Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election
(Redirected from Next Hungarian parliamentary election)
In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.
Pollster bias
[edit]The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:
| Pollster | Alleged bias | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Publicus | The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment | [1] |
| Republikon | The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment | [2] |
| 21 Kutatóközpont | The company has strong ties to the liberal political segment | [3] |
| Medián | The company has some ties to the liberal political segment | [4] |
| IDEA | The company has strong ties to DK | [1] |
| Závecz Research | The company has strong ties to MSZP | [1] |
| Iránytű | The company has strong ties to Jobbik | [5] |
| Real-PR 93 | The company has strong ties to Fidesz | [6] |
| Magyar Társadalomkutató | The company has strong ties to Fidesz | [7] |
| Alapjogokért Központ | The company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them | [8] |
| Nézőpont | The company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them | [9][10] |
| Századvég | The company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them | [9][11] |
Party polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]The graph and the table show the support of the parties as a percentage of those voters, who have chosen a party. Those who did not reply or could or would not choose, are ignored.
Poll results
[edit]Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Other parties in bold pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–).
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
DK–MSZP–Dialogue | 
|
|
|
|
MHM | 
|
NP | 2RK | 
|
Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| |||||||||||||||
| 9–11 Dec 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 4 | 3 | – | – | 37 | 3 | 10 |
| Dec 2024 | Századvég | 1,000 | 42 | 5 | 1 | – | 3 | – | – | – | 7 | 7 | – | – | 34 | 1 | 8 |
| 29 Nov-6 Dec 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 6 |
| 25–27 Nov 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1,000 | 44 | 5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 36 | 4 | 8 |
| 20–30 Nov 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1[a] | 4 |
| 20–26 Nov 2024 | Medián | 1,200 | 36 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 0 | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | 1 | 47 | 1 | 11 |
| 19–22 Nov 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 1,000 | 45 | 2 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 6 | 6 | – | – | 37 | 3 | 8 |
| 14–19 Nov 2024 | Századvég | 1,000 | 40 | 5 | 1 | – | 2 | – | – | – | 7 | 9 | – | – | 35 | 1 | 5 |
| 14–19 Nov 2024 | Publicus | 1,000 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 3 | – | – | 39 | 1 | 1 |
| 11–13 Nov 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 46 | 5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 8 | 4 | – | – | 34 | 2 | 12 |
| 31 Oct–8 Nov 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 3 |
| 28 Oct–4 Nov 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 39 | 3 | 1 | – | 1 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 46 | – | 7 |
| 28–30 Oct 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1,000 | 44 | 6 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 35 | 3 | 9 |
| 24–29 Oct 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 36 | – | 1 |
| Oct 2024 | Századvég | 1,000 | 43 | 4 | 2 | – | 2 | – | – | – | 7 | 7 | – | – | 34 | 1 | 9 |
| The leaders of DK and MSZP announce that they will run candidates on their own in the next parliamentary election.[12][13] | |||||||||||||||||
| 14–17 Oct 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 46 | 5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 35 | 3 | 11 |
| 11–18 Oct 2024 | Publicus | 1,000 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 4 | – | – | 39 | 2 | 2 |
| 9–15 Oct 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1,000 | 40 | 4 | 1 | – | 2 | 1 | – | – | 5 | 4 | – | – | 42 | 1 | 2 |
| 28 Sep–8 Oct 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 39 | 7 | 2 | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | 5 | 4 | – | 1 | 35 | 1[b] | 4 |
| 27 Sep–7 Oct 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 2 |
| 16–18 Sep 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 8 | 1 | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 33 | 3 | 14 | ||
| 9–11 Sep 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 45 | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | 5 | 4 | – | – | 35 | 2 | 10 | ||
| 3–10 Sep 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 42.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 3.4 | – | 0.9 | 38.9 | – | 4 | ||
| 28 Aug–6 Sep 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 5 |
| 21–31 Aug 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | – | – | 33 | 1[c] | 9 |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 7 |
| 15–17 Jul 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | 29 | 2 | 18 | ||
