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2011 Ontario general election

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2011 Ontario general election
← 2007 October 6, 2011 2014 →
107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout48.2% (Decrease4.6pp)[1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Dalton McGuinty Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since December 1, 1996 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Ottawa South Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre
Last election 71 seats, 42.25% 26 seats, 31.62% 10 seats, 16.76%
Seats before 70 25 10
Seats won 53 37 17
Seat change Decrease17 Increase12 Increase7
Popular vote 1,625,102 1,530,076 981,508
Percentage 37.65% 35.45% 22.74%
Swing Decrease4.60pp Increase3.83pp Increase5.98pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

Premier after election

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

The 2011 Ontario general election was held on October 6, 2011, to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as the third party. In the final result, Premier McGuinty's party fell one seat short of winning a majority government.

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections were now held on fixed dates, namely the first Thursday of October every four years.[2] The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011.

The election saw a then–record low voter turnout of 48.2%,[1] only to be surpassed by the 2022 Ontario general election with 43.53%.

Timeline

[edit]
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Party leadership

[edit]

In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 percent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011.

Incumbents not running for reelection

[edit]
Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MPP
Barrie   Aileen Carroll[7] Karl Walsh   Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Bill Murdoch[8] Bill Walker   Bill Walker
Burlington   Joyce Savoline[9] Jane McKenna   Jane McKenna
Cambridge   Gerry Martiniuk[10] Rob Leone   Rob Leone
Carleton—Mississippi Mills   Norm Sterling[11] Jack MacLaren   Jack MacLaren
Chatham-Kent—Essex   Pat Hoy[12] Paul Watson   Rick Nicholls
Davenport   Tony Ruprecht[13] Cristina Martins   Jonah Schein
Don Valley East   David Caplan[14] Michael Coteau   Michael Coteau
Elgin—Middlesex—London   Steve Peters[15] Lori Baldwin-Sands   Jeff Yurek
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell   Jean-Marc Lalonde[16] Grant Crack   Grant Crack
Kenora—Rainy River   Howard Hampton[17] Sarah Campbell   Sarah Campbell
Nipissing   Monique Smith[18] Catherine Whiting   Vic Fedeli
Pickering—Scarborough East   Wayne Arthurs[19] Tracy MacCharles   Tracy MacCharles
Scarborough—Agincourt   Gerry Phillips[20] Soo Wong   Soo Wong
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Jim Brownell[21] Mark A. Macdonald   Jim McDonell
Timiskaming—Cochrane   David Ramsay[22] Denis Bonin   John Vanthof
Welland   Peter Kormos[23] Cindy Forster   Cindy Forster
Windsor West   Sandra Pupatello[24] Teresa Piruzza   Teresa Piruzza

Results

[edit]
Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % Change
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 107 71 70 53 18Decrease 1,625,102 37.65% 4.7%Decrease
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 107 26 25 37 11Increase 1,530,076 35.45% 3.8%Increase
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 107 10 10 17 7Increase 981,508 22.74% 5.9%Increase
Green Mike Schreiner 107 – – – – 126,021 2.92% 5.1%Decrease
Libertarian Sam Apelbaum 51 – – – – 19,447 0.45% 0.3%Increase
Family Coalition Phil Lees 31 – – – – 9,524 0.22% 0.6%Decrease
Freedom Paul McKeever 57 – – – – 9,253 0.21% 0.1%Increase
Independent   36 – – – – 9,021 0.21% –
Communist Elizabeth Rowley 9 – – – – 1,162 0.03% 0.01%Decrease
Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel 3 – – – – 676 0.02% –
Special Needs Danish Ahmed 4 – – – – 667 0.02% 0.01%Increase
Reform Bradley J. Harness 4 – – – – 647 0.01% 0.01%Increase
Paramount Canadians Ranvir Dogra 4 – – – – 562 0.01% –
Confederation of Regions vacant 3 – – – – 559 0.01% –
Socialist Michael Laxer 5 – – – – 519 0.01% –
People's Political Party Kevin Clarke 4 – – – – 386 – –
Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras 3 – – – – 366 – –
Republican Trueman Tuck 3 – – – – 232 – –
The Only Party Michael Green 3 – – – – 188 – –
Human Rights Marilyn McCormick 2 – – – – 170 – –
Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar 3 – – – – 156 – –
Paupers John Turmel 2 – – – – 140 < .01% –
  Vacant 2  
Total 655 107 107 107 4,316,382 100%
Source: "40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 1, 2014. Retrieved May 17, 2014.
Popular vote
Liberal
 
