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2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election

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2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
← 2020 December 2, 2023
Turnout23%[1]
 
Candidate Bonnie Crombie Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
Final ballot points 6,911
(53.40%) 		6,029
(46.59%)
First ballot points 5,559
(42.96%) 		3,320
(25.66%)
 
Candidate Yasir Naqvi Ted Hsu
Final ballot points Eliminated Eliminated
First ballot points 2,761
(21.33%) 		1,300
(10.05%)
Previous Leader

John Fraser (interim)

 Elected leader

Bonnie Crombie

The 2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election was held following the resignation of Steven Del Duca on June 2, 2022, after the party won only 8 seats and failed again to gain official party status in the general election. The leadership votes were held between November 25–26, with the ballots counted and announced on December 2, with Bonnie Crombie winning on the third ballot.

Background

[edit]

In the 2022 general election, the Ontario Liberal Party saw a modest increase in support over their 2018 result, finishing second in the popular vote. However, the party won only 8 seats, once again falling short of official party status. On the night of the election, Del Duca, who had failed to win back his own riding of Vaughan—Woodbridge, announced his resignation as party leader, stating that a leadership race would be organized to take place "as soon as is reasonable".[2]

2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
DateDecember 2, 2023
ConventionMetro Toronto Convention Centre
Resigning leaderSteven Del Duca
Won byBonnie Crombie
Ballots3
Candidates4
Entrance Fee$100,000
(plus $25,000 refundable deposit)
Spending limit$900,000
Ontario Liberal Party leadership elections
1919 · 1922 · 1930 · 1943 · 1947 · 1950 · 1954 · 1958 · 1964 · 1967 · 1973 · 1976 · 1982 · 1992 · 1996 · 2013 · 2020 · 2023

On January 5, 2023, the party released a full report of their campaign debrief following the 2022 election.[3] One of the main recommendations was for the party to conduct a review of the leadership election process.[4] On January 9, 2023, interim leader John Fraser announced that the party would proceed with consultations looking at whether there should be changes to delegated convention rules.[5]

In March 2023, at the party's Annual General Meeting, a constitutional amendment was approved which changed the leadership election process from a delegated leadership convention to a weighted One Member One Vote system.[6][7][8]

Rules and procedures

[edit]

Under the procedure outlined by the party's constitution,[9] all members of the Ontario Liberal Party will be eligible to vote directly for leader by preferential ballot as long as they are members in good standing as of September 11, 2023.[10]

Votes will be weighted, with each provincial electoral district being allocated 100 points, and with points in a district allocated in proportion to each candidate by the number of first preference votes received. Each of the party's recognized student clubs will be allocated 50 points, and each of the party's recognized women's clubs will be allocated 5 points.[11] Members were able to vote in person on November 25-26th 2023, with some in sprawling northern and rural ridings designated to by mail.[12][13]

Ballots will be counted on December 2, 2023. When the ballots are counted, if no candidate receives 50 per cent of the points, the lowest-ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round, with their second choice votes distributed to the remaining candidates. This will continue until a candidate receives 50 per cent of the vote.

This will mark the first time that this weighted direct vote system will be used in an Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, as the change was adopted at the party's annual general meeting in March 2023.

Timeline

[edit]
  • June 2, 2022 - Ontario general election held, resulting in a second consecutive majority PC government. The Liberals win 8 seats, falling short of official party status. Steven Del Duca, who failed to win his own seat, announces his resignation in his concession speech.[14]
  • July 25, 2022 - John Fraser, who previously served as interim leader from 2018 until 2020, is unanimously selected by the Ontario Liberal caucus to serve as interim leader.[15]
  • August 3, 2022 - Party executive formally ratifies selection of Fraser as interim leader.[16]
  • March 3–5, 2023 - Ontario Liberal Party Annual General Meeting approves a constitutional amendment changing the leadership election procedure from a delegated leadership convention to a One Member One Vote process. A new party executive is elected which will set the rules and timeline for the leadership election.
  • April 16, 2023 - Party executive announces timeline and fee schedule for the election.
  • May 8, 2023 - Nathaniel Erskine-Smith announces his candidacy.[17]
  • May 28, 2023 - Ted Hsu announces his candidacy.[18]
  • June 3, 2023 - Yasir Naqvi announces his candidacy.[19]
  • June 14, 2023 - Bonnie Crombie announces her candidacy.[20]
  • July 4, 2023 - Adil Shamji announces his candidacy.[21]
  • July 8, 2023 - OLP President Kathryn McGarry releases the information regarding the Leadership Convention via email to members.[22]
  • August 15, 2023 - Party announced the five debates and locations.[23]
  • September 5, 2023 - Candidate registration deadline.[22]
  • September 11, 2023 - Deadline to join the Ontario Liberal Party and be eligible to vote in the leadership election as party member.[22]
  • September 14, 2023 - First official leadership debate held in Thunder Bay.[24]
  • September 20, 2023 - Unofficial leadership debate held at Toronto Metropolitan University Democracy Forum, hosted by the Toronto Star.[25][26]
  • September 28, 2023 - Adil Shamji drops out of the leadership race, endorses Bonnie Crombie.[27]
  • October 1, 2023 - Second official leadership debate held in Stratford.[23]
  • October 24, 2023 - Third official leadership debate held in Toronto.[28]
  • November 8, 2023 - Fourth official leadership debate held in Ottawa.[23]
  • November 15, 2023 - Leadership debate held on The Agenda with Steve Paikin, hosted by TVO, the first episode of The Agenda since the conclusion of the TVO Strike.[29]
  • November 19, 2023 - Fifth and last official leadership debate held in Brampton.[30]
  • November 25–26, 2023 - Ranked ballots cast in-person by party members.[22]
  • December 2, 2023 - Ballots counted, with the new leader announced the same day.[22]
  • December 2, 2023 - At 4:34 PM, Bonnie Crombie was declared the new leader of the Ontario Liberal Party by President Kathryn McGarry and MPP Stephen Blais.