| 4–10 Jul 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 42.8 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7.1 | 4.6 | – | 0.5 | 30.7 | – | 12.1 | ||
| 3–8 Jul 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1[d] | 10 |
| 19–27 Jun 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 Jun 2024 | EP Election | 4,569,620 | 44.82 | 8.03 | 3.70 | 0.99 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 6.71 | 3.59 | – | 0.68 | 29.60 | 0.37 | 15.22 | ||
| 6–8 Jun 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1,000 | 44 | 8 | 3 | – | – | 1 | 7 | 4 | – | 1 | 32 | – | 12 | ||
| 3–5 Jun 2024 | Publicus | 1,001 | 43 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | – | 5 | 4 | – | – | 25 | 1 | 18 | ||
| 31 May–5 Jun 2024 | Medián | 1,500 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 1 | – | – | 5 | 4 | – | 1 | 27 | 1 | 23 | ||
| 24 May–2 Jun 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | – | 1 | 27 | 0 | 18 | ||
| 27–29 May 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 48 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 19 | ||
| 27–29 May 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1,000 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 2 | 28 | 1[e] | 17 | ||
| 20 May–29 May 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 44 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | – | 2 | 26 | 2 | 18 | ||
| 20–28 May 2024 | Századvég | 1,000 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 22–24 May 2024 | Alapjogokért Központ | 1,000 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1[f] | 21 | ||
| 20–22 May 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1[g] | 23 | ||
| May 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 4,000 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 2–10 May 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 39 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | – | 1 | 26 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 25 Apr–4 May 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 18 |
| 29 Apr–2 May 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | – | 22 | ||
| 26–30 Apr 2024 | Publicus | 1,000 | 42 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
| 26–29 Apr 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 45 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
| 22–26 Apr 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2[h] | 13 | ||
| 17–19 Apr 2024 | Iránytű | 1,073 | 50 | 10 | 3 | 1 | – | – | 3 | 4 | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
| 9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 9 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
| 4–11 Apr 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | – | 9[i] | 12 |
| 33 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | |||||
| Péter Magyar announces his bid to run in the European Parliament election with the TISZA (Respect and Freedom) party.[14] | |||||||||||||||||
| 31 Mar–8 Apr 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | – | – | 15 | 21 |
| 2–4 Apr 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 13 | – | 34 | ||
| 26 Mar–2 Apr 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | – | 11[j] | 20 |
| 34 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5[k] | 18 | |||
| DK–MSZP–Dialogue Alliance is formed.[15] | |||||||||||||||||
| Péter Magyar announces his political movement, called 'Rise up, Hungarians'.[16] | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 Feb–12 Mar 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 7 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 7 | 24 |
| 6–9 Mar 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | – | 1 | 34 |
| 29 Feb–9 Mar 2024 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 45 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | – | 2 | 26 |
| 4–6 Mar 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 1,000 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 2 | – | – | 37 |
| 26–28 Feb 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | – | – | 33 |
| 21–28 Feb 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | – | 3[l] | 20 |
| 22–26 Feb 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1,200 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26[m] |
| 44 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27[n] | |||
| 31 Jan–9 Feb 2024 | IDEA | 1,500 | 44 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | – | 9 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 4 | 24 |
| 15–20 Jan 2024 | Republikon | 1,000 | 43 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 24 |
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | – | 2 | – | – | 42 |
| Jan 2024 | Századvég | 1,000 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | – | – | 5[o] | 40 |
| 8–9 Jan 2024 | Alapjogokért Központ | 1,000 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | – | – | 40 |
| 2–5 Jan 2024 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 50 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | – | – | 36 |