 37.65%
PC
 
 35.45%
New Democratic
 
 22.74%
Others
 
 4.16%
Seats summary
Liberal
 
 49.53%
PC
 
 34.58%
New Democratic
 
 15.89%

Summary

[edit]
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011
Party 2007 Gain from(loss to) 2011
Lib PC NDP
Liberal 71 (11) (7) 53
Progressive Conservative 26 11 37
New Democratic 10 7 17
Total 107 18 (11) (7) 107

Regional analysis

[edit]
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)
Party Toronto 905 Belt Ham/Niagara Central East Midwest Southwest North Total
    Liberal 17 14 3 1 7 3 4 4 53
    Conservative 3 3 10 7 8 4 2 37
    New Democratic 5 1 4 2 5 17
Total 22 18 10 11 14 11 10 11 107

Synopsis of results

[edit]
See also: Results by riding of the Ontario general election, 2011
Results by riding - 2011 Ontario general election[a 1]
Riding 2007 Winning party Turnout
[a 2] 		Votes[a 3]
Party Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		Lib PC NDP Green Ind Other Total
 
Ajax—Pickering Lib Lib 19,606 47.34% 4,888 11.80% 44.84% 19,606 14,718 5,952 843 – 299 41,418
Algoma—Manitoulin Lib NDP 11,585 44.52% 4,188 16.09% 49.43% 7,397 6,141 11,585 684 – 217 26,024
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Lib Lib 21,648 43.70% 4,516 9.12% 56.45% 21,648 17,132 8,521 1,477 – 765 49,543
Barrie Lib PC 17,527 40.66% 2,521 5.85% 46.00% 15,006 17,527 8,171 1,909 – 497 43,110
Beaches—East York NDP NDP 17,925 46.82% 4,112 10.74% 51.64% 13,813 5,333 17,925 1,025 – 189 38,285
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Lib NDP 16,626 38.16% 2,277 5.23% 40.71% 14,349 9,896 16,626 1,091 491 1,119 43,572
Brampton—Springdale Lib Lib 15,663 44.43% 2,909 8.25% 40.54% 15,663 12,754 5,378 900 – 562 35,257
Brampton West Lib Lib 19,224 43.76% 4,790 10.90% 38.29% 19,224 14,434 8,331 1,432 – 509 43,930
Brant Lib Lib 16,867 37.08% 1,106 2.43% 48.23% 16,867 15,761 11,006 957 244 649 45,484
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PC PC 19,567 47.37% 8,678 21.01% 54.70% 10,889 19,567 6,133 2,654 1,478 585 41,306
Burlington PC PC 20,061 40.41% 2,152 4.33% 54.83% 17,909 20,061 9,370 1,129 – 1,175 49,644
Cambridge PC PC 15,947 37.69% 1,954 4.62% 46.04% 13,993 15,947 10,414 1,056 271 629 42,310
Carleton—Mississippi Mills PC PC 28,246 50.29% 9,102 16.21% 53.50% 19,144 28,246 6,371 1,857 – 549 56,167
Chatham-Kent—Essex Lib PC 15,121 41.78% 3,490 9.64% 49.41% 11,631 15,121 8,415 1,027 – – 36,194
Davenport Lib NDP 14,367 45.93% 1,414 4.52% 45.59% 12,953 2,480 14,367 855 250 374 31,279
Don Valley East Lib Lib 16,350 51.08% 7,645 23.88% 46.08% 16,350 8,705 5,953 702 – 300 32,010
Don Valley West Lib Lib 24,444 58.32% 11,617 27.71% 50.93% 24,444 12,827 3,621 718 – 307 41,917
Dufferin—Caledon PC PC 17,833 46.95% 7,671 20.19% 47.74% 10,162 17,833 4,200 5,540 – 250 37,985
Durham PC PC 22,393 49.07% 8,999 19.72% 49.74% 13,394 22,393 8,027 1,221 – 596 45,631
Eglinton—Lawrence Lib Lib 20,752 54.15% 7,895 20.60% 51.81% 20,752 12,857 3,763 575 146 231 38,324
Elgin—Middlesex—London Lib PC 19,771 47.86% 8,696 21.05% 51.28% 11,075 19,771 9,201 981 – 283 41,311
