Opinion polling for the 2022 Colombian presidential election
Appearance
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 Colombian presidential election, the first round of which was held on 29 May. Because no candidate won a majority, a second round was held on 19 June between the top two candidates, Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández Suárez.[1][2]
First round
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Table of values
[edit]Polling organisation/client | Date(s) conducted | Sample size |
Gustavo Petro PHC |
Federico Gutiérrez EPC |
Rodolfo Hernández LIGA |
Sergio Fajardo CCE |
Íngrid Betancourt PVO |
John M. Rodríguez CJL |
Enrique Gómez MSN |
Luis Pérez IND |
Blank | No vote | Unsure/No answer | Margin of Error | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First round election[3] | 29 May 2022 | – | 40.34% | 23.94% | 28.17% | 4.18% | 0.07% | 1.28% | 0.23% | 0.05% | 1.73% | – | – | – | ||||||||||
Betancourt withdrew her candidacy on 20 May 2022[4] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
AtlasIntel[5] | 17–20 May 2022 | 2,781 | 40% | 26.7% | 21.4% | 8.8% | 0.2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | ||||||||||
CELAG[6] | 16–20 May 2022 | 2,174 | 45.1% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 4.9% | – | – | – | – | 3.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | ||||||||||
Guarumo[7] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,258 | 37.9% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | – | 2.4% | – | 2.2% | 2.5% | ||||||||||
CNC[8] | 13–19 May 2022 | 3,860 | 41% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | – | 6.6% | – | – | 1.5% | ||||||||||
4,412 | 35.8% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 4% | 0.6% | 1% | 0.3% | – | 5.7% | 2.5% | 9.9% | |||||||||||||
Invamer[9] | 13–18 May 2022 | 1,312 | 40.6% | 27.1% | 20.9% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | – | 4.6% | – | – | 2.71% | ||||||||||
Mosqueteros[10] | 15–18 May 2022 | 6,000 | 44.7% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 6.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | – | 7.9% | – | – | 1.27% | ||||||||||
CNC[11] | 2–13 May 2022 | 6,204 | 38% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | – | 6% | 2% | 6% | 1.2% | ||||||||||
Pérez withdrew his candidacy on 11 May 2022[12] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
TYSE[13] | 23 Apr–8 May 2022 | 8,000 | 36.6% | 21.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 6.2% | – | 14.4% | 2.7% | ||||||||||
YanHaas[14] | 30 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,232 | 40% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 1% | – | 0.3% | 0.3% | 13% | – | 6% | 3.2% | ||||||||||
Guarumo[15] | 25–29 April 2022 | 2,132 | 36.4% | 30.6% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 5.7% | – | 4.3% | 2.5% | ||||||||||
Invamer[16] | 21–27 April 2022 | 1,409 | 43.6% | 26.7% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 5.7% | – | – | 2.55% | ||||||||||
CNC/Semana[17] | 18–21 April 2022 | 4,599 | 38% | 23.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 8.8% | 1.4% | ||||||||||
CELAG[18] | 1–19 April 2022 | 3,064 | 42.6% | 21.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.0% | — | — | — | 6.6% | 1.4% | 5.1% | 2.19% | ||||||||||
CNC[19] | 4–7 April 2022 | 1,965 | 34% | 23% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 12% | 2.2% | ||||||||||
Guarumo[20] | 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 | 1,865 | 34% | 25% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 10.3% | — | 7.4% | 2.5% | ||||||||||
CNC/Semana[21] | 28–31 March 2022 | 4,206 | 36.5% | 24.5% | 10% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | ||||||||||
YanHaas[22] | 14–19 March 2022 | 1,236 | 37% | 19% | 11% | 10% | 2% | — | 0.3% | 0.2% | 16% | — | 5% | 3.2 | ||||||||||
CNC/Semana[23] | 18–19 March 2022 | 2,143 | 32% | 23% | 10% | 10% | 3% | — | 1% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 2.1% |
Polls prior to the finalisation of candidates
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Table of values
[edit]2022
[edit]Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Alfredo Saade
|
Arelis Uriana
|
Aydeé Lizarazo
|
Camilo Romero
|
Carlos Amaya
|
David Barguil
|
John Milton Rodríguez
|
Luis Pérez
|
Others
|
No vote
|
Blank
|
Margin of error
