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M23 offensive (2022–present)

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M23 offensive
Part of the Kivu conflict and the Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda tensions (2022–present)

Military situation as of 28 January 2025
  Controlled by March 23 Movement and Nyatura's militia
  Controlled by Land Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo and allied militias
   Wazalendo militia fighting
Date27 March 2022 – present
(2 years, 10 months and 2 days)
Location
North Kivu, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)
Status

Ongoing

Territorial
changes		 M23 captures centres of Rutshuru and Masisi territories as well as most of provincial capital of Goma
Belligerents

March 23 Movement
 Rwanda[a]
Supported by:
 Uganda (June 2022; alleged by DR Congo)[4][5]

Nyatura-Jean Marie[6][7]

 DR Congo
United Nations MONUSCO

East African Community EAC Regional Force

SADC Mission in DRC[17]
FDLR[3][18][19]
Romanian mercenaries[20] Wazalendo:

Commanders and leaders
Bertrand Bisimwa[23][24]
Sultani Makenga (WIA)[13][25]
Yusuf Mboneza (allegedly killed)[25][26]
Léon Kanyamibwa[27]		 Democratic Republic of the Congo Félix Tshisekedi[19]
(President of DR Congo)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Pacifique Masunzu[28]
(3rd Defence Zone commander)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Peter Cirimwami Nkuba †[29]
(North Kivu military governor since September 2023)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Clément Bitangalo Bulime[27]
("Sokola 2/Nord-Kivu" commander from 6 July)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Philémon Yav Irung[27]
(32nd Military Region commander)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Constant Ndima Kongba (North Kivu military governor until September 2023)[30]
Democratic Republic of the Congo Muhindo Lwanzo[31]
(Rutshuru Territory military chief aide)
Democratic Republic of the Congo Francois-Xavier Aba van Ang[19]
(North Kivu deputy police commander)
East African CommunityKenya Jeff Mungai Nyagah[32]
(EAC-RF commander until April 2023)
East African CommunityKenya Alphaxard Kiugu[33]
(EAC-RF commander from April 2023)
Units involved

M23 forces

  • Bisimwa faction[23] (Revolutionary Army of Congo)[34]
  • Makenga faction[35]

Rwanda Defence Force (denied by Rwanda)[3][36]

  • 401st Battalion[7]

DR Congo forces

Mercenaries[41]
United Nations Force Intervention Brigade
East African Community (EAC) Regional Force[14]

Strength
Rebels:
100–200+ (March 2022)[34]
400+ (May 2022)[34]
3,000+ (June 2024)[42]
Rwanda:
c. 3,000-4,000[3][43][44]		 Democratic Republic of the Congo Unknown
South Africa 2900[45]
Kenya 900+[15]
South Sudan 750[16]
Casualties and losses
Unknown Democratic Republic of the Congo 1 helicopter shot down
United Nations 1 helicopter shot down,[1] 22 killed[b]
    • 30,000 civilians displaced to Uganda[46]
    • 2.5 million displaced in total (as of July 8, 2024)[47][48]

In late March 2022, the March 23 Movement (M23), supported by Rwanda, launched an offensive in North Kivu against the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (FARDC), FDLR, and MONUSCO. The fighting displaced hundreds of thousands of civilians and caused renewed tensions between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda.

In late January 2025, the M23 advanced on the city of Goma with alleged Rwandan backing, causing DR Congo to sever diplomatic relations with Rwanda. On 27 January, M23 claimed to have captured Goma.

Background

[edit]
Further information: M23 rebellion and Kivu conflict
M23 rebels in Goma, November 2012

The March 23 Movement waged a rebellion in the northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) from 2012 to 2013. M23 was formed by deserters of the DRC Armed Forces (FARDC) who had previously been members of the CNDP rebel group and been dissatisfied with the conditions of their service. Both the CNDP as well as the March 23 Movement's first rebellion were supported by Rwanda and Uganda.[1][19][49] The uprising was defeated by a joint campaign of the DRC and MONUSCO, the local United Nations peacekeeping force. After agreeing to a peace deal, M23 was largely dismantled, its fighters disarmed and moved into refugee camps in Uganda.[1]

Despite the agreement, hostilities between M23 and the DR Congo continued. In 2017, M23 commander Sultani Makenga and about 100 to 200 of his followers fled from Uganda to resume their insurgency, setting up camp at Mount Mikeno in the border area between Rwanda, Uganda, and the DR Congo.[13][50] Makenga's force launched a minor offensive against the FARDC in 2021;[13][49] however, this operation achieved little, as M23 no longer enjoyed significant international support. Uganda and the DR Congo had greatly improved their relations, cooperating against a common enemy, the Allied Democratic Forces,[13] during Operation Shujaa.[39] In early 2022, a growing number of M23 combatants began leaving their camps and move back to the DR Congo;[1] the rebel movement launched more attacks in February 2022, but these were repelled.[13] The M23 leadership argued that parts of their movement had resumed the insurgency because the conditions of the 2013 peace deal were not being honored by the DRC government.[1][49] The rebels also argued that they were attempting to defend Kivu's Tutsi minority from attacks by Hutu militants such as the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR).[18]

The situation was further complicated by the factionalism within M23, as the movement was split into rival groups, namely the "Alliance for the Salvation of the People" headed by Jean-Marie Runiga, and the "Revolutionary Army of Congo" of Bertrand Bisimwa respectively.[23][34] In addition, Makenga's group was de facto separate from the other M23 forces which were still mainly based in Uganda.[35] Later research organized by the United Nations Security Council suggested that Makenga's return to an insurgency had started the gradual rearmament and restoration of M23, with Bisimwa's "Revolutionary Army of Congo" joining these efforts in late 2021 by reorganizing its remaining fighters and recruiting new ones in cooperation with Makenga. The headquarters of the restored M23 is believed to be located at Mount Sabyinyo.[34]

By 2022, M23 was just one of 120 armed groups that operate in the eastern DR Congo.[39] Before March 2022, the Congolese government made attempts to reinforce its position against the resurgent M23 by sending more troops. However, such measures weakened its presence in other areas, such as those affected by the Allied Democratic Forces insurgency.[34]