Essex Lib NDP 17,417 37.99% 1,368 2.98% 51.38% 11,518 16,049 17,417 860 – – 45,844
Etobicoke Centre Lib Lib 21,916 51.48% 7,960 18.70% 52.62% 21,916 13,956 5,099 837 – 761 42,569
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib Lib 22,169 51.02% 9,464 21.78% 50.01% 22,169 12,705 6,713 1,164 226 471 43,448
Etobicoke North Lib Lib 12,081 48.46% 6,009 24.10% 40.15% 12,081 6,072 5,426 541 – 811 24,931
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib Lib 17,345 43.18% 1,372 3.42% 47.81% 17,345 15,973 5,721 770 – 363 40,172
Guelph Lib Lib 19,815 42.43% 7,861 16.83% 50.27% 19,815 11,954 11,150 3,234 100 444 46,697
Haldimand—Norfolk PC PC 25,203 60.81% 17,155 41.39% 53.31% 7,087 25,203 8,048 868 – 242 41,448
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PC PC 22,352 45.43% 5,830 11.85% 54.98% 16,522 22,352 8,517 1,562 – 245 49,198
Halton PC PC 26,228 44.47% 3,148 5.34% 45.99% 23,080 26,228 7,757 1,286 166 464 58,981
Hamilton Centre NDP NDP 20,586 61.33% 14,725 43.87% 42.43% 5,861 4,421 20,586 1,249 268 1,182 33,567
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP NDP 20,442 51.72% 10,045 25.41% 46.26% 10,397 7,395 20,442 692 – 601 39,527
Hamilton Mountain Lib NDP 20,492 45.16% 5,798 12.78% 50.45% 14,694 8,641 20,492 748 – 798 45,373
Huron—Bruce Lib PC 19,138 42.76% 4,479 10.01% 59.23% 14,659 19,138 9,329 772 200 656 44,754
Kenora—Rainy River NDP NDP 10,949 49.62% 2,642 11.97% 45.75% 2,202 8,307 10,949 391 – 216 22,065
Kingston and the Islands Lib Lib 21,028 48.84% 10,787 25.06% 45.03% 21,028 9,610 10,241 1,594 – 578 43,051
Kitchener Centre Lib Lib 15,392 39.23% 323 0.82% 49.16% 15,392 15,069 7,385 938 137 317 39,238
Kitchener—Conestoga Lib PC 18,017 44.18% 3,541 8.68% 46.62% 14,476 18,017 7,165 1,121 – – 40,779
Kitchener—Waterloo PC PC 21,665 43.77% 3,828 7.73% 50.54% 17,837 21,665 8,250 1,308 316 123 49,499
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Lib PC 19,379 45.74% 6,956 16.42% 54.08% 12,423 19,379 8,882 987 – 701 42,372
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington PC PC 22,457 50.12% 9,967 22.25% 50.43% 12,490 22,457 8,104 1,754 – – 44,805
Leeds—Grenville PC PC 24,314 63.60% 17,651 46.17% 50.64% 6,663 24,314 5,822 1,319 – 111 38,229
London—Fanshawe Lib NDP 13,953 40.77% 4,275 12.49% 45.82% 9,678 9,075 13,953 852 192 475 34,225
London North Centre Lib Lib 19,167 43.91% 6,539 14.98% 47.87% 19,167 12,628 9,914 1,451 – 492 43,652
London West Lib Lib 22,610 45.65% 8,007 16.17% 53.01% 22,610 14,603 10,757 1,194 – 361 49,525
Markham—Unionville Lib Lib 19,579 52.58% 7,859 21.11% 40.68% 19,579 11,720 4,575 1,104 – 259 37,237
Mississauga—Brampton South Lib Lib 15,579 46.04% 5,292 15.64% 36.43% 15,579 10,287 5,420 1,247 616 691 33,840
Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib Lib 15,535 45.74% 4,238 12.48% 40.50% 15,535 11,297 5,704 934 199 294 33,963
Mississauga—Erindale Lib Lib 20,552 45.03% 4,258 9.33% 43.91% 20,552 16,294 7,768 853 – 176 45,643
Mississauga South Lib Lib 20,375 50.71% 5,876 14.62% 51.25% 20,375 14,499 4,044 860 – 401 40,179