| |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[24] | 10–12 March | 2,376 | 7.0% | 1.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.4% | – | 35.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | – | 4.8% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | – | 2.4% | – | 2% |
Guarumo[25] | 28 Feb–4 Mar | 2,345 | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 32.7% | 3.3% | – | 1.2% | – | 3.4% | – | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | – | 4.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% |
CELAG[26] | 14 Jan–4 Feb | 2,126 | 11.3% | 3.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.1% | 2.2% | – | 28.1% | – | 1.0% | – | – | 2.3% | – | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | – | 11.8% | 15.1% | 2.19% |
CNC[27] | 26 Jan–2 Feb | 2,206 | 5% | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | 1% | 2% | 4% | – | 27% | 7% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 4% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 2.1% |
YanHaas[28] | 25–31 January | 1,225 | 5% | 1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 27% | 2% | 0.1% | 1% | 0.1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 7% | – | 19% | – | 3.2% |
2021
[edit]Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Camilo Romero
|
David Barguil
|
Dilian Francisca Toro
|
Enrique Peñalosa
|
Luis Pérez
|
María Fernanda Cabal
|
Paloma Valencia
|
Rodrigo Lara
|
Tomás Uribe
|
Others
|
Blank
|
Margin of error
| |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YanHaas[29] | 30 Nov–8 Dec | 1,230 | 5% | 1% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 3% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 13% | – | – | 8% | – | – | 4% | 18% | 2.8% |
CNC/Semana[30] | 26 Nov–7 Dec | 4,093 | 4.5% | 2.3% | – | – | 0.6% | – | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 25.4% | – | – | 0.6% | – | 3.9% | – | – | – | 6.4% | – | 11% | – | – | 7.3% | – | – | – | 17.4% | 1.5% |
CNC[31] | 9–12 November | 1,069 | – | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | 5% | – | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 19% | 7% | 3% |
Datexco[32] | 15–26 October | 1,200 | – | 6% | – | – | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | 4% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 11% | 9% | N/A |
CNC[33] | 8–14 October | 2,012 | – | 2.6% | – | – | 1.3% | – | 1.2% | 3% | – | 19.7% | 1.8% | – | – | 4.2% | – | 3.2% | – | – | 1.8% | – | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 5.8% | – | – | – | 22.5% | N/A |
CNC[34] | 3–8 September | 2,019 | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 1% | 4% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | 4% | – | 3% | – | 5% | – | – | 7% | – | – | – | 23% | 2.4% |
Guarumo[35] | 14–16 August | 1,367 | 4.2% | – | – | 1.2% | – | – | – | 8.9% | – | 21.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | – | – | 6.0% | – | 1.4% | – | 3.8% | – | 3.3% | – | 12.7% | – | – | 7.1% | 10.8% | 2.5% | |
CNC[36] | 17–22 June | 2,077 | 3% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 3% | 2% | 21% | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | 26% | 2.4% |
CELAG[37] | 13 May–8 June | 1,945 | 4.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.9% | 5.2% | 30.3% | 6.2% | – | – | – | 7.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.7% | – | 3.3% | 4.2% | 14.3% | N/A |
Guarumo[38] | 19–23 May | 1,480 | 4.8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.5% | – | 20.6% | 2.3% | 2% | – | 2.8% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.8% | – | 2% | 8.3% | 20.4% | N/A |
Guarumo[39] | April | 1,370 | 7.6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.7% | – | 24.2% | 2.3% | 2% | – | 2.8% | 3% | – | – | 6.9% | – | – | – | – | – | 16.9% | – | 4.2 | – | – | N/A |
Invamer[40] | April | 1,008 | 6.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.2% | – | 38.3% | 4% | 3.7% | – | 1.3% | 4.4% | - | – | 11.8% | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9% | – | 4.6% | – | 4.6% | 5% |
CNC[41] | 8–18 March | 4,435 | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 6% | 3% | 23% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 6% | – | – | 9% | – | 1% | 4% | – | – | 12% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | N/A |
