Opinion polling for the 2009 European Parliament election in France
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This is a list of public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
Graphical summary
[edit]The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the seven major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).
Because the Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.
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Voting intentions
[edit]Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with one asterisk (*), while the hypothetical poll conducted for the Left Party by Ifop in January 2009 is marked with two asterisks (**). The Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 59.37% | 1.20% | 4.88% | 6.05% | 16.48% | 16.28% | 3.63% | 8.46% | 27.88% | 4.80% (Libertas) | 1.77% | 6.34% | 0.51% | 1.73% | ||
| Ipsos | 5–6 Jun 2009 | 888 | – | 1.5% | 5% | 6.5% | 18% | 16.5% | 1.5% | 8.5% | 28.5% | 5% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 2.5% | ||
| Ifop | 4–5 Jun 2009 | 856 | 63% | 1.5% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 12% | – | 12% | 27.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 5.5% | – | 4.5% | ||
| CSA[dead link] | 3–4 Jun 2009 | 875 | – | 1% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 1% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres | 3–4 Jun 2009 | 1,000 | – | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 19% | 15.5% | 1.5% | 12.5% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | 2–3 Jun 2009 | 1,002 | 60% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 21% | 11% | 1.5% | 11% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 2–3 Jun 2009 | 4,970 | 56% | 2.5% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 12.5% | 26% | 5% | 0.5% | 6.5% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres | 2 Jun 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 20% | 13.5% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 3,527 | – | 1.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 21.5% | 11% | 1.5% | 11% | 26% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 8.5% | – | 1.5% | ||
| Ipsos | 29–30 May 2009 | 861 | 60% | 1.5% | 7% | 5.5% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 6% | 0.5% | 5.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 28–29 May 2009 | 858 | 63% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 21% | 9.5% | – | 13% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 2.5% | ||
| CSA[dead link] | 27–28 May 2009 | 862 | – | 2% | 5% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 13% | 25% | 6% | 1% | 8% | – | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres | 27–28 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2.5% | 6% | 7% | 20% | 11% | 1.5% | 13% | 26% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 25–27 May 2009 | 5,581 | – | 1% | 6% | 5% | 20% | 10% | 2.5% | 13% | 26% | 6% | 0.5% | 7% | – | 3% | ||
| TNS Sofres | 25–26 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 2% | 6% | 7% | 19% | 11% | 1.5% | 14% | 26% | 4% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 3% | ||
| Ipsos | 22–23 May 2009 | 861 | 63% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 20% | 10.5% | – | 13% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | – | 4% | ||
| CSA[dead link] | 19–20 May 2009 | 903 | – | 1% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 9% | 2% | 14% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 15–18 May 2009 | 4,724 | – | 2% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 6% | – | 1% | ||
| Ipsos | 15–16 May 2009 | 862 | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 10% | – | 11% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 5% | – | 3% | ||
| Viavoice | 13–15 May 2009 | 1,010 | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 22% | 9% | – | 13% | 27% | 5% | 2% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| CSA[dead link] | 13–14 May 2009 | 1,003 | – | 2% | 5% | 4% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 2% | ||
| OpinionWay | 7–10 May 2009 | 5,079 | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 22% | 9% | 1% | 13% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | ||