Campaign

[edit]

The party formally announced the start of the leadership election process on April 16, 2023, announcing the timeline, candidate registration requirements and fee schedule for the election.

There had been debate on the timing of the election, with campaigns that were actively exploring bids pushing for an earlier date in 2023, and others who wanted to delay the contest until late 2023 or early 2024, in the hopes of encouraging more candidates to join the race. In the end the party selected November 25–26 as the voting days with a new leader being announced on December 2, 2023.[31][32]

Nate Erskine-Smith was the first to officially announce and register as a candidate, doing so on May 8, 2023. He was followed by Ted Hsu and Yasir Naqvi, who announced with a week of each other at the end of May/beginning of June, and who, like Erskine-Smith, had been actively organizing and campaigning in the preceding months.

Bonnie Crombie announced her candidacy on June 14, this was after announcing an exploratory committee in May and the Ford government announcing legislation to dissolve the Regional Municipality of Peel and make Mississauga a Single-tier municipality.

The day after launching her campaign, Crombie was criticized for comments she made in regards to the greenbelt, suggesting that if she were premier she would be consider allowing land inside the greenbelt to be made open to development,[33] although Crombie later clarified her position.[34]

Adil Shamji announced his candidacy at the beginning of July.

In July, an interview featuring Nate Erskine-Smith appeared in the Toronto Star where he critiqued Bonnie Crombie's desire to move the party to the centre-right, her position on the Greenbelt and her age.[35] In response to that interview, Crombie accused Erskine-Smith of sexism and ageism relating to his comments saying "we should be thinking of this as what party do we want to build for the next 15-20 years."[36]

On August 15, the party announced the dates and locations for the five debates that are scheduled to be held across the province starting on September 14 in Thunder Bay.[23][25]

On August 19, Adil Shamji expressed concerns about election interference after some of his social media accounts were disabled. Shamji's Twitter account was suspended over complaints of spam, then his Facebook account was disabled, preventing the campaign from advertising on the platform. Shamji called the complaints frivolous and malicious and suggested the potential that the suspensions were part of a coordinated attack attempt to silence or hinder his campaign.[37]

On September 11, the party announced, following the deadline to join the party, that the total number of individuals who would be eligible to vote in the leadership election would be over 80,000.[38] The party later announced that, following verification checks and the removal of duplicate submissions, that 103,206 members in total will be eligible to vote.[39]

On September 28, Adil Shamji announced he will be dropping out of the leadership race to endorse Bonnie Crombie.[27]

Nate Erskine-Smith and Yasir Naqvi released a joint statement on November 9, announcing an agreement to ask their supporters to select each other as their number two choice, and also to co-ordinate volunteer & get-out-the-vote efforts. This agreement was viewed as an attempt to block Bonnie Crombie, the perceived front-runner in the race; both stated that they have found “common ground” during the leadership race and believed they were the best choices to beat Premier Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives in the 2026 election.[40][41][42]

Debates

[edit]
Debates among candidates for the 2023 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
No. Date Place Host Language Participants:  P  Participant  N  Not invited  A  Absent invitee

 O  Out of race

Crombie Erskine-Smith Hsu Naqvi Shamji
1 September 14, 2023 Thunder Bay Ontario Liberal Party English P P P P P
2 September 20, 2023 Toronto Toronto Metropolitan University & Toronto Star English P P P P P
3 October 1, 2023 Stratford Ontario Liberal Party English P P P P O
4 October 12, 2023 Toronto The Hurle Burly podcast[43] English P P P P O
5 October 24, 2023 Toronto Ontario Liberal Party English P P P P O
6 November 8, 2023 Ottawa Ontario Liberal Party Bilingual P P P P O
7 November 13, 2023 Toronto newsBeyond, AEFO, OECTA & OSSTF[44][45] Bilingual P P P P O
8 November 15, 2023 Toronto TVO[46] English P P P P O
9 November 19, 2023 Brampton Ontario Liberal Party English P P P P O