Datexco[42] | 4–15 March | 1,200 | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 19% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 3% | 2% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | – | – | 9% | 5% | 2.8% |
2020
[edit]Polling organisation/client | Dates conducted | Sample size |
Paloma Valencia
|
Rafael Nieto Loaiza
|
Tomás Uribe
|
Blank
|
Margin of error
| |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Invamer[43] | 19–22 November | 1,008 | 5.5% | 1.3% | – | – | 2.1% | 6.7% | – | – | 25.9% | 7% | 0.6% | – | – | – | 7.2% | 18.7% | – | – | – | 0.6% | 20.5% | – | 3.9% | 3% |
Guarumo[44] | 27–30 September | 1,257 | 11.2% | – | – | – | – | 12.1% | – | – | 13.4% | – | – | – | 1.7% | – | 8% | 2.1% | – | – | 1.0% | – | 18.1% | – | – | N/A |
CNC[45] | 8 September | 809 | 2% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 5% | – | 3% | 16% | 5% | – | 2% | – | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 5% | 3% | N/A |
Guarumo[46] | 11–15 August | 1,876 | 9.1% | – | – | – | – | 12.4% | – | – | 16.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.7% | – | – | – | – | 23.1% | – | – | N/A |
CNC[47] | 3–6 August | 1,207 | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 2% | – | 18% | – | – | 2% | – | 1% | 11% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – | 4% |
Invamer[48] | 30 July–4 August | 1,008 | 7% | – | – | – | – | 8.9% | – | – | 32.9% | 12.1% | – | 4.3% | – | – | – | 11.4% | – | 1.3% | – | – | 19.9% | – | 2.1% | 5% |
Second round
[edit]Petro vs. Hernández
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Dates conducted | Sample size |
Gustavo Petro PHC |
Rodolfo Hernández LIGA |
Blank | No vote | Unsure/No answer | Margin of Error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Second round election[49] | 19 June 2022 | – | 50.42% | 47.35% | 2.23% | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[50] | 8–11 June 2022 | 4,467 | 47.5% | 50.2% | 2.4% | – | – | 1% |
YanHaas[51] | 5–10 June 2022 | 1,234 | 45% | 35% | 13% | – | 7% | 3.2% |
GAD3[52] | 30 May–10 June 2022 | 5,236 | 47.1% | 47.9% | 5% | – | – | 1.4% |
Guarumo[53] | 6–9 June 2022 | 2,029 | 46.5% | 48.2% | 5.3% | – | – | 2.5% |
GAD3[54] | 30 May–9 June 2022 | 4,834 | 48.1% | 46.8% | 5.1% | – | – | 1.3% |
Mosqueteros[55] | 7–8 June 2022 | 6,000 | 43.83% | 44.68% | 3.54% | – | 7.95% | 1.27% |
GAD3[56] | 30 May–8 June 2022 | 4,438 | 48.5% | 46.7% | 4.9% | – | – | 1.5% |
Invamer[57] | 3–7 June 2022 | 1,329 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.7% | – | – | 2.69% |
GAD3[58] | 30 May–7 June 2022 | 4,041 | 47.8% | 47.1% | 5.1% | – | – | 1.6% |
GAD3[59] | 30 May–6 June 2022 | 3,240 | 46.8% | 47.8% | 5.4% | – | – | 1.7% |
GAD3[60] | 30 May–4 June 2022 | 3,240 | 46.8% | 48.1% | 5.1% | – | – | 1.3% |
Guarumo[61] | 1–4 June 2022 | 1,958 | 43.3% | 46.4% | 8.4% | – | 1.9% | 2.5% |
YanHaas[62] | 30 May–3 June 2022 | 1,234 | 42% | 41% | 13% | – | 5% | 3.2% |
GAD3[63] | 30 May–3 June 2022 | 2,840 | 46.3% | 47.9% | 5.8% | – | – | 1.9% |
CNC[64] | 31 May–2 June 2022 | 2,172 | 44.9% | 41% | 3% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
GAD3[65] | 2 June 2022 | 553 | 45.6% | 50.4% | 4% | – | – | 2.1% |
GAD3[66] | 1 June 2022 | 555 | 45.1% | 52.3% | 2.6% | – | – | 2.4% |
GAD3[67] | 30–31 May 2022 | 1,199 | 44.8% | 52.5% | 2.7% | – | – | 2.9% |
CNC[68] | 30–31 May 2022 | 1,200 | 39% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 2.8% |
AtlasIntel[5] | 17–20 May 2022 | 2,781 | 39.8% | 48.2% | – | – | – | 2% |
Guarumo[7] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,258 | 45.2% | 41.5% | 8.6% | – | 4.7% | 2.5% |
CNC[8] | 13–19 May 2022 | 4,412 | 40.5% | 40.5% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 6% | 1.5% |
Mosqueteros[69] | 15–18 May 2022 | 6,000 | 45.3% | 35% | 19.7% | – | – | 1.27% |
Invamer[9] | 13–18 May 2022 | 1,195 | 50.0% | 47.4% | 2.6% | – | – | 2.83% |
YanHaas[14] | 30 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,232 | 46% | 31% | – | 23% | – | 3.2% |
Guarumo[15] | 25–29 Apr 2022 | 2,132 | 44.5% | 37.1% | 8.6% | – | 9.8% | 2.5% |
Invamer[16] | 21–27 April 2022 | 1,243 | 56% | 40.6% | 3.4% | – | – | 2.55 |
CNC[17] | 18–21 April 2022 | 4,599 | 44.1% | 34.1% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
CNC[19] | 4–7 April 2022 | 1,965 | 40% | 38% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 2.2% |
CNC[70] | 28–31 March 2022 | 4,206 | 42.6% | 34.4% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
