.7 1.4 1.3 2.0 4.3 3.6 1.2 1.7 – 1.2 – 7.2[g] 47.7
Faktor Plus[16] 3 August – 58.2 9.0 4.5 2.5 1.2 1.4 2.7 4.0 3.8 – 2.0 2.0 1.5 – 7.2[h] 49.2
ŠSM[17] 31 July 1,067 53.8 7.0 6.4 4.9 1.9 1.2 9.4 3.9 2.9 – 1.6 1.4 1.4 – 4.2 44.4
Ipsos[18] 27 June – 61.2 8.9 4.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 1.4 0.3 – 1.9 3.2 3.0 0.8 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.0 7.6[i] 52.3
Faktor Plus[19] 10 May 1,200 60.0 3.4 8.1 3.3 – – – – – – 3.9 3.9 – – – – – 17.4[j] 51.9
Ipsos[20] 5 April 1,000 58.0 3.6 7.2 3.8 – – – – – – – – 4.4 – – – – – 20.6 50.8
Faktor Plus[21] 18 February – 60.3 4.2 8.3 3.2 2.4 – 1.5 – – – 3.7 3.8 – 1.5 2.2 1.4 – 7.5 52.0
Ipsos[22] 1 January – 61.9 3.6 9.0 1.6 0.3 1.1 0.8 – – – 2.3 2.0 3.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.6 0.9 8.6[k] 52.9

2020

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size SNS–led
coalition 		SPAS SPS–JS SSP Narodna DS PSG DSS POKS DJB Dveri SSZ SRS Others Lead
Sprint insight[23] 19 December – 46.8 6.4 11.5 2.2 1.1 0.4 2.1 2.9 3.7 5.3 2.3 – 3.6 11.7[l] 35.3
Faktor Plus[24] 4 September – 59.1 5.1 9.0 3.1 2.3 – – – – – 2.0 – – 19.4 50.1
2020 election 21 June – 63.0 3.9 10.8 – – – 1.6 2.3 2.7 2.4 – 1.5 2.1 9.7 42.2

Presidential election

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2022

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size Aleksandar Vučić Zdravko Ponoš Biljana Stojković Miloš Jovanović Branka Stamenković Boško Obradović Milica Đurđević Miša Vacić Others Lead
2022 election 3 April – 60.0 18.8 3.3 6.1 2.0 4.5 4.3 0.9 0.1 41.2
Ipsos[1] 31 March 2,400 60.1 16.4 5.0 5.5 2.2 2.8 4.9 0.3 2.8 43.7
ŠSM[4] 28 March 2,400 55.1 27.0 3.1 4.4 2.2 3.0 3.0 0.2 2.0 28.1
Sprint insight[8] 9 February 1,179 45.7 10.8 – 5.3 – 8.5 16.1 – 13.6 29.6

2021

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size Aleksandar Vučić Zdravko Ponoš Miloš Jovanović Boško Obradović Milica Đurđević Others Lead
ŠSM[12] 10 December 1,525 46.9 11.6 5.6 4.0 2.1 29.8 35.3

2017

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Polling firm Date of publishment Sample size Aleksandar Vučić Saša Janković Vuk Jeremić Luka Maksimović Vojislav Šešelj Boško Obradović Others Lead
Faktor Plus[25] 2 June – 60.1 16.2 6.3 4.8 3.9 – 8.8 43.9
2017 election 2 April – 56.0 16.6 5.7 9.6 4.6 2.3 5.1 39.4

Notes

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  1. ^ Dveri took part with POKS in the 2022 parliamentary election
  2. ^ VMSZ/SVM: 1.2%, SPP: 0.7%, ZZV–DSHV: 0.6%, SDA S: 0.3%, OBAP: 0.3%, RP: 0.2%, RMS: 0.2%, APN/AZP: 0.1%, KSLP: 0.1%
  3. ^ VMSZ/SVM: 1.8%, SPP: 1.0%, ZZV–DSHV: 0.9%, OBAP: 0.8%, SDA S: 0.6%, APN/AZP: 0.6%, KSLP: 0.1%, RP: 0.1%, Blank ballots: 1.6%
  4. ^ Excluded 8.8% of the voters that were undecided and 6.1% that refused to answer
  5. ^ Levijatan: 0.9%, VMSZ/SVM: 0.9%, #1od5m: 0.8%, SPP: 0.5%, PVD/PDD: 0.4%, SDA S: 0.4%, LDP: 0.1%, LSV: 0.1%, Blank ballots: 1.9%
  6. ^ S90/ZS: 1.8%, Other: 1.5%
  7. ^ S90/ZS: 1.4%, Other: 2.9%
  8. ^ Minority parties: 4%
  9. ^ VMSZ/SVM: 1.5%, Levijatan: 1.1%, SPP: 0.8%, SDA S: 0.6%, LSV: 0.5%, LDP: 0.4%, Black on White: 0.1%, Other: 0.9%
  10. ^ Minority parties: 4%
  11. ^ VSMZ/SVM: 1.6%, SPP: 1.1%, Levijatan: 0.7%, LSV: 0.7%, SDA S: 0.4%, Other: 2.3%
  12. ^ NDB: 1.3%

