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Opinion polling for the 1979 Canadian federal election

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This article is about polls leading up to the 1979 Canadian federal election.

During the 30th Parliament of Canada

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions at national level among decided voters
Polling firm Last day
of survey
Source PC LPC NDP SC Other Undecided ME Sample
Election 1979 May 22, 1979 35.89 40.11 17.88 4.61 1.51
Gallup May 16, 1979 [1] 37.5 37.5 19 5 4
CBC-Carleton May 10, 1979 [2] 40.9 39.6 14.5 4.4 0.6 3 2,322
CTV May 1979 [1] 40 40 17 3
CBC-Carleton April 20, 1979 [3] 40.2 38.4 16 4.6 2,286
Gallup April 5, 1979 [4] 38 43 17 4 1,004
Fabien Roy becomes leader of the SC (March 30, 1979)
Gallup March 1979 [5] 41 41 15 4 1,047
Complan March 1979 [5] 40 42 14 2 2
Lorne Reznowski resigns and Charles-Arthur Gauthier becomes interim leader of SC (February 23, 1979)
Complan February 1979 [6] 37 42 17 2,000
Gallup February 1979 [7] 38 39 19
Gallup January 6, 1979 [8] 40 39 17
Gallup December 1978 [9] 40 38 18 4 1,015
Gallup November 1978 [10] 45 35 18 2 1,035
Gallup October 1978 [11] 42 37 17 4
Gallup September 9, 1978 [12] 38 41 17
Gallup August 1978 [13] 35 45 15 4 1,000
Gallup July 1978 [14] 34 42 19
Lorne Reznowski becomes leader of SC (May 7, 1978)
Gallup May 1978 [15] 39 43 15
Gilles Caouette resigns and Charles-Arthur Gauthier becomes interim leader of SC (April 11, 1978)
Gallup April 1978 [16] 41 41 14 4 4 1,035
Gallup March 1978 [17] 34 45 17 4
Gallup February 1978 [18] 34 45 17 4 38
Gallup December 1977 [19] 34 42 19 5 36 1,010
Gallup November 1977 [20] 34 44 18 4 33
Gallup October 1977 [20] 32 49 15 5
Gallup September 1977 [20] 30 49 18 3
Gallup August 1977 [20] 29 50 17 4
Gallup July 1977 [20] 27 51 18 4
André-Gilles Fortin died (June 24, 1977) Gilles Caouette becomes interim leader of SC (June 29, 1977)
Gallup June 1977 [21] 27 51 18
Gallup May 1977 [22] 32 47 17
Gallup April 1977 [23] 34 44 18 39
Gallup March 1977 [23] 36 42 17
Gallup February 1977 [20] 37 41 17 4
Gallup January 1977 [20] 45 35 16 4
Gallup December 1976 [24] 47 33 16 4 35 1,053
André-Gilles Fortin becomes leader of the SC (November 7, 1976)
Gallup November 1976 [25] 42 35 17 6 35 4 1,058
Gallup October 1976 [25] 44 33 17 6
Réal Caouette resigns as leader of the SC (September 16, 1976)
Gallup September 1976 [25] 45 33 16 6
Gallup August 1976 [25] 47 29 17 7
Gallup July 1976 [26] 46 31 17 5 33 4 1,011
Gallup June 1976 [26] 44 34 16 5
Gallup May 1976 [26] 43 31 21 5
Gallup April 1976 [26] 46 31 17 6
Gallup March 1976 [27] 43 34 17 6 29
Joe Clark becomes leader of the PC party (February 22, 1976)
Gallup February 1976 [27] 37 38 19 6
Gallup January 1976 [27] 37 39 17 7
Gallup December 1975 [27] 36 38 19 7
Gallup November 1975 [27] 32 38 22 8
Gallup October 1975 [27] 33 40 20 7
Ed Broadbent becomes leader of the NDP (July 7, 1975)
Gallup July 1975 [28] 36 39 17 8 41 4 1,039
Gallup June 1975 [28] 33 41 17 9
Gallup May 1975 [28] 35 41 18 6
Gallup April 1975 [28] 32 44 17 7
Gallup March 1975 [29] 31 47 16 6 1,058
Gallup February 1975 [29] 30 47 17 6
Gallup January 1975 [29] 31 46 17 6
Gallup December 1974 [29] 32 44 16 8
Gallup November 1974 [29] 33 45 16 6
Gallup October 1974 [29] 29 48 15 8
Gallup September 1974 [29] 28 48 16 8
Election 1974 July 8, 1974 35.46 43.15 15.44 5.06 0.89