Offensive

[edit]

Initial rebel attacks

[edit]

In the night of 27 March 2022, M23 rebels launched a new offensive in North Kivu,[51] first attacking the villages of Tshanzu and Runyoni in the Rutshuru Territory[52] from their strongholds at the surrounding hills.[49] The two villages had been important strongholds of the M23 Movement during the 2012–13 rebellion.[52] The rebel attack was reportedly led by Sultani Makenga.[13] The DRC government claimed that Rwanda supported the insurgent operation, a claim which was denied by the Rwandan government[1] and the rebels.[49] International Crisis Group researcher Onesphore Sematumba argued that claims about Rwandan aid were believable. He suggested that the resurgence of M23 was probably influenced by Rwanda's wish to stop an infrastructure project which would link the DR Congo and Uganda.[49]

On 29 March, the FARDC was able to repel a rebel attack against the border town of Bunagana, but M23 captured several villages, including Mugingo, Gasiza, Chengerero, Rugamba, Kibote, Baseke and Kabindi.[51] In addition, a UN helicopter crashed at Tshanzu, killing eight MONUSCO peacekeepers (six Pakistanis, a Russian, and a Serbian). The FARDC blamed M23 rebels for shooting down the aircraft.[1][53] At Bunagana, the FARDC received support by the Uganda People's Defence Force (UPDF). UPDF ground forces crossed the border, while Ugandan aircraft bombed the rebels.[13][5] By 1 April, the clashes at Rutshuru had displaced 46,000 locals according to UNHCR.[54] Meanwhile, the M23 fighters temporarily retreated back to their mountain bases, with their first attacks being regarded as a failure.[13] They proclaimed a unilateral ceasefire.[53][55] One ex-M23 officer told the newspaper taz that it was entirely unclear what the rebel offensive was trying to achieve, with him speculating that Makenga was possibly hoping for one last battle to die in his homeland.[13]

Failure of peace talks and resumption of fighting

[edit]
See also: Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda tensions (2022–present)

On 6 April, the FARDC rejected any negotiations with the M23 forces based in the DR Congo, and started a counter-attack.[53] Four days later, M23 announced that it would withdraw its troops from any villages captured during the earlier clashes.[55] However, as the fighting raged on, FARDC increasingly lost ground to the insurgents.[53] In late April, the DRC government and a number of rebel groups held peace talks in Nairobi,[19] but the Bisimwa faction of M23 voluntarily left[23] or was expelled from the negotiations due to the ongoing clashes in North Kivu.[19][18]

M23 forces, reportedly led by Makenga[19] and including the Bisimwa faction,[23] restarted their offensive in May.[19] This operation was reportedly supported by at least 1,000 Rwandan soldiers.[3] According to a local, M23 overran Kibumba on 18 May.[40] On 19 May, M23 rebels attacked MONUSCO peacekeepers at Shangi, Rutshuru Territory, as the latter joined the FARDC in counter-insurgency operations. The rebel leadership declared that the attack was in response to a previous joint FARDC-FDLR operation.[18][c] From 22 May, the rebels attempted to advance on North Kivu's provincial capital, Goma,[19] displacing 70,000 people.[56] From 22 to 23 May, a battle raged at Kibumba, while the insurgents temporarily seized Rumangabo before it was retaken by the FARDC.[40] According to independent researchers, the insurgents were supported by Rwandan soldiers during the battle for Rumangabo.[3]

On 25 May, M23 reached Goma's outskirts,[19] but were repelled by MONUSCO, FARDC,[56] and the FDLR[3] after heavy fighting. The insurgents subsequently retreated, and there was a pause in fighting for the rest of the month.[56] At this point, the FARDC accused the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) of fighting directly alongside the rebels, claiming that local vigilantes had captured two Rwandan soldiers. On the other side, Rwanda claimed that the DR Congo had fired rockets into its territory, was aided by the FDLR,[19] and had "abducted" the two RDF soldiers.[9] The fighting also stoked local ethnic tensions; North Kivu's deputy police commander, Francois-Xavier Aba van Ang, released a video urging civilians to organize as militiamen to combat M23 in a "people's war".[19] The FARDC also armed existing local militias so that they could assist in the campaign against M23.[3]

Fall of Bunagana, further rebel advances, and pro-government counter-attacks

[edit]
Map of the M23 offensive

By early June, clashes again took place at Bunagana.[36][56] M23 militants reportedly attacked a MONUSCO force at Muhati, Rutshuru Territory, on 8 June.[9] On 12 June, the FARDC repelled another M23 attack on Bunagana, coinciding with the visit of King Philippe of Belgium at Bukavu to the south.[57] Unlike the previous attack on Bunagana, however, the Ugandan security forces across the border did not intervene and instead retreated from the hills overlooking the town.[5] M23 captured Bunagana on the following day, reportedly after encircling it and thus forcing the local garrison[4] of 137 soldiers and 37 police officers to retreat to Kisoro in Uganda.[39][58] There, they surrendered to the local Ugandan security forces. Many civilians also fled across the border.[39] Later, the commanders of the Bunagana garrison, Colonels Ndyadya and Lobo, and the regional sector commander, Peter Cirimwami Nkuba, accused each other of having given the order to retreat.[59]

North Kivu's military governor Constant Ndima Kongba initially denied that the FARDC had lost the city,[4] but the FARDC spokesman Sylvain Ekenge later declared that the fall of Bunagana constituted "no less than an invasion" by Rwanda.[60] Tensions between Rwanda and the DR Congo consequently continued to escalate, as the latter suspended "all agreements" with the former.[61] At this point, two senior Congolese security sources[4] and members of the Congolese parliament also accused Uganda of supporting the rebel offensive. The Congolese parliamentarians claimed that the Ugandan retreat before the rebel attack had facilitated the takeover, and specifically singled out Muhoozi Kainerugaba, head of the Ugandan troops involved in Operation Shujaa, for supporting M23. The DR Congo proceeded to terminate the military cooperation with Uganda.[5] The Ugandan government subsequently halted Operation Shujaa, while the Ugandan military claimed that M23's latest attacks did not pose a threat to Ugandan citizens and equipment, making an intervention on their part unnecessary.[61] The local MONUSCO leadership stated that the claims about the Ugandan support for M23 were "nonsense" and called for calm and cooperation.[62]

Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta reacted to the fall of Bunagana and the growing regional tensions by calling for the East African Community (EAC) to "immediate[ly]" organize a new peacekeeping mission called the "East African Regional Force" to restore security in the eastern DR Congo.[63] Meanwhile, MONUSCO began to prepare its local troops to support the efforts of the Congolese security forces to retake the city.[64] FARDC troops belonging to operations sector "Sokola 2" launched an attack from Kabindi on 16 June,[65] and later claimed that they had recaptured Bunagana.[66] However, the city was reportedly still in rebel hands on the following day, with heavy fighting taking place to its west.[5][67] M23 reportedly counter-attacked, capturing the town of Tshengerero[68] and the villages of Bugusa, Kabindi and Rangira. The insurgents were advancing on Rutshuru, and shot down a FARDC helicopter.[69] Fighting had also spread into the Virunga National Park. Environmentalists pointed out that this threatened the survival of the local mountain gorillas.[70]

The renewed advances of M23 were reportedly part of a plan by Sultani Makenga to cut off and eventually capture Goma, hoping to extract political concessions from the Congolese government in this way.[71] By 18–19 June, the frontline had stabilized along the Rutshuru-Bunagana axis. Combined FARDC-MONUSCO forces still held settlements in the direct vicinity of Tshengerero such as Ntamugenga and Rwanguba, including the latter's important bridge.[72][73] Fighting shifted to the Runyoni-Rumangabo axis, where clashes were reported at the villages of Kavumu and Bikenge.[73] Meanwhile, an EAC meeting was organized in Nairobi to discuss the diplomatic tensions between the DR Congo, Rwanda, and Uganda as well as the deployment of a new peacekeeping force in reaction to the M23 attacks. The DRC government declared that it would welcome an EAC peacekeeping mission, but only under the condition of Rwanda's exclusion from the operation.[74][75] The EAC subsequently called on M23 to retreat from Bunagana[76] as precondition for a ceasefire, but the insurgents rejected the order.[77] Instead, M23 reopened the Bunagana border post under its own administration,[78] whereupon North Kivu's government forbid the import and export of goods through rebel-held territory.[79]

Pro-government forces retake territory and stalemate

[edit]
See also: Anti-MONUSCO protests
Moroccan MONUSCO peacekeepers on a long-range patrol to protect civilians from M23 rebels in Rutshuru Territory

From 19 to 22 June, clashes continued as M23 attempted to break through FARDC defense positions. At first, the rebels assaulted villages along the southern axis, but were repelled at Karambi, Kitagoma and Kitovu, Bweza, and Busanza. They subsequently focused on Bikenge, Ruvumu, Shangi, and Bukima, overrunning the villages before the FARDC organized a counter-attack. The military was able to retake most of these settlements, though Ruvumu, Buharo, and Rutokara reportedly remained rebel-held. Overall, the pro-government forces generally held their positions, but the rebel assaults increasingly threatened the Matebe-Rwanguba axis.[80][81] Human Rights Watch reported that 17 civilians, including two children, had been summarily executed on 21 June by the M23 for suspected collaboration with the FARDC.[82] According to the newspaper Eco News, the FARDC reportedly inflicted a defeat on M23 at the Runyoni frontline around this time, wounding Sultani Makenga and killing another rebel commander, Colonel Yusuf Mboneza.[25] Mboneza's death was later disputed by pro-M23 sources.[26] There was a lull in fighting from 24 to 27 June.[83] Combat resumed on 28 June, as rebels attacked FARDC positions at Bushandaba, Ruseke and the strategic hill of Bikona.[84] Pro-government forces, consisting of the military and police, counter-attacked, and retook the villages of Nkokwe, Ruvumu, Rugarama, Rutakara, Ntamugenga and Rutsiro.[85] On 29 June, the FARDC continued its advance, capturing Kabindi and Chengerero, though M23 militants countered by attacking Rutsiro.[86]

On 1 July, the FARDC claimed to had won a major victory over M23 and allied Rwandan troops after heavy fighting at Rutsiro, Ntamugenga and Nyabikona,[87] completely evicting the insurgents from the Bweza grouping (groupement) in Rutshuru.[88] Clashes continued at Bikenge and Ruseke on 4 July, as the FARDC repelled M23 assaults.[89] On 6 July, the FARDC reorganized the leadership of the forces opposing M23 to improve their efficiency;[27] in addition, Rwandan President Paul Kagame and the Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi held a meeting on the same day. According to the Congolese side, a ceasefire and the withdrawal of M23 from Congolese soil was agreed upon. Instead of adhering to this agreement, the rebels attacked Kanyabusoro and Rwanguba on the following day.[90] Over the next days, clashes continued at various villages in the Bweza and Jomba groupements, as M23 attempted to retake territory.[91][92] At the same time, however, combat died down along other parts of the frontline.[93]

In the following days, combat largely ceased in the Bweza and Jomba groupements, but fighting erupted in the Kisigari groupement and at two important hills near Rumangabo.[94] Heavy fighting also took place in the Bashali-Mukoto groupement of Bashali Chiefdom, as two "Nyatura" factions clashed. One of them was a "dissident" group led by Jean-Marie Nyatura who was considered close to M23; Jean-Marie Nyatura's force attempted to capture several villages before being evicted from most of them by its local rivals.[6] After this point, there was again a lull in fighting.[95] Negotiations continued between Rwanda and the DR Congo under international mediation, though little progress was made.[96] On 14 July, Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni made another attempt at convincing M23 and the Congolese government to organize a ceasefire.[97] Meanwhile, MONUSCO and the FARDC announced that they were shifting forces from other areas to prepare for an operation to fully push M23 back.[98] On 18 July, Congolese government spokesman Patrick Muyaya Katembwe reaffirmed that any negotiations with the rebels depended on M23 retreating from its occupied territory beforehand.[99]