YanHaas[71] | 14–19 March 2022 | 1,236 | 41% | 32% | – | 27% | – | 3.2% |
Other scenarios
[edit]The following charts display matchups involving a candidate who did not qualify for the second round.
Petro vs. Gutiérrez
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date(s) conducted | Sample size |
Gustavo Petro PHC |
Federico Gutiérrez EPC |
Blank | No vote | Unsure/No answer | Margin of Error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[5] | 17–20 May 2022 | 2,781 | 45.4% | 39.4% | – | – | – | 2% |
Guarumo[7] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,258 | 45.7% | 42% | 9.2% | – | 3.1% | 2.5% |
CNC[8] | 13–19 May 2022 | 4,412 | 44.2% | 34.9% | 5.2% | 10% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
Mosqueteros[69] | 15–18 May 2022 | 6,000 | 50.9% | 30.5% | 18.6% | – | – | 1.27% |
Invamer[9] | 13–18 May 2022 | 1,205 | 52.7% | 44.2% | 3.1% | – | – | 2.82% |
CNC[11] | 2–13 May 2022 | 6,204 | 47% | 39% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1.2% |
YanHaas[14] | 30 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,232 | 47% | 34% | – | 19% | – | 3.2% |
Guarumo[15] | 25–29 April 2022 | 2,132 | 43.8% | 40.9% | 8.8% | – | 6.5% | 2.5% |
Invamer[16] | 21–27 April 2022 | 1,306 | 52.4% | 45.2% | 2.4% | – | – | 2.55% |
CNC/Semana[17] | 18–21 April 2022 | 4,599 | 44.8% | 36.9% | 5.2% | 8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
CELAG[18] | 1–19 April 2022 | 3,064 | 51.7% | 32.6% | 10.4% | – | 5.3% | 2.2% |
CNC[19] | 4–7 April 2022 | 1,965 | 41% | 39% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 2.2% |
Guarumo[20] | 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 | 1,865 | 40.1% | 43.5% | 7.4% | – | 9% | 2.5% |
CNC[70] | 28–31 March 2022 | 4,206 | 43.1% | 40.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
YanHaas[71] | 14–19 March 2022 | 1,236 | 42% | 35% | – | 23% | – | 3.2% |
Petro vs. Fajardo
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Gustavo Petro PHC |
Sergio Fajardo CCE |
Blank | No vote | Unsure/No answer | Margin of Error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[5] | 17–20 May 2022 | 2,781 | 41.5% | 34.8% | – | – | – | 2% |
Guarumo[7] | 16–19 May 2022 | 2,258 | 45% | 38.7% | 12.3% | – | 4% | 2.5% |
CNC[8] | 13–19 May 2022 | 4,412 | 43.6% | 32% | 5.9% | 13% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
Mosqueteros[69] | 15–18 May 2022 | 6,000 | 50.1% | 25.8% | 24.1% | – | – | 1.27% |
Invamer[9] | 13–18 May 2022 | 1,125 | 57.8% | 39.0% | 3.2% | – | – | 2.92% |
YanHaas[14] | 30 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,232 | 46% | 29% | – | 24% | – | 3.2% |
Guarumo[15] | 25–29 April 2022 | 2,132 | 44.8% | 36% | 11.1% | – | 8.1% | 2.5% |
Invamer[16] | 21–27 April 2022 | 1,215 | 56.5% | 40.4% | 3.1% | – | – | 2.55% |
CNC[17] | 18–21 April 2022 | 4,599 | 43.4% | 35.8% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 5% | 1.4% |
CNC[19] | 4–7 April 2022 | 1,965 | 39% | 38% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 2.2% |
CNC[70] | 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 | 4,206 | 41.5% | 38.3% | 5% | 11.2% | 4% | 1.5% |
YanHaas[71] | 14–19 March 2022 | 1,236 | 41% | 35% | – | 24% | – | 3.2% |
Petro vs. Betancourt
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Gustavo Petro PHC |
Íngrid Betancourt PVO |
Blank | No vote | Unsure/No answer | Margin of Error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[5] | 17–20 May 2022 | 2,781 | 46.4% | 17.3% | – | – | – | 2% |
CNC[8] | 13–19 May 2022 | 4,412 | 46.5% | 20.9% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
CNC[17] | 18–21 April 2022 | 4,599 | 46.9% | 23.2% | 7.2% | 17.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
CNC[70] | 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 | 4,206 | 44.7% | 26% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
Coalition primaries
[edit]Historic Pact
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Alfredo Saade
|
Arelis Uriana
|
Camilo Romero
|
No vote
|
Blank
|
Don't know/No response
|
Margin of error
| |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary election[72] | 13 March 2022 | – | 0.38% | 0.98% | 4.06% | 14.05% | 80.5% | – | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[24] | 10–12 March 2022 | 2,736 | 0.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 85.2% | – | 0.9% | – | 1.9% | 3% |