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Simpson, Jeffrey (May 21, 1979). "Polls say it's a tie, but Tory lead likely". The Globe and Mail. p. 1.
  2. ^ Lavigne, Yves (May 15, 1979). "Tories still leading Liberals, CBC-Carleton survey says". The Globe and Mail. p. 2.
  3. ^ "Conservatives are ahead, CBC poll says, although Trudeau more popular than Clark". The Globe and Mail. April 24, 1979. p. 9.
  4. ^ "Poll shows Liberals in front of Tories, Clark says voters underestimate him: The national campaign". The Globe and Mail. April 26, 1979. p. 9.
  5. ^ a b "35% of voters undecided, March Gallup poll says". The Globe and Mail. April 5, 1979. p. 9.
  6. ^ "PM is ahead of Clark, TV poll says". The Globe and Mail. February 26, 1979. p. 4.
  7. ^ Simpson, Jeffrey (March 8, 1979). "Tories, NDP pleased despite a slight lead by Liberals in Gallup". The Globe and Mail. p. 9.
  8. ^ Simpson, Jeffrey (February 8, 1979). "Vote chances dim after newest poll puts parties even". The Globe and Mail. p. 8.
  9. ^ Trueman, Mary (January 11, 1979). "PCs still ahead: Tories peaked early, jubilant Liberals say". The Globe and Mail. p. 1.
  10. ^ Stevens, Geoffrey (December 13, 1978). "Federal political prospects". The Globe and Mail. p. 6.
  11. ^ "Shows I was right,' Trudeau says of poll". The Globe and Mail. November 2, 1978. p. 8.
  12. ^ Simpson, Jeffrey (October 5, 1978). "Tories gain four points in latest poll". The Globe and Mail. p. 8.
  13. ^ "Poll doesn't show provincial split, senator objects". The Globe and Mail. September 8, 1978. p. 8.
  14. ^ Palango, Paul (August 10, 1978). "Not disheartened by poll drop, Tory leader itching for fight". The Globe and Mail. p. 8.
  15. ^ "Poll showing Liberal lead fails to upset Tory leader". The Globe and Mail. June 8, 1978. p. 10.
  16. ^ Stevens, Jeffrey (May 11, 1978). "Figuring the Gallup". The Globe and Mail. p. 6.
  17. ^ "Spring vote fever sweeps Ottawa after latest poll". The Globe and Mail. April 6, 1978. p. 8.
  18. ^ "Grits gain over Tories, NDP". The Citizen. April 5, 1978. p. 10.
  19. ^ "Liberal strength declines". The Citizen. January 18, 1978. p. 8.
  20. ^ a b c d e f g "Poll shows Liberal support down". The Citizen. December 7, 1977. p. 9.
  21. ^ Gray, John (July 13, 1977). "Liberals could win in a walk". The Citizen. p. 1.
  22. ^ Gray, John (June 2, 1977). "Liberals ponder fall vote". The Citizen. p. 7.
  23. ^ a b MacPherson, Bill (May 11, 1977). "Liberal popularity climbing". The Citizen. p. 1.
  24. ^ "Tories cut wide swath in Quebec". The Citizen. January 5, 1977. p. 7.
  25. ^ a b c d "Liberals gaining in popularity". The Citizen. December 1, 1976. p. 7.
  26. ^ a b c d "Tories holding impressive lead". The Citizen. August 4, 1976. p. 7.
  27. ^ a b c d e f Sellar, Don (April 7, 1976). "Tories surge ahead". The Citizen. p. 1.
  28. ^ a b c d "Federal Grit support down". The Citizen. August 6, 1975. p. 7.
  29. ^ a b c d e f g "Liberals gain, Tories dip in latest survey findings". The Citizen. April 2, 1975. p. 59.