Anti-MONUSCO protests in Goma, July 2022

By the end of July, M23 was installing its own officials in the occupied territories and raised a tax.[100] Violent protests also erupted in Goma and other eastern Congolese cities, with civilians attacking MONUSCO members and buildings, accusing the organization of inaction in the face of the ongoing regional rebellions. Protesters, MONUSCO peacekeepers, and bystanders were killed during the clashes.[101] The North Africa Post alleged that the rebels had used the protests as cover for attacks, and had been involved in an attack on Moroccan peacekeepers at Nyamilima.[102] One MONUSCO soldier was killed in a direct clash with M23 at Bunagana.[103] On 27 July, fighting between M23 and FARDC resumed at Kabingo, Rutshuru, as the rebels attempted to harvest the crops planted by locals but were confronted by government soldiers.[104] On 2 August, the rebels and FARDC fought at five villages in Rutshuru.[105] In the following weeks, however, a truce held along the frontline. This was condemned by many local civilians who argued that it allowed the rebels to consolidate their territorial gains.[106]

On 15 August, the first contingent of East African Community peacekeepers arrived in Kivu.[107] This group, consisting of Burundian soldiers, pledged to assist in the campaign against M23 and other insurgent factions.[14] The arrival of the Burundian peacekeepers received mixed reactions by local civil groups; some welcomed them, some considered the Burundians to be exploitative foreigners, and some took a more neutral stance.[108] Sporadic clashes restarted on 16 August, when rebels, allegedly supported by Rwandan troops, attacked Rwanguba, Rangira, and Muhibira in Rutshuru.[109][110] The M23 leadership claimed that these operations were in response to FARDC aggression, and declared that it wanted a "dialogue" with the government.[111] On 19 August, M23 shelled FARDC positions at Jomba, Bweza and Busanza.[112]

Renewed offensive

[edit]

Fighting renewed on 20 October after according to the FARDC, M23 attacked a military post. on 23 October M23 group captured the town of Ntamugenga killing five soldiers, fighting soon spread to the strategic RN2, four civilians were killed and 40 were injured in the fighting. By 24 October fighting caused more than 23,000 people to flee their homes.[113][114] the offensive continued along the RN2 highway leading to M23 capturing the towns of Rubare, Kalengera, and Kako.[115] On 29 October M23 rebels took control of Rutshuru and Kiwanja.[116] Around this time, allegedly Rwandan-equipped Nyatura rebels clashed with FDLR militants at in Rugari.[7] In response to the offensive, the government of the DRC ordered the Rwandan Ambassador to the country, Vincent Karega, to leave within the next 48 hours.[117]

Anti-Rwandan protests broke out on 31 October in Goma, demanding that the DRC leave the East African Community and that Russia intervene in the conflict. Government spokesman Patrick Muyaya said that the DRC would not negotiate with M23.[118] On 2 November, Kenya announced that it would send 900 soldiers to fight against the M23.[15] Riots broke out in Goma after rumors of the UN transporting M23, and several UN vehicles were burned by rioting civilians. The UN accounted a "strategic and tactical withdrawal" from the Rumangabo military base.[119] On 7 November, the Congolese military stated they were training 3,000 new recruits to go and fight M23,[120] and soon after began to bomb the rebels with two fighter jets. Rwanda protested that a Congolese Air Force Sukhoi Su-25 had violated its airspace.[38]

By 15 November 2022, M23 had pushed to the towns of Rugari and Tongo clashing with the FARDC. A M23 attack on Kibumba was initially repelled. As the insurgents advanced, hundreds of civilians fled.[121] By 17 November, M23 claimed to have captured the towns of Kibumba, Ruhunda, Buhumba, Kabuhanga, Tongo, and Mulimbi from the FDLR who they accuse of working with the Congolese army.[122] The Ugandan military said that they would participate in the fight against the M23 joining Kenyan troops.[123] On 18 November, Rwanda declared a ceasefire on behalf of the rebels.[124] By late November, the FARDC had reportedly formed a coalition with several local militias, including FLDR, Mai-Mai groups, and some Nyatura factions.[21]

A MONUSCO investigation reported in December that massacres by the M23 in November killed at least 131 civilians in the Rutshuru Territory villages of Bambo and Kishishe.[125] The victims included 102 men, 17 women and 12 children, each of whom were "arbitrarily executed ... as part of reprisals against the civilian population" who were perceived to be aligned with the government.[125] On 23 December, M23 was forced by heavy international pressure to officially hand over Kibumba to the EAC Regional Force. Despite this, their withdrawal was only partial; the insurgents maintained a presence in the town's outskirts. FARDC declared the alleged handover of Kibumba a "sham", intended to distract from M23's attempts to advance in other areas.[22] On 28 December 2022, South Sudan sent a contingency of 750 troops to join the East African Contingency to be stationed in Goma.[16] Over the next weeks, heavy fighting took place between M23 and a number of rival militias allied to FARDC, including APCLS which declared its aim to capture Bwiza from the rebels. Meanwhile, M23 captured several villages and the town of Nyamilima near the Ugandan border.[22]

In January, clashes continued even as M23 declared its intention to surrender the Rumangabo military base to the EAC Regional Force.[22] On 18 January Felix Tshisekedi accused the M23 of not withdrawing from the seized territory as agreed.[126] On 24 January a Congolese Su-25 was damaged by ground fire from Rwanda after Rwanda said it violated its airspace.[127] On 27 January M23 captured the city of Kitshanga causing people to flee and take refuge in the nearby UN base.[128] Kitshanga's capture cut off the road linking Butembo, North Kivu's second largest city, to Goma.[129] After two days of heavy fighting, M23 seized the village of Mushaki on February 24, forcing civilians to flee and threatening supply routes to Goma.[130] Three days later M23 took the town of Rubaya and its coltan mines.[131] The next day, the town of Mweso also fell to the rebels.[132]