| Ifop | 6–7 May 2009 | 886 | – | 2% | 7% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 7% | – | 13.5% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 7.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop* | 29 Apr–7 May 2009 | 1,741 | – | 2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 8% | – | 14% | 26% | 5% | – | 7.5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | 30 Apr–2 May 2009 | 861 | – | 2% | 7% | 6% | 23% | 10% | – | 11% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 23–24 Apr 2009 | 853 | – | 3% | 7% | 5.5% | 22.5% | 7.5% | – | 14% | 26.5% | 5% | 1% | 7.5% | 0.5% | – | ||
| OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2009 | 1,005 | – | – | 7% | 5% | 23% | 10% | – | 12% | 28% | 5% | 1% | 6% | – | 3% | ||
| CSA[dead link] | 15–16 Apr 2009 | 904 | – | 2% | 7% | 3% | 25% | 10% | – | 12% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 8% | – | – | ||
| Ipsos | 13–14 Mar 2009 | 887 | – | 2% | 9% | 6% | 24% | 9% | – | 10% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 5.5% | 0.5% | – | ||
| Ifop | 12–13 Feb 2009 | 862 | – | 3% | 9% | 4% | 23% | 7% | – | 14.5% | 26% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 0.5% | – | ||
| Ifop** | 22–23 Jan 2009 | 876 | – | 14.5% | 22.5% | 7% | – | 14% | 25.5% | 6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 6.5% | – | – | |||
| Ifop | 27–28 Nov 2008 | 881 | – | 4% | 8% | 4% | 22% | 11% | – | 12% | 2% | 22% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 7% | – | – |
| 2004 election | 13 Jun 2004 | – | 57.24% | 2.56% | 5.25% | 28.90% | 7.41% | 1.91% | 11.96% (UDF) | 16.64% | 6.67% | 1.73% | – | 9.81% | – | 7.16% | ||
By constituency
[edit]Nord-Ouest
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 60.21% | 2.08% | 5.80% | 6.84% | 18.10% | 12.10% | 3.56% | 8.67% | 24.22% | 4.26% | 2.40% | 10.18% | 1.52% | 0.28% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 5% | 9% | 5% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 23% | 5% | – | 9% | 1% | 1% | ||
Ouest
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 57.64% | 1.25% | 5.13% | 4.58% | 17.29% | 16.65% | 3.73% | 8.48% | 27.16% | 10.27% | 0.59% | 3.06% | 1.82% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 24% | 12% | 1% | 16% | 22% | 7% | – | 5% | 2% | ||
Est
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 60.90% | 1.46% | 5.64% | 3.89% | 17.24% | 14.28% | 4.26% | 9.44% | 29.20% | 4.10% | 2.33% | 7.57% | 0.58% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1.5% | 7% | 6% | 20% | 9% | 1.5% | 10% | 24% | 5% | – | 15% | 1% | ||
Sud-Ouest
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 55.50% | 1.02% | 5.62% | 8.16% | 17.72% | 15.83% | 4.24% | 8.61% | 26.89% | 3.06% | 1.28% | 5.94% | 0.92% | 0.74% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 2% | 8% | 7% | 21% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 24% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 2% | ||
| Ifop | 12–13 May 2009 | 703 | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 23% | 8.5% | 3% | 13% | 23.5% | 5% | – | 5.5% | – | 2.5% | ||
Sud-Est
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 60.36% | 0.84% | 4.33% | 5.90% | 14.49% | 18.27% | 3.75% | 7.37% | 29.34% | 4.29% | 1.99% | 8.49% | 0.92% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1.5% | 5.5% | 6% | 22% | 9% | 1% | 8.5% | 29% | 7% | – | 9.5% | 1% | ||
Massif-Central Centre
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | DIV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 57.43% | 1.40% | 5.45% | 8.06% | 17.79% | 13.58% | 3.45% | 8.15% | 28.51% | 4.90% | 1.43% | 5.12% | 1.88% | 0.27% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 11% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 3% | – | 9% | – | 2% | ||
Île-de-France
[edit]| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | LO | NPA | FG | PS | EE | AEI | MoDem | NC | UMP | MPF | CPNT | DLR | FN | PAS | DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 election | 7 Jun 2009 | – | 57.94% | 0.74% | 3.48% | 6.32% | 13.58% | 20.86% | 2.97% | 8.52% | 29.60% | 3.28% | 2.44% | 4.40% | 1.30% | 2.51% | ||
| BVA | 27 May–1 Jun 2009 | 500 | – | 1% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 11% | 30.5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 0.5% | 2% | ||
| TNS Sofres | 14–16 May 2009 | 1,000 | – | 1% | 3% | 5.5% | 21.5% | 14% | 3% | 12% | 33% | 1% | 0.5% | 4% | 0.5% | 1% | ||
See also
[edit]- Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France
- Opinion polling for the 2019 European Parliament election in France
External links
[edit]- Notices of the French polling commission (in French)