Policy and issues

[edit]
2023 Ontario Liberal Leadership – issue and policy commitments
Issue Crombie [47] Erskine-Smith [48] Hsu [49] Naqvi [50] Shamji [51]
Economy
  • Create a new paid statutory holiday, in which each individual Ontario can pick their own day.[52]
Education
  • Repealing Bill 124 and introduce a one-year teaching degree
  • Reduce the average class size, including creating a class size cap for grades 4 to 12 and lowering the existing class size cap for junior kindergarten to grade 3
  • Double the annual investment in addressing the repair backlog of schools
  • Create free, on-campus, after-school supplementary homework help program, guided by qualified teachers
  • Eliminate the online learning graduation requirement for high school students introduced by the Ford government
  • Expand skilled trades learning programs with a particular focus on enhancing participation of women, members of equity deserving groups, and racialized communities in skilled trades sector and support union-led skilled trades training initiatives
  • Eliminate the provincial portion of interest on OSAP loans, including for former students who are still paying off student loans. Increase the annual income threshold for OSAP repayment to $40,000 and extending the grace period for the provincial portion of OSAP to two years. Increasing OSAP funding for all eligible students, with a particular focus on supporting low-income and underrepresented groups
  • Deliver academic programs that are aligned with the needs of the labour market, hands-on training and expanded experiential learning opportunities such as co-op and paid internships.
  • Eliminate waitlists for special education, cap class sizes, hire more educators, and strengthen the curriculum in collaboration with educators.
  • Expand funding for extracurriculars, broaden access to mental health supports, and implement a universal healthy school food program based on the work of the Coalition for Healthy School Food.
  • Fund necessary repairs and upgrades, ensure access to high-quality internet, proper air conditioning and filtration, expanding green retrofits, keep schools accessible to rural and northern communities.
  • Create space for everyone to be who they are, support reconciliation, strengthen French education, and improve school safety.
  • Commit to fair bargaining, encouraging teacher-led professional development, deliver employment dignity for support staff.
  • Mandatory standards for ratios between students and teachers.
  • Eliminating EQAO testing, adapting curriculum to focus on practical subjects, exposing high school students to the trades, and keeping students in the classrooms.
  • Eliminate infrastructure backlog.[53]
Energy
  • Reduce Ontario’s emissions by 50% by 2030 and reach net zero by 2040
  • Build a net zero electricity grid by 2030.
  • Rapidly accelerate the deployment of zero emission vehicles, electric vehicle charging infrastructure, and green retrofits for homes, small businesses, and public buildings.
  • Build renewables and storage, enough to displace base load natural gas generation.
  • Build out remaining hydropower resources
  • Continue with plans to refurbish and expand nuclear power.
  • Promote hydrogen blending at existing gas plants to make them cleaner with no loss of flexibility.
Environment
  • Protect 30% of Ontario’s nature by 2030, including the Greenbelt, and restore the role of conservation authorities.
  • Establishing Ontario as a global leader in critical minerals, clean manufacturing and other clean technologies.
  • Enacting accountability legislation that sets strong interim targets, and establishes an independent body to hold the government accountable for its progress.
  • Protect the Greenbelt
Health Care
  • Legislate 10 paid sick days for all healthcare workers
  • Fair and equitable pay for all nurses and PSW's
  • Streamline licensing and accreditation process for internationally trained doctors, nurses and other healthcare workers
  • Add seats and residency spaces in Ontario's post-secondary institutions
  • Invest in hospitals so they can recruit and retain staff without depending on paying private agencies
  • Create a centralized referral system
  • Offer fair wages and better working conditions for health care workers, expanded placement and training opportunities in priority areas like primary and home-care, and create clear path to credential recognition for foreign-trained professionals.
  • Provide family health teams for everyone through expanded scope of practice for talented health professionals and increasing public investment to bring it up to par with the national average.
  • Expanded mental health access with up to 12 hours of talk therapy for every Ontarian, better support for mental health for kids, and action to treat substance use as a health issue.
  • Adopt Canada’s new long-term care standards, make new investments in home and community-based care, and improve support systems for caregivers.
  • Create dedicated northern and rural healthcare strategy.
  • Collect complete, timely and standardized data on the supply of and demand for the health sector’s workforce and services.
  • Invest outside of acute care and permanent community paramedicine.
  • Invest in alternatives to Long Term Care
  • Invest in primary care innovation
  • Support mental health, expand access to mental health services in schools, at-risk communities and for trauma related professions
  • Empower local decision making, invest in prevention
  • Streamline and simplify the licensing process for internationally trained doctors and nurses, establishing a reverse onus assumption.
  • Modernize the Registered Health Professions Act and increasing funding for college and university spaces in Ontario.
  • Create a new OHIP-like insurance plan that provides universal coverage of mental health services
  • Update occupational health and safety laws to obligate employers to promote safe and mentally resilient workplaces.
  • Minimum investment in mental health services equivalent to 10 per cent of provincial health funding
  • Fast-track the credentialing of foreign-trained doctors;
  • Set aside medical school spaces for Ontario students and incentivize graduates to choose family practice, especially in rural Ontario, develop a province-wide, data-driven staffing strategy to get more doctors where they’re needed most.
  • Streamline how physicians make referrals for specialists, tests and services.
  • Promote team-based primary care with nurses, social workers, pharmacists, and mental health workers working hand in hand with physicians.
  • Providing more ways for family physicians to charge the government for the services they provide;
  • Create mentorship programs pairing new family doctors with established veterans, and make it attractive for retired family doctors to return to practice
Housing
  • End exclusionary zoning, and removing barriers to smart and sustainable growth
  • Build and protect public-minded and affordable rental housing
  • Strengthen tenant protections in place and add resources to reduce the Landlord and Tenant Board (LTB) backlog