In March, continued clashes caused 100,000 civilians to flee their homes.[133] Further attempts to implement a ceasefire, including one organized by Angola, had failed. However, M23 did withdraw from a few villages to hand them over to the EAC Regional Force.[134] At this point, the insurgents controlled much of the land north of Goma, while still advancing westward.[135] In late March and early April, M23 rebels vacated a number of villages, though also fought with a rival Nyatura faction during this withdrawal.[136] M23 also kept attacking the FARDC in other areas.[137]

On 3 April, Ugandan EAC soldiers entered Bunagana. However, instead of replacing the M23 occupation (as previously agreed), the peacekeepers coexisted with the rebels.[138] Such an arrangement was also observed at Rumangabo, where Kenyans and M23 inhabited the same base, and along the Sake-Kilolirwe-Kitshanga-Mwesso axis, where Burundian and rebel forces operated next to each other.[139] In addition, local sources suggested that M23 had begun to arm and train other militias.[138] On 10 April, M23 rebels completely retreated from the Bwito chiefdom in Rutshuru, allowing EAC peacekeepers to move in.[140] On the other side, the insurgents fortified and reinforced their positions in Kibumba, in one case in the direct vicinity to Kenyan EAC troops.[141]

In October 2023, the DRC ordered the EAC force in the country to leave by 8 December, due to a "lack of satisfactory results on the ground".[142] On 26 October, the M23 rebels launched an offensive on Bambo, seizing the town.[143] Meanwhile, fighting continued to close in on the city of Goma, with clashes taking place 20 kilometers from the city.[144]

On 4 February 2024, M23 seized the town of Shasha, severing a road linking Goma to outside areas- M23 subsequently seized the towns of Kihindo, Kituva, Bukobati, and Nyamubingwa, and was in control of the Goma-Minova road by 5 February. The fighting caused many civilians and the Congolese military to flee to the town of Minova, and M23 ended up in control of all routes leading out of Goma.[145][146] The M23 rebels were advancing on the town of Sake by 7 February, causing many in the town to flee to Goma.[147] The town of Sake had been heavily defended by the Congolese government and the forces of MONUSCO over the course of a year.[148]

On 20 June, Rwandan president Paul Kagame declared to France 24, "we are ready to fight" against the DRC if necessary, while evading questions about Rwanda's military presence in the region.[149] In July 2024, a report commissioned by the UN Security Council disclosed that between 3,000 to 4,000 Rwandan military interventions and operations had been conducted in the Nyiragongo, Rutshuru, and Masisi territories, collaborating with M23 rebels, with "Kigali exercising significant control over the rebel group's operations."[150][151] The report estimated that by April, the number of Rwandan troops was "matching if not surpassing" the estimated 3,000 M23 soldiers. It includes authenticated photographs, drone footage, video recordings, testimonies, and intelligence substantiating the RDF's systematic border incursions.[150] The evidence depicts rows of armed personnel in uniform, operating equipment such as artillery, armored vehicles with radar and anti-aircraft missile systems, and troop transport trucks.[150] It also reveals that children as young as 12 were recruited from "nearly all refugee camps in Rwanda" by intelligence officers through false promises of payment or employment, only to be sent to training camps in the rebel-controlled zone under the supervision of Rwandan soldiers and M23 combatants.[150] On 5 August, nearly a hundred officers of the Congolese national police fled to Uganda as fighting between M23 and the Congolese army intensified.[152] Efforts to mediate the conflict through diplomacy, facilitated by Angolan President João Lourenço, faltered when a tripartite summit scheduled for 15 December in Luanda, Angola—featuring Congolese President Félix Tshisekedi, Rwandan President Paul Kagame, and President João Lourenço—was annulled due to the absence of the Rwandan delegation.[153][154][155][156]

January 2025: Intensified hostilities

[edit]

On 4 January 2025, M23 seized Masisi, a town with a population of 40,000 and the administrative seat of Masisi Territory. Agence France-Presse said that M23 forces had previously captured the Katale area before entering Masisi.[157] On 9 January, Nobel laureate Denis Mukwege called for the international community to impose strong sanctions on Rwanda, urging action beyond verbal condemnations.[158] The same day, M23 forces began moving toward Rubaya, a key area for the extraction of coltan, a mineral vital to global technology supply chains. On 13 January, FARDC reported successfully repelling an M23 offensive on its newly established positions in Ngungu, in the Mupfuni-Shanga groupement.[159][160] FARDC conducted airstrikes in Mbingi, a region it was expected to control but failed to maintain for more than a day due to reinforcements arriving for M23.[161] The following day, M23 fighters based in Mulimbi launched an assault on the Wazalendo stronghold in the Lubwe Sud urban area, within the Tongo groupement of Bwito Chiefdom. During an ambush by Wazalendo near Kiseguro, located in the Binza groupement in Rutshuru Territory, five members of the M23/RDF coalition were killed.[160][162] M23 fighters were apprehended while looting agricultural products from farmers.[160][162] Explosions from both heavy and light weaponry echoed for several hours after the ambush, particularly in the localities of Kiseguro and Ngwenda, where Wazalendo forces engaged in combat with M23 troops.[160] On the same day, M23 seized control of Luofu, approximately 60 kilometers from Lubero-center in Lubero Territory, which had been under FARDC control for over two days.[161] Humanitarian sources detailed accounts of atrocities, including the sexual assault of five young girls in Kalungu, 15 kilometers south of Minova in the Buzi groupement, Kalehe Territory, and two additional women in Bihovu, a locality within Shanje in Lowa-Numbi village.[163]