| Dec 2023 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 4,000 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | – | 4 | 39 |
| 18–21 Dec 2023 | Real-PR 93 | 1,000 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | – | – | 35 |
| 12–15 Dec 2023 | Publicus | 1,003 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | – | – | – | 3 | 28 |
| 30 Nov–13 Dec 2023 | IDEA | 1,500 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | – | 9 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 4 | 23 |
| 17–24 Nov 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 43 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 5 | – | 9 | 7 | – | – | – | – | 25 |
| 31 Oct–16 Nov 2023 | IDEA | 1,000 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 8 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 4 | 25 |
| 29 Oct–8 Nov 2023 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 48 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | – | – | 2 | 29 |
| 17–24 Oct 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 43 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | – | 10 | 7 | – | – | – | – | 25 |
| 29 Sep–13 Oct 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | – | 9 | 5 | 2 | – | – | 6 | 26 |
| Sep 2023 | Medián | 1,000 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | – | – | 34 |
| 18–25 Sep 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 42 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 24 |
| 8–18 Sep 2023 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 46 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | – | 10 | 5 | – | – | – | 1 | 27 |
| Péter Márki-Zay's Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) officially becomes a party.[17] | |||||||||||||||||
| 28 Aug–8 Sep 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | 10 | 6 | – | – | – | 5 | 26 |
| Gábor Vona's Second Reform Era Party (2RK) officially becomes a party.[18] | |||||||||||||||||
| 4–6 Sep 2023 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | – | – | – | 41 |
| 24–29 Aug 2023 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1,500 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | – | – | – | 27 |
| 16–23 Aug 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 42 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | – | 10 | 7 | – | – | – | – | 25 |
| Péter Jakab's On the People's Side (NP) officially becomes a party.[19] | |||||||||||||||||
| 28 Jul–9 Aug 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | 9 | 6 | – | – | – | 5 | 26 |
| 14–25 Jul 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 44 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | – | 8 | 6 | – | – | – | – | 26 |
| 28 Jun–19 Jul 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | 8 | 6 | – | – | – | 3 | 28 |
| 26–30 Jun 2023 | Publicus | 807 | 46 | 21.4 | 9.5 | – | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 2 | – | – | – | 2 | 24.6 |
| 19–23 Jun 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 | – | – | – | – | 30 |
| 25 May–10 Jun 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | 8 | 6 | – | – | – | 3 | 28 |
| 26–31 May 2023 | Medián | 1,000 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | – | – | 0 | 35 |
| 27 Apr–19 May 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | 9 | 6 | – | – | – | 2 | 29 |
| 15–17 May 2023 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 51 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
| 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 50 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | 3 | 31 |
| 21–28 Apr 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 48 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | – | 31 |
| 25 Mar–13 Apr 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | – | 3 | 29 |
| Mar 2023 | Századvég | 1,000 | 45.5 | 10.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | – | 10.2 | 12.5 | – | – | – | 5.7 | 35.3 |
| 27–29 Mar 2023 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 1,000 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | – | – | – | – | 40 |
| 20–24 Mar 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 47 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | – | 0 | 27 |
| 25 Feb–16 Mar 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 9 | 6 | – | – | – | 4 | 29 |
| 28 Feb–8 Mar 2023 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 49 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | – | 1 | 31 |
| 21–27 Feb 2023 | Medián | 1,000 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | – | – | – | 1 | 37 |
| 20–22 Feb 2023 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | – | – | – | 40 |
| 10–15 Feb 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 47 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | 0 | 27 |
| 30 Jan–15 Feb 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | – | 4 | 28 |
| 31 Dec 2022–11 Jan 2023 | IDEA | 1,800 | 48 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | – | 3 | 28 |