  • Create beneficial ownership registry, which requires companies holding real estate to identify their beneficial owners
  • Build a surplus of homes until rental vacancy rates of 3-4%, then rely on portable housing benefits instead of rent control.
  • Legislate planning measures for medium-density housing, building self sufficient communities with mixed neighborhoods and transportation
  • Allow municipalities to generate revenue for service provision
  • Support different residential options
  • Implement all of the recommendations of the Ontario Government's Housing Affordability Task Force.
  • End development charges altogether and replace them with outcome-based funding for cities and communities to transfer the burden of new developments from homebuyers and renters to the province.[54]
  • Make provincial and municipal land available by default for affordable non-profit housing development.
  • Create real rent control for all of Ontario, enact a ban on renovictions, build more rental units and end the backlog at the Landlord Tenant Board.[55]
  • Eliminate Exclusionary Zoning province-wide. Allow multiplex housing, multi-tenant housing, the conversion of underutilized or redundant commercial space for residential or mixed purposes, ensure local and regional housing plans also come with infrastructure plans to support them. Incentivize municipalities to meet or exceed their housing targets with the promise of additional capital funding that can be used for locally relevant community infrastructure.
  • Work with municipalities to adopt income-based definitions and targets for deeply affordable, affordable and attainable housing that work for their regional contexts, create a framework that incentivizes and funds municipalities to create their own inclusionary zoning policies in consultation with stakeholders and developers, and invest in purpose-built low-income and supportive housing projects.
  • Provide incentives to see more rental-specific buildings developed, ensure the fair application of rent control to renters regardless of when their building was constructed, close loopholes that allow renters to be renovicted and landlords to be held hostage by tenants who act in bad faith, and fund the Landlord and Tenant Board to clear the overwhelming backlog in cases.
  • Establish an Ontario Home Building Corporation to incentivize and finance housing development.
  • Work with private, non-profit, and municipal partners to prioritize immediate construction on over 300,000 development-ready unbuilt housing units.
  • Invest in the Ontario Land Tribunal to allow faster adjudication of land use matters.
Labour
  • Develop a sectoral bargaining system in relevant sectors that allows workers from multiple employers to use their combined numbers to advocate for better wages, benefits and working conditions from large employers.
  • Disallow employers from hiring temporary or replacement workers where the employer has locked out employees.
  • Develop a bill of rights for gig workers and workers on electronic platforms that ensures transparency in compensation, allowing workers to join a union or better advocate on their own behalf.
  • Increase minimum wage by $0.25 annually above inflation for a limited number of years.
  • Implement 10 paid sick days per year for all workers in Ontario.
  • Strike a labour task force and act upon recommendations to better support workers, including consideration of a regional living wage, increasing paid vacation time and accommodating hybrid work
  • Introduce policies to close the gender pay gap and ensure respect in the workplace.
Northern Ontario
  • Attract more students to acquire healthcare degrees and stay in Northern Ontario upon graduation by offering free tuition tied to multi-year service agreements.
  • Strike a Task Force to identify and address the gaps that exist in the current structure of the Northern Ontario Travel Grant and make adequate investment in this program to ensure that residents of Northern Ontario can access care timely.
  • Prevent school closures that force students to travel long distances and provide educators with economic incentives to stay in the North. Deliver targeted programs to improve retention and graduation rates in Northern schools by hiring guidance counselors to provide academic and career planning.
  • Expedite the process of critical minerals extraction in an environmentally responsible manner and while recognizing the rights, equity, and well-being of Indigenous peoples.
  • Meaningfully involve Indigenous communities in all matters that affect their lands, resources, and rights.
  • Boost the Northern Ontario Energy Tax Credit and the Northern Energy Advantage Program. Strengthen the Northern Ontario Heritage Fund.
  • Widen the final 68 km of Highway 69 to 4 lanes and designate Highways 69, 11, and 17 as Class 1 Highways.
  • Enhance northern intercommunity connectivity through broadband and digital infrastructure enhancement.
  • Improve subsidized intercommunity bus and work collaboratively with the Ontario Northland Transportation Commission to expedite the implementation of the Ontario Northlander passenger rail service, enhancing regional transportation networks.
  • Support northern municipalities with new and increased infrastructure investment in roads, broadband, and affordable housing. Develop an integrated housing and transit strategy for the 9 northern communities served by public transit.
  • Advance the economic opportunity in critical minerals and supply chains by investing in R&D and expediting the permitting and regulatory approvals process, in partnership with Indigenous communities.
  • Leverage northern Ontario as a destination that is affordable with employment opportunities, including through secondary and post-secondary programs, and with incentives to attract and retain workers in sectors facing labour shortages, including healthcare and the skilled trades.
  • Develop and adequately fund a Northern and Rural health-care strategy to address workforce retention and ER closures.
  • Increase admissions at the Northern Ontario School of Medicine and provide more tuition subsidies for students committed to staying in the North long-term.
  • Provide incentives for doctors and nurses who are willing to practice in underserved communities in the North.
  • Grow the population of Northern Ontario through improved connectivity and educational and economic opportunities.
  • Position Northern Ontario as a world leader in critical mineral extraction and processing while respecting Indigenous rights.[56]
Party Reform
  • Open candidate nominations within 60 days of the leadership convention and aiming to secure 25% of nominations in the first six months afterwards, while ensuring that nomination rules are clear, accessible and publicly available.
  • Establish Provincial Liberal Association (PLA) renewal guide, champion issues-based campaigns that PLAs can use to mobilize and allow PLA's greater access to central party support, funds, data and polling information.
  • Re-establish party policy conventions[57]