Guarumo[25] | 24 Feb–4 March 2022 | 2,345 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 81.6% | – | – | – | – | 2.5% |
Invamer[73] | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 78.6% | – | – | – | – | 2.92% |
CNC[27] | 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 | 2,206 | 1% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 77% | – | 1% | – | 0.6% | 2.1% |
CNC[30] | 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 | 4,093 | – | 1% | 4% | 3% | 89% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% | 1.5% |
Invamer[74] | 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 | 1,200 | 0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 82.4% | 2.7% | – | 0% | – | 3.49% |
Team for Colombia
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Aydeé Lizarazo
|
David Barguil
|
No vote
|
Blank
|
Unsure/no answer
|
Margin of error
| |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary election[75] | 13 March 2022 | – | 17.72% | 6.51% | 15.77% | – | 5.8% | 54.18% | – | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[24] | 10–12 March 2022 | 2,736 | 21.3% | 1.8% | 14.8% | – | 5.2% | 49.3% | – | 4.6% | – | 3.1% | 4% |
Guarumo[25] | 24 Feb–4 Mar 2022 | 2,345 | 29.2% | 4.2% | 21.4% | – | 11.8% | 33.4% | – | – | – | – | 2.5% |
Invamer[73] | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | 24.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | – | 18.7% | 28.9% | – | – | – | – | 2.92% |
CNC[27] | 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 | 2,206 | 30% | 5% | 6% | – | 21% | 30% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 2.1% |
CNC[30] | 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 | 4,093 | 34% | – | 4% | 6% | 21% | 24% | 5% | 4% | – | 2% | 1.5% |
Invamer[74] | 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 | 1,200 | 26.1% | – | 8.8% | 10.6% | 22.7% | 26.4% | 4.3% | – | 1% | – | 3.49% |
Hope Center
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Polling organisation/client | Date conducted | Sample size |
Carlos Amaya
|
No vote
|
Blank
|
Unsure/no answer
|
Margin of error
| |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary election[76] | 13 March 2022 | – | 15.58% | 20.89% | 7.46% | – | 22.55% | 33.5% | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel[24] | 10–12 March 2022 | 2,736 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 5.2% | – | 13.8% | 46.1% | 3.2% | – | 3.9% | 5% |
Guarumo[25] | 24 Feb–4 Mar 2022 | 2,345 | 21.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | – | 22.1% | 37.5% | – | – | – | 2.5% |
Invamer[73] | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | 12.9% | 14.9% | 10.5% | – | 23.9% | 37.8% | – | – | – | 2.92% |
CNC[27] | 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 | 2,206 | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 31% | 39% | 4% | – | 1% | 2.1% |
CNC[30] | 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 | 4,093 | 17% | 4% | 3% | – | 31% | 43% | 2% | – | 2% | 1.5% |
Invamer[74] | 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 | 1,200 | 9.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 32.4% | 43.5% | – | 0.7% | – | 3.49% |
References
[edit]- ^ Holly K. Sonneland; Hope Wilkinson (14 March 2022). "Explainer: Who's Who in Colombia's 2022 Presidential Race". AS/COA. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
- ^ "Colombia presidential election heads to runoff, with leftist former rebel Petro, populist businessman Hernandez". ABC News. 30 March 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ "La diferencia entre el preconteo y el escrutinio municipal en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de 2022 fue de tan solo el 0,1 %" (in Spanish). National Registry of Colombia. 1 June 2022. Retrieved 5 June 2022.
- ^ "Ingrid Betancourt renuncia a la candidatura: adhiere a Rodolfo Hernández". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 20 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Colombia: National". AtlasIntel. 20 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta Colombia, mayo 2022" (in Spanish). CELAG. 20 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Petro y "Fico" irían a segunda vuelta y Rodolfo se consolida en el tercer puesto: Guarumo". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 20 May 2022. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Federico Gutiérrez y Rodolfo Hernández, prácticamente empatados en primera vuelta: encuesta del CNC". Semana (in Spanish). 19 May 2022. Retrieved 20 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Encuesta Invamer: Rodolfo Hernández, la sorpresa; Petro y Fico se mantienen". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 19 May 2022. Retrieved 20 May 2022.