By 15 January, clashes between FARDC and M23 rebels continued in Alimbongo and Luofu villages within Lubero Territory.[161] That day, Wazalendo forces mounted another ambush in Kihondo, located within the Bwito Chiefdom. The engagement resulted in nine civilian fatalities perpetrated by M23 combatants.[162] Kihondo was subsequently occupied by FARDC, while Nyanzale was bifurcated—its southern region held by Wazalendo and the northern portion controlled by the M23-RDF coalition.[162] On 16 January, three civilians were shot in Masisi Territory, with one dying instantly and two critically injured and hospitalized.[164] In Ngungu, FARDC forces regrouped and moved toward Numbi in an attempt to reclaim the lost area.[164] On 17 January, one civilian was killed and two others injured by gunfire in Masisi-center. That morning, M23 forces advanced toward Kami-Lwanguba, Mashaki, Kironge, and Busekere, capturing a significant portion of Buabo while moving toward Kilambo. FARDC forces remained positioned in Luashi and around Kahongole, near Kahanga and Kasura. Meanwhile, Wazalendo units were also present in Buabo.[164] On 18 January, President Félix Tshisekedi reaffirmed Kinshasa's refusal to engage in dialogue with M23, stating, "Legitimizing these criminals would be an insult to the victims and to international law".[165] Tshisekedi criticized Kigali for its continued provocations, violations of agreements, and active support for M23, emphasizing that these actions compromised the credibility of the peace process outlined in the Luanda Agreement.[165]

On 19 January, the M23-RDF coalition annexed the mineral-rich towns of Lumbishi and Changue in Kalehe Territory.[166] On 20 January, the coalition launched a series of bombings targeting hills overlooking Sake in the Kamuronza groupement of Masisi Territory, which targeted FARDC and Wazalendo positions, primarily affected the locality of Kimoka near the Lushagala displaced persons camp. Despite the intensity of the attacks, the coalition was repelled.[166] However, later that evening, M23 forces captured Minova after intense fighting in Masisi Territory. Minova became the first significant urban center in South Kivu to fall to M23.[167] The occupation exacerbated an already precarious humanitarian situation, inflating the prices of essential commodities and displacing thousands more. Reports from the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) indicated that 178,079 internally displaced persons sought refuge across seven health areas surrounding Minova, contributing to the swelling count of 700,000 displaced persons already registered in the Buzi groupement.[163] By 21 January, rebel forces had deployed across multiple locations within the town, commandeering positions previously held by FARDC and Wazalendo forces. Strategic vantage points such as Katale, Kachiazo, and the hills overlooking Minova were occupied to ensure dominion over Lake Kivu.[167] M23 forces then moved toward Kasunyu, a route leading to both Goma and Rwanda, effectively cutting off a critical supply route to Goma. The rebels also advanced toward Kalungu, located 7 kilometers from Minova, with the potential to reach Nyabibwe, another mining hub. The axis also pointed toward Kavumu, home to a regional airport.[167][168] Bweremana was taken by M23 following an artillery assault against FARDC forces. The situation rapidly escalated into a humanitarian crisis, compelling numerous residents to flee to safer locations, such as Burora and Nyamoma.[169] FARDC announced that they are continuing their fight against the M23 rebels and RDF on multiple fronts in the eastern region of the country, asserting that they are containing "the enemy" in the areas of Lubero, Sake, and Nyiragongo, while admitting to "breakthroughs" by M23 in Bweremana and Minova.[169]

By 22 January, M23 had entrenched itself within Minova and Kalungu in the Buzi groupement and expanded its dominion to Makelele and Butale in the Mbinga-Nord groupement.[170] OCHA concurrently reported that the violence led to large-scale population displacement, with over 178,000 people newly displaced from Bweremana, Minova, and Kalungu, and 125 injured people evacuated to Goma for advanced medical care. Meanwhile, Actualite.cd reported that at least 18 civilians, predominantly farmers, lost their lives during M23's assault on Bweremana and Minova.[170][171] Goma experienced an electricity outage due to a SNEL (Société Nationale d'Électricité) failure on the 70 kV high-voltage line linking Bukavu to Goma, with SNEL informing customers that the situation was "beyond its control".[172] South Africa dispatched Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs Angie Motshekga to the DRC, facilitating an appraisal of the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) contingent embedded within the SADC Mission in the DRC (SAMIDRC) combatting M23.[173] On 23 January, intensified clashes erupted as the M23-RDF coalition launched a pre-dawn offensive against FARDC and Wazalendo positions near Sake, encompassing strategic corridors such as the Sake-Kirotshe, Sake-Mushaki, and Sake-Kitshanga roads.[174] The SADC Force, stationed in Sake, sustained casualties, including seven fatalities among South African personnel and over ten injuries.[173] MONUSCO mobilized reinforcements to fortify defenses around Sake and Goma but remained absent in Minova due to mandate restrictions.[175] Meanwhile, in Nyiragongo Territory, residents of Rusayo in the Mudja groupement reported incessant artillery and small arms fire. Simultaneous attacks by M23-RDF forces targeted Wazalendo and FARDC positions in Kilimanyoka and Kanyamahoro, approximately 20 kilometers north of Goma.[176] FARDC and Wazalendo successfully counterattacked, repelling M23 forces attempting to entrench themselves on Nditi Hill, near the Virunga National Park. Two civilians died in a bombing incident in the Turunga village by M23 and RDF coalition.[176][177] In Lubero Territory, three civilians, including a woman and a child, were wounded when a bomb fired by M23 from the hills surrounding the town of Alimbongo exploded in Lubango, 45 kilometers away from Lubero-centre.[178] In Kalehe Territory, two civilians were killed and several others wounded after M23's heavy bombing by Sukhoi planes on Nyundo hill in the Chondo village.[179]