References

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  1. ^ a b "Konačne procene rezultata predsedničkih i parlamentarnih izbora 2022. godine" (PDF) (in Serbian). Ipsos. 31 March 2022. Archived from the original (PDF) on 31 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  2. ^ "Poslednje predizborno istraživanje: SNS iznad 50 odsto, oko cenzusa tesno, čak 6 listi u borbi za ulazak u Skupštinu Srbije". Blic (in Serbian). 29 March 2022. Archived from the original on 29 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  3. ^ "Srbija mart 2022. - parlamentarni izbori". Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 29 March 2022. Archived from the original on 29 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  4. ^ a b Mladenović, Miljan (28 March 2022). "Predizborno istraživanje - mart 2022" (in Serbian). Šta Srbija misli?. Archived from the original on 23 April 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  5. ^ Latković, Nataša (14 March 2022). "Istraživanje rejtinga pred izbore: SNS i SPS nemaju većinu u Beogradu" (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 14 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  6. ^ Mastilović Jasnić, Ivana (6 March 2022). "SNS iznad 50 odsto, još šest lista prelazi cenzus: Poslednje istraživanje rejtinga političkih stranaka agencije "Faktor plus"". Blic (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 2 April 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  7. ^ "Istraživanje Srbija - februar 2022. godine". Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 17 December 2022. Archived from the original on 17 February 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  8. ^ a b Valtner, Lidija (9 February 2022). "Istraživanje: Kome bi glas dalo najviše neodlučnih glasača opozicije u Srbiji". Danas (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 2 November 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  9. ^ Jelovac, Jelena (4 February 2022). "ISTRAŽIVANJE: Kako stoje stranke pred aprilske izbore". NOVA portal (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 28 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  10. ^ Mastilović Jasnić, Ivana (30 January 2022). "SNS na 55,6 odsto, a ko još prelazi cenzus? Najnovije istraživanje "Faktor plusa": jedna lista ulazi u parlament iz drugog plana?". Blic (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 30 January 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  11. ^ Mastilović Jasnić, Ivana (20 December 2021). "SNS 57%, opozicija 12%, zeleni 7% istraživanje "Faktor plus": Da li će protesti uticati na izlaznost i koliko će promeniti rejtinge stranaka?". Blic (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 22 December 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  12. ^ a b "Politička situacija u Srbiji - novembar 2021" (in Serbian). Šta Srbija misli?. 10 December 2022. Archived from the original on 19 March 2022. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  13. ^ "Demostat: Ekološke proteste podržava 14 odsto pristalica SNS i stranaka vlasti" (in Serbian). N1. 2 December 2021. Archived from the original on 2 December 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  14. ^ "Faktor plus: SNS 58,3 odsto, još četiri liste bi prešle cenzus". Dnevnik (in Serbian). 31 October 2021. Archived from the original on 1 November 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  15. ^ "Najnovije istraživanje pokazalo: SNS nedodirljiv, apsolutna dominacija, preko cenzuja još četiri stranke". Srbija Danas (in Serbian). 29 September 2021. Archived from the original on 10 January 2023. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  16. ^ "Faktor plus: SNS 58,2%, SPS 9, SSP 4,5 DSS-POKS 4, manjinske stranke 4, DJB 3,8". Nova srpska politička misao (in Serbian). 3 August 2021. Archived from the original on 3 August 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  17. ^ Mladenović, Miljan (18 August 2021). "Kako stoji opozicija manje od godinu dana pre izbora?" (in Serbian). Šta Srbija misli?. Archived from the original on 29 September 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  18. ^ "Vučić ispuni ono što obeća, zato mu građani veruju! Ipsos: da su izbori danas, SNS bi osvojila 59,8% glasova!". Informer (in Serbian). 27 June 2021. Archived from the original on 28 November 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  19. ^ "Najnovije istraživanje rejtinga: SNS i dalje ubedljivo prvi, Šapićev SPAS pao, a samo jedna stranka "bojkot opozicije" prešla bi cenzus". Blic (in Serbian). 10 May 2021. Archived from the original on 14 June 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  20. ^ "Najnoviji rezultati Ipsos: SNS 58 odsto glasova da su izbori ovih dana, SPS 7,2 odsto, nekoliko stranka bi se borilo za cenzus". Kurir (in Serbian). 5 April 2021. Archived from the original on 5 April 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  21. ^ "Najnovije istraživanje: Samo dve stranke iznad "starog cenzusa", SNS nikad jači, DS više ne postoji, a najjača opoziciona partija je ona koja se raspala na paramparčad". Blic (in Serbian). 23 February 2021. Archived from the original on 28 March 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  22. ^ "Najnoviji rezultati Ipsos: Đilas ima podršku 0,6 odsto građana Srbije, a Šešelj 0,7! Srbi najviše veruju Vučiću". Kurir (in Serbian). 1 January 2021. Archived from the original on 27 January 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  23. ^ Rujević, Nemanja (19 December 2020). "Povratak Dosta je bilo u pandemijskom metežu". Deutsche Welle (in Serbian). Archived from the original on 12 March 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  24. ^ "Novo istraživanje: Kad bi izbori bili prekosutra..." B92 (in Serbian). 4 September 2022. Archived from the original on 28 November 2021. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
  25. ^ Spalović, Dejan (2 June 2017). "Za Vučića bi danas glasalo 60 odsto ispitanika" (in Serbian). Politika. Archived from the original on 10 June 2017. Retrieved 10 January 2023.
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