- ^ Lina María Vega (19 May 2022). "Encuesta Mosqueteros: Petro con 44,73%, 'Fico' con 22,42% y Rodolfo Hernández con 15,84% lideran intención de voto". W Radio (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 19 May 2022. Retrieved 20 May 2022.
- ^ a b "Petro, 'Fico' y Rodolfo, los candidatos con más intención de voto". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 15 May 2022. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
- ^ "El exgobernador Luis Pérez renuncia a su candidatura presidencial". colombia.com (in Spanish). 11 May 2022. Archived from the original on 11 May 2022. Retrieved 12 May 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta" (PDF) (in Spanish). El Tiempo. 16 May 2022. Retrieved 17 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d "¿Quiénes ganan y quiénes pierden, tras la cuarta Gran Encuesta?". RCN (in Spanish). 10 May 2022. Archived from the original on 11 May 2022. Retrieved 11 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d Neira, Armando (1 May 2022). "Petro y Fico, favoritos para primera vuelta, pero habría empate en segunda". El Tiempo (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 1 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Colombian leftist Petro leads presidential election poll". Reuters. Bogotá. 29 April 2022. Archived from the original on 12 May 2022. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
- ^ a b c d e "Atención Gustavo Petro consolida su ventaja y se perfila como el próximo presidente: encuesta del CNC". Semana (in Spanish). 22 April 2022. Archived from the original on 24 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b "Encuesta Colombia, abril 2022". CELAG (in Spanish). 21 April 2022. Archived from the original on 12 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Nueva encuesta: empate técnico entre Petro y Fico en segunda vuelta". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 8 April 2022. Archived from the original on 2 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b "Dos encuestas vaticinan una disputada segunda vuelta entre Petro y Fico". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 4 April 2022. Archived from the original on 27 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro y Fico, adelante en la 1.ª vuelta; para la 2.ª se aprieta el duelo". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 2 April 2022. Archived from the original on 27 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "La Gran Encuesta: Petro encabeza intención de voto para las presidenciales, seguido por 'Fico'". LAFM (in Spanish). 21 March 2021. Archived from the original on 18 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro y Fico se separan del lote en nueva encuesta presidencial". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 20 March 2022. Archived from the original on 13 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Encuesta Atlas: Elecciones legislativas y consultas presidenciales 2022" (in Spanish). AtlasIntel. 12 March 2022. Archived from the original on 13 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Petro, Fico y Fajardo ganarían las consultas, según encuesta Guarumo". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 6 March 2022. Archived from the original on 25 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta Colombia, febrero 2022" (in Spanish). CELAG. 8 February 2022. Archived from the original on 20 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Nueva encuesta: Gustavo Petro y Rodolfo Hernández crecen". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 5 February 2022. Archived from the original on 28 February 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "#LaGranEncuesta Petro, Fajardo y Gutiérrez puntean en intención de voto en coaliciones". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 6 February 2022. Archived from the original on 9 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Gustavo Petro se queda con el podio de La Gran Encuesta". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 13 December 2021. Archived from the original on 12 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "¡Despegó Rodolfo Hernández! La segunda vuelta presidencial podría ser entre él y Gustavo Petro". Semana (in Spanish). 11 December 2021. Archived from the original on 12 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta ¿Por quién votaría a la Presidencia?". Canal1 (in Spanish). 12 November 2021. Archived from the original on 25 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Datexco: En segunda vuelta, Petro ganaría excepto si enfrenta a Fajardo o Galán". El Espectador (in Spanish). 3 November 2021. Archived from the original on 11 May 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro y los enanitos: encuesta presidencial de SEMANA revela su sorprendente ventaja frente a sus rivales". Semana (in Spanish). 18 October 2021. Archived from the original on 2 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro, Fajardo y Galán lideran nueva encuesta presidencial en Colombia" (in Spanish). Valora Analitik. 8 September 2021. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Gustavo Petro y Sergio Fajardo siguen liderando intención de voto para elecciones de Colombia en 2022" (in Spanish). Valora Analitik. 19 August 2021. Archived from the original on 25 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta SEMANA: Gustavo Petro bajó 4 puntos después del paro, ¿qué pasó con los demás candidatos?". Semana (in Spanish). 26 June 2021. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta Colombia, junio 2021" (in Spanish). CELAG. 9 June 2021. Archived from the original on 23 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta: vea cómo va la intención de voto para el 2022". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 25 May 2021. Archived from the original on 12 January 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta sobre los precandidatos presidenciales". Canal1 (in Spanish). 27 April 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Aprobación de presidente Iván Duque cae, Petro lidera intención de voto: encuesta Invamer". Caravel TV (in Spanish). 21 April 2021. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro se escapa del lote y puntea en encuesta de intención de voto a la Presidencia". Semana (in Spanish). 23 March 2021. Archived from the original on 16 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Petro, Fajardo and Char lead voting intention for 2022, according to Datexco". El Espectador (in Spanish). 17 March 2021. Archived from the original on 13 June 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2022.
- ^ "Gustavo Petro y Sergio Fajardo encabezan intención de voto para presidenciales de 2022". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 26 November 2021. Archived from the original on 26 November 2020. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Fajardo supera a Petro en intención de voto". El Tiempo. 2 October 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Fajardo le gana a Petro en intención de voto, según CNC". Blu Radio (in Spanish). 8 September 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Así va la carrera entre los aspirantes a la Presidencia en 2022". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 18 August 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Gran Encuesta: Gustavo Petro lidera intención de voto para elecciones presidenciales de 2022". Canal TV (in Spanish). 6 August 2020. Archived from the original on 18 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Detención de Álvaro Uribe: el 53% está de acuerdo y el 41,4% no". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 13 August 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "En la segunda vuelta presidencial del 2022 se registró la abstención más baja de los últimos 24 años" (in Spanish). National Register of Colombia. 21 June 2022. Archived from the original on 6 July 2022. Retrieved 21 July 2022.
- ^ "Colombia: National". AtlasIntel. 11 June 2022. Retrieved 15 June 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta Yanhaas: Petro 45 %; Rodolfo 35 %; voto en blanco 13 %". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 11 June 2022. Retrieved 11 June 2022.