| 2–6 Jan 2023 | Republikon | 1,000 | 45 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | – | 0 | 25 |
| 2–4 Jan 2023 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
| 12–16 Dec 2022 | Publicus | 1,002 | 48 | 15.3 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 4.7 | – | – | – | 2 | 32.7 |
| 9–15 Dec 2022 | Medián | 1,000 | 50 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | – | – | – | 38 |
| 12–14 Dec 2022 | Real-PR 93 | 1,000 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | – | 10 | 7 | 2 | – | – | 1 | 38 |
| 29 Nov–12 Dec 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 47 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | – | 10 | 4 | – | – | – | 3 | 28 |
| 23–28 Nov 2022 | Republikon | 1,000 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | – | 10 | 4 | – | – | – | 0 | 28 |
| 14–22 Nov 2022 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 50 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | – | 2 | 33 |
| 28 Oct–8 Nov 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 52 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 4 | – | – | – | 3 | 33 |
| 19–24 Oct 2022 | Republikon | 1,000 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | – | 10 | 2 | – | – | – | 0 | 31 |
| 15–21 Oct 2022 | Medián | 1,000 | 50.6 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 2.6 | – | – | – | 38.9 |
| 17–19 Oct 2022 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 54.2 | 18.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | – | 4.2 | 6.1 | 2.0 | – | – | – | 37.2 |
| 29 Sep–9 Oct 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | – | 2 | 31 |
| 14–22 Sep 2022 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | – | 2 | 37 |
| 31 Aug–9 Sep 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 50 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | – | 3 | 33 |
| 29–31 Aug 2022 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 52.8 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.9 | 5.9 | 2.0 | – | 6.7 | 7.9 | – | – | – | 0 | 40.9 |
| 25–30 Aug 2022 | Publicus | 1,000 | 48 | 13.8 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 5.0 | – | – | – | 3 | 34.2 |
| Péter Jakab founds a new movement called the On the People's Side Movement (NP)[20] | |||||||||||||||||
| 27 Jul–7 Aug 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 51 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | – | 9 | 5 | – | – | – | 1 | 34 |
| 20–22 Jul 2022 | Publicus | 1,004 | 44 | 12.0 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 6.0 | – | – | – | 2 | 32.0 |
| 9–20 Jul 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | – | 9 | 6 | – | – | – | 1 | 40 |
| 11–13 Jul 2022 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 56.3 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 1.8 | – | 5.2 | 8.8 | – | – | – | 0 | 47.5 |
| 20–22 Jun 2022 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 57.9 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 1.6 | – | 6.3 | 8.1 | – | – | – | 0 | 48.1 |
| 29 Apr–9 May 2022 | IDEA | 1,800 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | – | 8 | 4 | – | – | – | 1 | 45 |
| 25 Apr–4 May 2022 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 60 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | – | 8 | 1 | – | – | – | 1 | 49 |
| 26–30 Apr 2022 | Medián | 1,000 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | – | – | – | 2 | 52 |
| 20–24 Apr 2022 | Republikon | 1,000 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 0 | 43 |
| 3 Apr 2022 | National Election | 5,651,057 | 54.13 | 34.44 | 5.88 | 3.27 | – | – | – | 2.28 | 19.69 | ||||||
Coalition polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll results
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
United for Hungary | MHM |
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Others | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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NP | ||||||||
| Mar 2023 | Századvég | 1,000 | 47.7 | 28.4 | 10.2 | 12.5 | 2.2[p] | 19.3 | |||||||
| 27–29 Mar 2023 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 51 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 25 | |||||||
| 12–16 Dec 2022 | Publicus | 1,002 | 48 | 41 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |||||||
| 9–15 Dec 2022 | Medián | 1,000 | 47 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |||||||
| 25–30 Aug 2022 | Publicus | 1,000 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |||||||
| 20–22 Jul 2022 | Publicus | 1,004 | 44 | 42 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |||||||
| Jun 2022 | Századvég | 1,000 | 53.7 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 27.4 | |||||||
| 25 Apr–4 May 2022 | Závecz Research | 1,000 | 60 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 | |||||||
| 19–21 Apr 2022 | Nézőpont | 1,000 | 56 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | |||||||
| 3 Apr 2022 | National Election | 5,651,057 | 54.13 | 34.44 | 5.88 | 3.27 | 2.28 | 19.69 | |||||||
Regional polling
[edit]Budapest
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