On the morning of 24 January, around 4 a.m., M23 launched explosives at multiple FARDC and Wazalendo resistance positions, particularly targeting Kanyamahoro, far from Kibati, heading towards Kibumba.[180] United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres condemned the actions of M23, calling for an immediate cessation of their advance, the withdrawal from occupied territories, and adherence to the 31 July 2024 ceasefire agreement, stating, "All actors must uphold the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the DRC and cease all forms of support to armed groups, whether domestic or foreign".[181] That evening, the military governor of North Kivu, Major General Peter Cirimwami Nkuba, was shot at approximately 9:00 p.m. in Sake. Cirimwami was subsequently evacuated to Kinshasa, where his death was confirmed.[182] Five MONUSCO peacekeepers sustained injuries, while four others had been wounded the previous day during combat in the same region.[183] Goma's CBCA Ndosho Hospital admitted over 256 wounded individuals, including 90 civilians with severe injuries from gunfire and shelling.[184] Nicolas de Rivière, France's Ambassador to the UN, reaffirmed France's support for the sovereignty and Kinshasa's request for an emergency open session of the United Nations Security Council.[185] Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan advocated for a peaceful resolution to the conflict, expressed support for Angola's mediation efforts, and affirmed his readiness to support any initiative promoting peace in the African Great Lakes region.[185] The German Foreign Ministry urgently called for Rwanda and M23 to immediately cease their military actions.[185] French politician Jean-Luc Mélenchon accused Rwanda of orchestrating an "invasion" of the DRC, asserting, "Rwanda is organizing the annexation of the neighboring province into Congolese territory".[185] President João Lourenço condemned the occupation of Sake and Minova by the M23-RDF coalition, declaring, "These irresponsible actions by the M23 and its supporters are worsening the humanitarian situation, particularly around Goma, and threatening regional security".[186] He assured the integrity and security of the troops of the Enhanced Ad Hoc Verification Mechanism (MVA-R) deployed in Goma as part of regional peace initiatives.[186]

On 25 January, fighting broke out between FARDC supported by Wazalendo and M23 supported by RDF advanced in the Masisi Territory's Mweso axis in the Bashali Chiefdom and the Sake axis in the Bahunde Chiefdom, with FARDC and Wazalendo attempting to repel M23 and the RDF coalition while trying to halt their advance toward Goma, beginning the battle of the city on its outskirts.[187] In Mweso, at least two civilians, a woman and a child, who had been shot, died from their injuries shortly after being admitted to Mweso General Referral Hospital (Hôpital Général de Référence de Mweso).[187] Three Malawian Defence Forces (MDF) soldiers, part of the regional mission SAMIDRC, were killed in Sake,[188] while nine SANDF soldiers lost their lives after succeeding in halting the M23 advance toward Goma and pushing the rebels back.[189] Six UN peacekeepers were killed in M23 attacks.[12]

Goma under siege and escalation of the conflict

[edit]
Main article: Battle of Goma (2025)

On 26 January at approximately 11 a.m., a bomb struck the Rusayo 1 and Rusayo 2 camps for displaced persons in Nyiragongo Territory, with ten people, including women and children, losing their lives, while numerous injuries were reported.[190] On the same day, Actualite.cd reported that over 90 war-wounded, primarily suffering gunshot wounds, from various locations in Kalehe Territory and others from Goma hospital, had been receiving treatment by the ICRC at the Bukavu Provincial General Referral Hospital (Hôpital Général Provincial de Référence de Bukavu) since 1 January.[191] Three Sky News journalists, a reporter from Radio France Internationale/Agence France-Presse, and a journalist from Sake FM were attacked in Kihisi in Nyiragongo Territory while covering the dire situation of fleeing populations.[192] In response to these developments, Congolese government spokesperson Patrick Muyaya Katembwe criticized the African Union Commission for referring to M23 as a "political-military opposition", emphasizing that the group is a terrorist organization supported by Rwanda. The government accused the African Union of creating confusion and instead urged a stronger denunciation of M23's actions.[193][194] On the same day, M23 deployed reinforcements around Goma, advancing closer to the city and consolidating its strategic positions.[195] The United Nations Special Representative in the DRC, Bintou Keita, briefed the Security Council on the severity of the situation. She noted that M23 had doubled the territory under its control since 2012.[195] MONUSCO expressed its readiness to assist the DRC in filing a formal complaint with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) over airspace violations involving M23, including incidents of GPS jamming at the Goma International Airport.[196] Amid the unrest, thunderous artillery blasts echoed throughout Goma and nearby Nyiragongo Territory, halting daily activities as residents sheltered indoors.[197] In the Mapendo neighborhood, opportunistic looters exploited the chaos to ransack businesses and deserted residences.[197] Congolese authorities confirmed that the border crossing points with Rwanda, including the small and large barriers, operated normally until their routine closure at 3 p.m. Meanwhile, sporadic gunfire in Nyiragongo Territory continued to displace masses, as refugees from Rutshuru fled to Goma to escape the ongoing bombardments.[198] Displacement camps in Nyiragongo Territory were targeted, with four bombs striking two locations, resulting in over ten fatalities, including women and children, and injuring numerous others.[198] FARDC deployed tanks at strategic spots in Goma, including the Birere Roundabout, and rotated troops to strengthen the northern front. At Goma International Airport, Romanian military instructors coordinated with FARDC forces and Wazalendo units to bolster security amid rising tensions.[198] M23 issued an ultimatum demanding the surrender of FARDC forces and imposing a 48-hour deadline, which led to some soldiers relinquishing their arms before the deadline expired.[199] Goma's infrastructure faced severe challenges, including water and electricity outages, blocked roads, and persistent GPS interference, which threatened both civilian and humanitarian air operations.[200] Some residents fled to Bukavu, using boats to cross the Lake Kivu.[198]

Early on 27 January, M23 announced on X that they had captured Goma, although there were still reports of fighting throughout the city.[201] Videos shared online showed M23 rebels patrolling the streets, and reports emerged of heavy shelling and a mass jailbreak from Goma's prison, which housed 3,000 inmates and was reportedly set ablaze.[199] M23 and RDF fighters advanced into strategic neighborhoods such as Majengo, Mabanga, and areas surrounding Goma International Airport. RVA (Régie des Voies Aériennes) personnel remained trapped at the airport.[202] Looting erupted in neighborhoods like Mapendo, Majengo, and the Office district.[202] Patrick Muyaya urged residents to remain indoors, avoid acts of vandalism and theft, and resist Rwanda's alleged propaganda efforts.[203] Civilians sought refuge in MONUSCO bases, while local authorities, including the police mayor of Goma, remained in the city. Cross-border tensions escalated as stray gunfire reportedly struck Gisenyi in Rwanda, leading to five casualties.[204] Rwanda deployed tanks along the border.[205] M23 forces solidified control over northern Goma, with their visible activity in major neighborhoods signaling their tightening grip.[202] By mid-afternoon, Mount Goma—a strategic site hosting the provincial branch of Radio-Télévision nationale congolaise (RTNC)—fell under M23 control.[205][206] A trainee doctor working in the maternity ward at the provincial hospital near Mount Goma was shot during crossfire.[207] The World Food Programme (WFP) suspended its activities, cutting off essential food aid to 800,000 people.[205] By 7 pm that evening, FARDC reclaimed control of the RTNC station.[208] Vital Kamerhe, President of the National Assembly, announced that FARDC and Wazalendo forces "continue to hold certain positions in the city".[209] On the same day, Agence France-Presse reported that the battle for Goma resulted in at least 17 fatalities and 367 injuries.[210]