- ^ "Rodolfo Hernández Vs Gustavo Petro: resultados del cabeza a cabeza en último tracking presidencial". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 11 June 2022. Retrieved 11 June 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta: Rodolfo, 48,2 %; Petro, 46,5 %; voto en blanco, 5,3 %". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 11 June 2022. Retrieved 11 June 2022.
- ^ "Tracking Presidencial: Petro sigue liderando y Rodolfo se estanca". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 10 June 2022. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
- ^ "Rodolfo Hernández toma ventaja sobre Petro en nueva encuesta electoral". Valora Analitik (in Spanish). 9 June 2022. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
- ^ "Tracking Presidencial: Tracking Presidencial: Petro sigue liderando y le saca más ventaja a Rodolfo. Consultado el 9 de junio de 2022". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 9 June 2022. Retrieved 8 June 2022.
- ^ Mireya Fernández Beltrán (10 June 2022). "Rodolfo Hernández 48,2% y Gustavo Petro 47,2%: encuesta Invamer prevé final de infarto". Caravel TV (in Spanish). Retrieved 11 June 2022.
- ^ "Tracking Presidencial: Tracking Presidencial: por primera vez, Petro se pone adelante de Rodolfo. Consultado el 8 de junio de 2022". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 8 June 2022. Retrieved 8 June 2022.
- ^ "Tracking Presidencial: Rodolfo Hernández bajó al 47.8% mientras que Petro se mantiene en 46,8%. Consultado el 7 de junio de 2022". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 7 June 2022. Retrieved 7 June 2022.
- ^ "Rodolfo Hernández tiene 48,1 % de los votos y Gustavo Petro 46,8 % en segunda vuelta, según encuesta". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 5 June 2022. Retrieved 6 June 2022.
- ^ "Nueva encuesta: Rodolfo, 46,4 %; Petro, 43,3 %". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 5 June 2022. Retrieved 6 June 2022.
- ^ "La Gran Encuesta revela empate técnico: Gustavo Petro, 42%; Rodolfo Hernández, 41 % para segunda vuelta". El País (in Spanish). 5 June 2022. Archived from the original on 5 June 2022. Retrieved 5 June 2022.
- ^ Erika Villanueva (4 June 2022). "Rodolfo Hernández sigue liderando y el voto en blanco crece, según tracking presidencial". RCN Radio (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 June 2022.
- ^ "Atención: se aprieta la competencia por la Presidencia, según CNC, Gustavo Petro (44,9%) y Rodolfo Hernández (41%)". Semana (in Spanish). 3 June 2022. Retrieved 4 June 2022.
- ^ Laura Rodríguez Hernández (3 June 2022). "Rodolfo Hernández sigue liderando intención de voto en segunda vuelta, pero pasó del 52,5 % al 50,4 %". RCN Radio (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 June 2022.
- ^ Laura Rodríguez Hernández (2 June 2022). "Rodolfo Hernández sigue liderando intención de voto en segunda vuelta con el 52.3 %, según consultora GAD3". RCN Radio. Retrieved 3 June 2022.
- ^ "Rodolfo Hernández ganaría segunda vuelta con un 52%, según Tracking Presidencial". RCN Radio (in Spanish). 1 June 2022. Retrieved 1 June 2022.
- ^ "Nueva encuesta CNC: Rodolfo llega al 41%, Petro queda en 39 %". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 1 June 2022. Retrieved 1 June 2022.
- ^ a b c "Estudio Electoral" (PDF) (in Spanish). Valoraanalitik. Retrieved 4 June 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Segunda vuelta presidencial de infarto: Fico Gutiérrez está a solo tres puntos de Gustavo Petro". Semana (in Spanish). 2 April 2022. Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c "#GranEncuesta: Gustavo Petro gana en todos los escenarios de segunda vuelta". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 21 March 2022. Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. Archived from the original on 14 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c "Así votarían los colombianos en segunda vuelta, según la más reciente encuesta Invamer". BluRadio (in Spanish). 4 March 2022. Archived from the original on 24 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ a b c "Encuesta Invamer: Pacto Histórico sería la coalición más votada en las consultas interpartidistas". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 5 December 2021. Archived from the original on 16 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. 17 March 2022. Archived from the original on 14 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
- ^ "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. 17 March 2022. Archived from the original on 3 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.