Candidates

[edit]

Bonnie Crombie

[edit]
Bonnie Crombie Campaign Logo

Bonnie Crombie, 63, was the Mayor of Mississauga, Ontario (2014–2024) and was previously the MP for Mississauga—Streetsville between 2008 and 2011. She has an MBA and was an entrepreneur and public affairs consultant before entering politics.

Date announced: June 14, 2023[58][20]
Date registered with Elections Ontario: June 13, 2023[59]
Campaign website: www.bonnieforleader.ca
Campaign slogan: "Strong Experienced Leadership."
Contributions received: $1,314,053.11[60]
Campaign expenditures: $1,193,719.46[60]
Endorsements - Bonnie Crombie

Nathaniel Erskine-Smith

[edit]
Nate Erskine-Smith Campaign Logo

Nathaniel Erskine-Smith, 39, is the MP for Beaches—East York (2015–present), and was a litigation lawyer prior to his election to parliament.

Date announced: May 8, 2023 [17][75]
Date registered with Elections Ontario: May 16, 2023[59]
Campaign website: www.meetnate.ca
Campaign slogan: "Serious Leadership. For a change."
Contributions received: $574,073.20[76]
Campaign expenditures: $587,095.59[76]
Endorsements - Nathaniel Erskine-Smith

Ted Hsu

[edit]
Ted Hsu Campaign Logo

Ted Hsu, 59, is the MPP for Kingston and the Islands (2022–present) and was previously the MP for the same riding between 2011 and 2015. He completed a PhD in physics and worked as a physicist and in investment banking outside of politics.

Date announced: May 28, 2023[86]
Date registered with Elections Ontario: May 20, 2023[59][87]
Campaign website: www.tedhsu.ca
Campaign slogan: "A fresh start."
Contributions received: $437,705.71[88]
Campaign expenditures: $437,705.71[88]
Endorsements - Ted Hsu

Yasir Naqvi

[edit]
Yasir Naqvi Campaign Logo

Yasir Naqvi, 50, is the MP for Ottawa Centre (2021–present), and was previously MPP for the same riding between 2007 and 2018). He served in the provincial cabinet as Attorney General (2016–18), Government House Leader (2014–18), Minister of Community Safety and Correctional Services (2014–16), and Minister of Labour (2013–14). He served three terms as president of the Ontario Liberal Party between 2009 and 2013, resigning upon his elevation to cabinet. Outside of politics, he was an international trade lawyer and served as the CEO of the Institute for Canadian Citizenship.

Date announced: June 3, 2023[93][94]
Date registered with Elections Ontario: June 2, 2023[95]
Campaign website: https://yasirnaqvi.ca/
Campaign slogan: "Libéral. Leader."
Contributions received: $475,944.50[96]
Campaign expenditures: $479,255.66[96]
Endorsements - Yasir Naqvi

Withdrawn candidates

[edit]

Adil Shamji

[edit]
Adil Shamji Campaign Logo

Adil Shamji, is the MPP for Don Valley East (2022–present) and serves as critic for Health, Northern Development, Indigenous Affairs, and Colleges and Universities.[137] Prior to his election, he was an Emergency physician and has completed a Master of Public Policy.

Date announced: July 4, 2023[21]
Date registered with Elections Ontario: July 4, 2023[138]
Date of withdrawal: September 29, 2023[27]
Endorsed: Bonnie Crombie[27]
Campaign website: www.joinadil.ca
Campaign slogan: "For all of us."
Contributions received: $119,375.00[139]
Campaign expenditures: $131,879.20[139]
Endorsements - Adil Shamji

Declined

[edit]

Opinion polling

[edit]

Liberal supporters

[edit]
Polling firm Link Last date
of polling 		Sample
Size 		Margin
of error 		Bonnie Crombie Nathaniel Erskine-Smith Ted Hsu Yasir Naqvi Other
Pallas Data [163][164] September 27, 2023 244 ±3.1% 49.5% 12.3% 11.7% 2.7% Not Sure 23.8%
Adil Shamji 0%
Probit Inc. [165] November 29, 2022 814 ±3.4% 28% 12% 3% 7% Mitzie Hunter 13%
Jeff Lehman 8%
Navdeep Bains 6%
Michael Coteau 5%
Other 3%
Maurizio Bevilacqua 3%
Mary-Margaret McMahon 3%
Arif Virani 3%
Yvan Baker 2%
Stephen Blais 2%
John Fraser (Write-in) 1%

All Ontarians

[edit]
Polling firm Link Last date
of polling 		Sample
Size 		Margin
of error 		Bonnie Crombie Nathaniel Erskine-Smith Ted Hsu Yasir Naqvi Other
Pallas Data [163][164] September 27, 2023 1,010 ±3.1% 29.2% 9.4% 5.9% 3.1% Not Sure 51.2%
Adil Shamji 1.2%
Angus Reid [166] September 6, 2023 582 ±3% 31% 4% 3% 4% Not Sure 57%
Adil Shamji 2%