On 28 January, large-scale civil unrest erupted in Kinshasa during the morning hours, with crowds assembling outside key embassies—including those of Kenya, the US, Belgium, and France—to demand more decisive international intervention and call for the immediate withdrawal of the M23-RDF coalition.[211][212][213] Outside the U.S. embassy, demonstrators torched tires and criticized Western nations for their perceived indifference, advocating instead for intensified Russian involvement.[211] Outside the Kenyan embassy, tensions escalated into property damage, looting, and break-ins, prompting the evacuation of two diplomatic personnel.[213] Congolese security forces quickly intervened, setting up security cordons around the embassies. Congolese Foreign Minister Thérèse Kayikwamba Wagner expressed remorse, affirming that measures were underway to restore order and assess damages.[213] Amidst the mounting unrest, SANDF responded to a video alleging its troops had surrendered to M23 rebels, clarifying that the white flag shown signified a temporary agreement with the M23 to recover casualties and provide medical assistance, rather than a surrender.[211] The ICRC reported an attack and looting of one of its warehouses in Goma and noted the worsening security situation in Sake, while its medical personnel at Ndosho Hospital in Goma faced an overwhelming influx of casualties, treating 198 patients despite the facility's original capacity of 147 beds.[214]

Analysis

[edit]

Rwandan role

[edit]
Main article: Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda tensions (2022–present)
Further information: Democratic Republic of the Congo–Rwanda relations

As a result of the M23 advances in 2022, Bintou Keita, top UN official for the DRC, described the group as having "conducted itself as a conventional army, rather than an armed group," and warned that the group's capabilities exceeded that of MONUSCO.[215] According to United Nations Security Council researchers, the presence of individuals in Rwandan uniforms among the rebels has been proven through photos and drone footage, partially explaining the M23 forces' increased professionalism.[27] Congolese researcher Josaphat Musamba concurred, arguing that it was "clear that there is support" behind M23's resurgence. Congo Research Group director Jason Stearns stated that, though there was "no certainty" about Rwanda backing the M23 offensive, the rebels' firepower and various frontline reports made Rwandan involvement "very likely". Regardless of Rwanda's possible role in the offensive, analysts cautioned that M23 had never been just a Rwandan pawn, and always maintained its own agenda.[216]

In early August 2022, a report for the UN by independent researchers provided further evidence about Rwandan support for M23, including photos and videos showcasing Rwandan soldiers moving into Congolese territory and M23 troops armed with Rwandan weaponry.[2][217] In October, a Rwandan soldier surrendered to MONUSCO at Kiwanja; the Congolese government regarded this as a further proof of Rwandan support for the rebel offensive.[7] By January 2023, the United States, several European countries, and UN experts believed that Rwanda was supporting M23.[22]

Motives of M23

[edit]

Stearns argued that the new M23 offensive was possibly aimed at enforcing the group's inclusion in a disarmament, demobilisation, and reintegration (DDR) programme. Previous attempts of M23 at becoming part of this process, including after the 2013 agreement, failed due to considerable opposition by the Congolese public. One of the issues hampering any attempts to achieve M23's complete demobilisation is the fact that several members of the rebel group are known to have committed various war crimes over several years of involvement in insurgencies, even before M23 itself had emerged. This makes their integration into the Congolese security forces or rewarding them with amnesties difficult to justify in the DR Congo.[216]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Rwandan involvement was first alleged by the DR Congo,[1] a claim which was later substantiated by the findings of researchers tasked by the United Nations.[2][3] Rwanda has denied its support for M23.[1]
  2. ^ 8 killed (6 Pakistanis, 1 Russian, 1 Serbian) during helicopter crash,[1] 1 Moroccan killed in ground combat with M23.[11] 9 South Africans, 3 Malawians, 1 Uruguayan killed by M23.
  3. ^ It has been reported that some FARDC soldiers who operate in North Kivu are former FDLR members.[24] A later report for the United Nations by independent researchers stated that the FDLR had begun to fight alongside the FARDC in May, responding to the M23 offensive.[3]

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[edit]
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  196. ^ "RDC: La MONUSCO prête à soutenir la plainte sur les brouillages GPS et les violations aériennes imputées au Rwanda" [DRC: MONUSCO ready to support complaint on GPS jamming and air violations attributed to Rwanda]. Actualite.cd (in French). 26 January 2025. Retrieved 26 January 2025.
  197. ^ a b "RDC: Situation tendue à Goma ce lundi, des tirs incessants, l'incertitude règne au lendemain de violents combats entre l'armée et le M23" [DRC: Tense situation in Goma this Monday, incessant shooting, uncertainty reigns the day after violent fighting between the army and the M23]. Actualite.cd (in French). 27 January 2025. Retrieved 27 January 2025.
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  203. ^ "Patrick Muyaya recommande à la population de Goma de "s'abstenir de commettre des actes de pillage"" [Patrick Muyaya recommends to the population of Goma to "refrain from committing acts of looting"]. Radio Okapi (in French). 27 January 2025. Retrieved 27 January 2025.
  204. ^ "Guerre du M23: Cinq personnes tuées dans la ville rwandaise de Gisenyi touchée par de bombes" [M23 War: Five People Killed in Rwandan City of Gisenyi Hit by Bombs]. Actualite.cd (in French). 27 January 2025. Retrieved 27 January 2025.
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Works cited

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Further reading

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