DK–MSZP–Dialogue |
|
|
|
|
MHM |
|
NP |
|
Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
| ||||||||||||||
| 28-30 Oct 2024 | Real-PR 93 | – | 33 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42 | 25 | 9 |
| 9 Jun 2024 | Local Elections | 792.292 | 28.69 | 16.62 | 4.98 | – | 10.15 | – | 3.81 | 7.89 | – | 27.34 | 0.52 | 1.35 | ||
| 4–6 June 2024 | Publicus | 1,042 | 24 | 23 | 7 | – | 16[q] | – | 1 | 9 | – | 20 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 23–25 May 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 29 | 20 | 5 | – | 11[r] | – | 3 | 8 | – | 24 | – | 5 | ||
| 17–22 May 2024 | Medián | 1,000 | 31 | 23 | 6 | – | 7[s] | – | 4 | 12 | – | 16 | 1 | 8 | ||
| Aug–Nov 2023 | IDEA | – | 36 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 2 | – | 1 | 13 |
| Sep 2023 | Republikon | – | 35 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 |
| 3 Apr 2022 | National Election | – | 40.84 | 47.84 | 4.11 | 5.19 | – | – | 2.02 | 7.00 | ||||||
Debrecen
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MHM |
|
NP | 2RK | Others/No preference | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–18 Oct 2023 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1,000 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 22 |
| 3 Apr 2022 | National Election | 145,759 | 56.02 | 35.85 | 4.11 | 1.17 | – | – | 2.84 | 20.17 | ||||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ Socialist and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialist and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialist and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialist and Democrats – 1, Solution Movement – 0
- ^ Solution Movement – 1
- ^ Solution Movement – 1
- ^ Solution Movement – 1
- ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
- ^ Socialists and Democrats – 1
- ^ without leaders
- ^ with leaders
- ^ Solution Movement – 1
- ^ Party of Normal Life – 1.1, Solution Movement – 1.1
- ^ On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest
- ^ On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest
- ^ On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest
References
[edit]- ^ a b c Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (2. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
- ^ "Horn Gábor és az SZDSZ-es "politechnikum"" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2023.
- ^ Nemzet, Magyar (3 June 2023). "Jól keresett a bukott kampányévben a Momentum- és Karácsony-közeli 21 Kutatóközpont" (in Hungarian).
- ^ Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (1. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
- ^ Nemzet, Magyar (17 February 2023). "Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet". Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet (in Hungarian). Retrieved 15 March 2024.
- ^ Ágota, Bozai (6 February 2022). "Felvétel készült a közvélemény-kutatásnak álcázott befolyásoló kampányról Somogyban". Magyarnarancs.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
- ^ "Négy éven belül harmadszor buktak nagyot a magyar közvélemény-kutatók, de miért? | G7 - Gazdasági sztorik érthetően" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
- ^ "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
- ^ a b "Az illegális pártfinanszírozás rendszere – ahogy a résztvevők látják, 1. rész: "…egy részét le is fogják nyúlni"". Szabad Európa (in Hungarian). 30 January 2023. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
- ^ "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
- ^ "Üstökösszerű karriert futott be a közbeszerzési piacon 2010 óta a Századvég-csoport | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 8 June 2016. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
- ^ "Gyurcsány Ferenc: 2026-ban mind a 106 választókerületben állítunk jelöltet". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 19 October 2024. Retrieved 19 October 2024.
- ^ Júlia, Kozics (19 October 2024). "Megválasztották az MSZP új elnökét". index.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 14 November 2024.
- ^ "A Tisztelet és Szabadság Párttal indul a júniusi választáson Magyar Péter". telex (in Hungarian). 10 April 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
- ^ "Közös EP- és fővárosi listát állít a DK, az MSZP és a Párbeszéd". telex (in Hungarian). 28 March 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
- ^ "Magyar Péter elindítja a Talpra, magyarok közösséget, és politikai pártot szervez". telex (in Hungarian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
- ^ "Megtartotta alapító kongresszusát Márki-Zay Péter pártja". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 16 September 2023.
- ^ "Vona Gábor pártot alapít". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 7 September 2023.
- ^ "Jakab Péter bejelentette, hogy párttá alakult a Nép Pártján Mozgalom". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2023.
- ^ "Jakab Péter: A Nép Pártján Mozgalom a mai napon megalakult". index.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2022.