Results

[edit]
  = Eliminated from next round
  = Winner
Results by round[167]
Candidate 1st round 2nd round 3rd round
Points Votes Points +/- Votes +/- Points +/- Votes +/-
Bonnie Crombie 5,559
42.96% 		9,314
41.07% 		6,047
46.73% 		488
3.77% 		10,176
45.40% 		862
4.33% 		6,911
53.40% 		864
6.67% 		11,325
52.35% 		1,149
6.95%
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith 3,320
25.66% 		6,083
26.82% 		3,792
29.30% 		472
3.64% 		6,944
30.99% 		861
4.17% 		6,029
46.59% 		2,237
17.29% 		10,307
47.65% 		3,363
16.66%
Yasir Naqvi 2,760
21.33% 		4,705
20.75% 		3,101
23.96% 		341
2.63% 		5,294
23.62% 		589
2.87% 		Eliminated
Ted Hsu 1,300
10.05% 		2,578
11.36% 		Eliminated
Total 12,940 22,680 12,940 0 22,414 -266 12,940 0 21,632 -782
First round
Crombie
 
 42.96%
Erskine-Smith
 
 25.66%
Naqvi
 
 23.96%
Hsu
 
 10.05%
Final round
Crombie
 
 53.40%
Erskine-Smith
 
 46.59%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Stone, Laura (3 December 2023). "Bonnie Crombie takes aim at Doug Ford after winning Ontario Liberal leadership". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved 4 December 2023.
  2. ^ Callan, Isaac (2 June 2022). "Steven Del Duca fails to win provincial seat, resigns as Ontario Liberal leader". Global News. Retrieved 3 June 2022.
  3. ^ Benzie, Robert; Ferguson, Rob (5 January 2023). "'Why didn't we see this coming?' Ontario Liberals release scathing review of election failure". Toronto Star. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
  4. ^ "Review of the 2022 Ontario Liberal Party Campaign" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
  5. ^ Jones, Allison (9 January 2023). "Ontario Liberals set to consult on new leadership process". Global News. The Canadian Press. Retrieved 14 June 2023.
  6. ^ Ferguson, Rob (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals one step closer to new leader with one-member, one-vote system". Toronto Star. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  7. ^ "Ontario Liberals choose new voting process for leadership race". CBC News. March 4, 2023. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  8. ^ Jones, Allison (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals approve new voting process for leadership race". CityNews. The Canadian Press. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  9. ^ "Constitution of the Ontario Liberal Party" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  10. ^ "Rules of Procedure for the 2023 Leadership Contest" (PDF). www.ontarioliberal.ca. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 April 2023. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
  11. ^ Chamandy, Aidan; Pinkerton, Charlie (4 March 2023). "Ontario Liberals to allow all members to vote in leadership elections". The Trillium. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  12. ^ Ferguson, Rob (16 April 2023). "'Exactly what we need' or 'dumbest decision'? Ontario Liberals announce Dec. 2 for leadership vote". Toronto Star. Retrieved 18 April 2023.
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  66. ^ @BonnieforLeader (2023-07-20). "Les Franco-Ontariens ont une langue, une culture et une histoire qui sont essentielle à notre province. Je suis très fier d'avoir l'appui de Madeleine. Rejoindre Madeleine et moi pour supporter les communautés Franco-Ontariennes à travers de l'Ontario👉" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  67. ^ @bonniecrombie (August 17, 2023). "Thank you Chris for your support! Ontario's future growth and prosperity depends on a well-prepared and educated workforce. As Leader of the #OLP, I will invest in our young people, support our educators & strengthen our public education system" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  70. ^ @BonnieCrombie (November 21, 2023). "It is an honour to have your support @ElinorCaplan. Having served as a Mayor, an MP and a City Councillor, I am an experienced consensus builder. As a Leader, I will work with all levels of government to deliver for Ontarians. " (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  71. ^ @BonnieCrombie (November 22, 2023). ".@jedi_lehman came so close to winning a tough riding in Barrie & Simcoe County last election. I admire his vast experience as a municipal leader & his thoughtful approach to public policy, & am so grateful for his support" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  72. ^ @BonnieCrombie (2023-09-12). "Thank you @AlvinTedjo for your support and for your guidance on my campaign. The #OLP now has 80k+ members — eager for change. I look forward to leading the party to victory in 2026" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  73. ^ @bonniecrombie (October 15, 2023). "Thank you Marianne for your support! It was a pleasure to see you up in Sudbury this weekend! Together, we will ensure a brighter future for #NorthernON" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  77. ^ @beynate (August 25, 2023). "Healthcare announcement with @karenmccrimmon, the newest member of our team #ONpoli" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  78. ^ Kitts, Daniel (May 12, 2023). "What's ON: The week that was in Ontario politics (May 8–12)". TVO Today. Retrieved May 24, 2023. He has already received a few endorsements, including from MPP Mary-Margaret McMahon, who represents Beaches–East York, the same riding Erskine-Smith represents at the federal level.
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  80. ^ @juliedabrusin (May 9, 2023). "Happy to support @beynate as the next Ontario Liberal leader!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  81. ^ @pfragiskatos (May 12, 2023). "It's time for @beynate. Happy to support him as he campaigns to be the next leader of the @OntLiberal" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  82. ^ @VivianeLapointe (May 10, 2023). "I've had the pleasure of working with @beynate. He is principled, tenacious & passionate. He creates innovative solutions that work. These are the skills we need in a leader, and Nate is the leader we need for Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  83. ^ @BeyNate (June 30, 2023). "I've always appreciated the independent-minded approach that Marcus (@MarcusPowlowski) brings to politics as we work together to represent our constituents in Ottawa. Im glad to have his support" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  84. ^ @jm_mcgrath (July 25, 2023). "At Queens Park this AM, fmr MP and environment minister Catherine McKenna is endorsing @beynate and his climate policy." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  85. ^ a b c @BeyNate (July 5, 2023). "I've said from the start that there's no substitute for hard work. We just finished our 7th tour of northern Ontario. Our hard work is paying off, and our team is growing." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  91. ^ @tedhsu (July 31, 2023). "Thank you Mark for being a part of #TeamTed! I am thankful to have a working partner in Ottawa that shares the same goals I do in protecting our environment and promoting sustainability" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  97. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-06-06). "Merci, @LucilleCollard, pour votre soutien et votre amitié au fil des ans ! Yasir "a constamment démontré une profonde compréhension des défis auxquels sont confrontés les gens qu'il représente parce qu'il écoute."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  98. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 23, 2023). ".@AndreaHazelll and I share a political background of coming from outside the establishment, running and winning by connecting with voters, and building relationships by being authentic to our values.I'm so happy to have her support in this leadership race!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  99. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 21, 2023). "I was a Young Liberal when I attended my first leadership convention to support Charles Beer. He offfered refreshing ideas for the party that continue to resonate with me today. We've come full circle and I am beyond grateful for his support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  101. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 13, 2023). "Sean Conway's history and experience within the @OntLiberal Party is truly unparalleled, and I sincerely appreciate his support! Sean knows how to win, not just in urban centres, but throughout rural Ontario. Together, we will rebuild our party all across the province!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  102. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 23, 2023). "Bob Delaney is a long time member of the Ontario Liberal Party. He's seen the best leaders and knows that the key to Liberal success: listen first, talk second. I have taken that to heart this leadership race, and I'm so proud to have Bob's support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  103. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 31, 2023). "For too long, Northern and rural Ontario have been overlooked. It's time that ends. With the support and guidance of Northern Ontario leaders like @MichaelGravelle, I will represent ALL of Ontario, regardless of where you live or where you've come from" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  104. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 14, 2023). ".@LindaJeffrey and others know I didn't get into politics to help my friends with big contracts. I was raised to believe that public service is an honourable profession. I'm running to lead the Ontario Liberal Party — not the "Developers of Ontario Party"" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  105. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 31, 2023). "As Speaker of the Ontario Legislature, Dave Levac focused on offering fair and reasonable decisions. He is thoughtful, authentic, and spent his career in politics focused on making a difference. That's the kind of leadership I admire. That's the kind of Leadership I offer" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  106. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 15, 2023). "My values are Liberal values. @Deb_Matthews is a leader who has expericenced the positive impact of practical Liberal solutions for our province. Her belief in my vision inspires me that I'm on the right track, and I am so appreciative of her support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  107. ^ McGrath, John Michael (2023-11-15). "Why this long-time Liberal is endorsing Yasir Naqvi". TVO.
  108. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 3, 2023). "Throughout his career, Bill Mauro has continued to remind us of the unique challenges facing Thunder Bay & Northern Ontario communities. You can count on me to serve communities in all regions of Ontario to build a healthy & prosperous province" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  109. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 4, 2023). "Thank you, Phil! As part of the Ontario Liberal Government, we delivered on phasing out coal electricity plants, achieving the largest GHG reduction in North America. As Leader, I will continue our work to make Ontario a cleaner, healthier & better place to live" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  110. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 10, 2023). "Doug Ford has broken the trust of Ontarians. The status quo means more of the same -- more corruption and less response to the real needs of Ontario. Khalil Ramal knows that I offer real, practical, LIberal solutions to change the status quo" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  111. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 8, 2023). "Doug Ford's underfunding of healthcare in Ontario puts lives at risk. Access to healthcare in small & rural communities is not a privilege, it's a right. Let's challenge the status quo & fix our healthcare system. Thanks for the support, Lou!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  112. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 22, 2023). "Northern Ontario leaders know the @OntLiberal Party needs a strong leader that is ready to engage the grassroots in order to rebuild our party in the region. Monique Smith has done this work in Nipissing. She knows what it takes & that's why I sincerely appreciate her support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  113. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 6, 2023). "Northern Ontario knows that the status quo is not working, and to renew the promise of #Ontario, we need strong Liberal organizations in every one of our 124 ridings. Northern leaders like @GlennThibeault understand that, and I'm so happy to have his support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  114. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 7, 2023). ".@JimWatsonOttawa knows I value the relationships I build with my constituents. We work every day, knocking on doors to connect with people, not just at election time. As your representative and the next Premier of Ontario, that won't change. Thank you, Jim, for the support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  115. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-06-05). ""With Yasir as Leader, I have no doubt he will inspire another generation of Ontarians to join us, once again, to leave a better world to our children and grandchildren." Thanks John Wilkinson for your support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  116. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 3, 2023). "Paul and I agree: It's time to break down barriers to accept the medical credentials of new immigrants. We need more doctors and nurses now, not years from now, and new immigrants across Ontario have the skills we need! Thank you for your support, @PaulChiangMU!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  117. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 25, 2023). "Recognizing the heritage, language & culture of the francophone community is an important reminder that people of all backgrounds contribute to making our province a better place. On this Franco-Ontarian Day, I'm proud to have the support of my friend & colleague @MonaFortier!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  118. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 7, 2023). "From overseeing Ontario's social assistance reform to leading the federal government's post-pandemic economic recovery in Ontario, @HelenaJaczek's holistic view and outcome-based approach has made meaningful differences in people's life. I'm truly honoured by her endorsement!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  119. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 8, 2023). "My commitment to diversity and inclusion speaks for itself. My upbringing is deeply rooted in the values of democracy, social justice and compassion. All of my life I have worked for liberal values. I won't stop now. Thank you for the support, @MajidJowhari!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  120. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 27, 2023). "Today in Ontario, the status quo isn't good enough and the promise of our great province is slipping away. Ontarians deserve better & that's why I'm running to be Leader of @OntLiberal. Together, with the support of people like @mflalonde, we can put our province back together" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  121. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 14, 2023). "I believe everyone should have the opportunity to succeed. It shouldn't matter where you're from or the story that led you to Ontario. Good healthcare, quality education, and a strong economy is the basis of the Ontario I want to lead. Thanks for your support, @viraniarif!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  122. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (2023-07-10). "Our Co-Chairs represent my promise to ensure everyone in Ontario can see themselves in the @OntLiberal Party. ~~~~ Nos coprésidents représentent ma promesse de veiller à ce que tous les Ontariens puissent se reconnaître dans le Parti libéral de l'Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  123. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 1, 2023). "The support of Liberal legends like Jean-Jacques Blais, who have done so much to support the Franco-Ontarian community, is truly humbling. Being Premier is no easy job. But I'm ready to bring ethical, transparent government back to Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  124. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 16, 2023). "Having been elected at all three levels of government over 30 years, Don Boudria's guidance and support as I take on this journey to lead our party and our province is immeasurable.Thanks for the support, Don!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  125. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 10, 2023). "The support of strong OWLC members like Michelle Simson reflects my commitment to gender equality and assessing the unique impacts of policy decisions on women. That's one major difference between the Ontario Liberal Party I want to lead and Doug Ford's Government" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  126. ^ a b @Yasir_Naqvi (November 10, 2023). "Helga and Wayne Campbell are incredible individuals who played a major role in getting me involved with Liberal politics. In 1990, Wayne's nomination and election campaign was my first taste of the Canadian political process, and I'm so thankful for their continued support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  127. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 27, 2023). "Ontario's education system needs a fix — our kids deserve well-funded schools, classroom sizes that allow for learning, and a curriculum that will prepare them for the future. School Board Trustee @MalikaGhousCA knows that as well as anyone. Thank you for your support!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  128. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 12, 2023). "People like @aliciahiggison know how good policy manifests in local neighbourhoods, and I'm so thankful for her support. Good policy like full-day kindergarten & affordable college & university are the kind of things our province needs, to make life easier to live for" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  129. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 12, 2023). ".@rawlsonking continues to break down barriers, educating others about the realities of Black and racialized community. We must always consider those whose realities are different from our own. We have so much to learn. Thank you for your support, Rawlson!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  130. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (August 18, 2023). "The rising cost of living is making the promise of Ontario slip away for too many. Together, with the help of those like Lisa-Marie, we can put our province back together. We can transform our party and ensure everyone in Ontario can live a life that's affordable" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  131. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 15, 2023). "Throughout my years of public service, I have always worked to find innovative, practical, and Liberal solutions to the challenges we face. As Leader, I will continue this work to transform our party and restore the promise of Ontario. Thanks for the support, @judicodd!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  132. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 30, 2023). ".@BobMonette1 and I both know that working together, building positive relationships — even when we disagree — is the way to get things done. I believe in listening to the diversity of voices, not just my friends. Thank you for the support, Bob" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  133. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (July 25, 2023). "Ontario is home to people from all over the world; some who have been here for a short time & some who have been here for generations. @khalidusman & I share the commitment to helping ALL of Ontario succeed, regardless of where you come from or how long you've been in Ontario" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  134. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (October 8, 2023). "Doug Ford has eroded public trust; his apology is too little, too late. The support of long-time Party activists like Jamie Carroll shows that my plan to be transparent, ethical, and bring forth a practical Liberal vision for the future is where our province needs to go" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  135. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (November 3, 2023). "I'm so thankful for the support of long-time Liberals like @sheilagervais! When my family immigrated, Ontario held promise with public healthcare & world-class schools. I see the promise of Ontario slipping away under Doug Ford. Together, we can restore that promise" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  136. ^ @Yasir_Naqvi (September 30, 2023). "Ava Hill knows the influence my background has had on my approach to politics. We all know the challenges Ontarians face today and only by working together can we find workable solutions. Thank you for your support, Ava!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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