Mississauga—Streetsville Lib Lib 18,591 51.54% 7,936 22.00% 41.46% 18,591 10,655 5,494 1,329 – 0 36,069
Nepean—Carleton PC PC 29,985 54.48% 15,141 27.51% 49.91% 14,844 29,985 8,127 1,641 – 440 55,037
Newmarket—Aurora PC PC 21,425 47.24% 5,271 11.62% 49.33% 16,154 21,425 6,514 1,256 – – 45,349
Niagara Falls Lib Lib 16,794 35.89% 498 1.06% 49.44% 16,794 16,296 12,304 759 231 408 46,792
Niagara West—Glanbrook PC PC 24,919 50.95% 12,211 24.97% 54.88% 12,708 24,919 9,070 1,372 – 837 48,906
Nickel Belt NDP NDP 16,876 54.86% 9,425 30.64% 49.55% 7,451 5,625 16,876 810 – – 30,762
Nipissing Lib PC 15,381 50.11% 6,606 21.52% 51.86% 8,775 15,381 5,567 971 – – 30,694
Northumberland—Quinte West Lib PC 19,279 39.80% 707 1.46% 51.88% 18,572 19,279 8,589 1,483 159 357 48,439
Oak Ridges—Markham Lib Lib 28,878 44.78% 4,928 7.64% 42.70% 28,878 23,950 8,548 1,569 484 1,057 64,486
Oakville Lib Lib 21,711 48.09% 4,580 10.14% 52.70% 21,711 17,131 4,625 878 498 303 45,146
Oshawa PC PC 16,719 42.25% 2,403 6.07% 44.26% 6,921 16,719 14,316 1,035 – 582 39,573
Ottawa Centre Lib Lib 23,646 46.81% 8,931 17.68% 53.73% 23,646 9,257 14,715 2,184 309 400 50,511
Ottawa—Orléans Lib Lib 21,857 46.44% 2,854 6.06% 52.65% 21,857 19,003 4,979 886 – 337 47,062
Ottawa South Lib Lib 21,842 48.86% 6,897 15.43% 51.19% 21,842 14,945 5,988 1,442 – 490 44,707
Ottawa—Vanier Lib Lib 19,619 51.51% 10,690 28.07% 46.81% 19,619 8,929 7,466 1,719 – 352 38,085
Ottawa West—Nepean Lib Lib 18,492 41.62% 1,009 2.27% 54.02% 18,492 17,483 6,576 1,485 – 396 44,432
Oxford PC PC 20,658 54.87% 11,248 29.88% 49.18% 9,410 20,658 5,885 1,336 – 359 37,648
Parkdale—High Park NDP NDP 18,365 46.20% 3,488 8.77% 51.79% 14,877 4,668 18,365 1,325 289 228 39,752
Parry Sound—Muskoka PC PC 19,417 54.09% 12,880 35.88% 51.79% 6,537 19,417 6,527 3,251 – 167 35,899
Perth—Wellington Lib PC 14,845 40.09% 210 0.57% 51.89% 14,635 14,845 5,836 918 – 791 37,025
Peterborough Lib Lib 19,430 39.93% 4,107 8.44% 53.18% 19,430 15,323 12,460 1,235 – 210 48,658
Pickering—Scarborough East Lib Lib 18,201 46.66% 5,168 13.25% 49.69% 18,201 13,033 6,424 1,096 – 252 39,006
Prince Edward—Hastings Lib PC 18,816 42.28% 3,130 7.03% 51.74% 15,686 18,816 7,379 2,049 – 573 44,503
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PC PC 27,594 70.78% 21,363 54.80% 52.69% 6,231 27,594 4,277 574 – 309 38,985
Richmond Hill Lib Lib 18,042 46.92% 4,279 11.13% 42.49% 18,042 13,763 4,987 1,268 – 394 38,454
St. Catharines Lib Lib 17,166 40.21% 1,705 3.99% 51.00% 17,166 15,461 8,624 1,066 – 378 42,695
St. Paul's Lib Lib 25,048 58.39% 16,076 37.48% 50.41% 25,048 8,972 7,124 1,180 – 573 42,897
Sarnia—Lambton PC PC 19,570 48.32% 9,263 22.87% 51.75% 8,819 19,570 10,307 567 1,077 160 40,500
Sault Ste. Marie Lib Lib 16,109 54.95% 7,072 24.12% 49.35% 16,109 3,477 9,037 519 – 172 29,314
Scarborough—Agincourt Lib Lib 14,907 46.85% 4,685 14.73% 43.57% 14,907 10,222 5,017 722 – 948 31,816
Scarborough Centre Lib Lib 16,142 51.43% 8,631 27.50% 44.49% 16,142 7,511 6,876 558 – 301 31,388
Scarborough—Guildwood Lib Lib 15,607 48.93% 6,470 20.29% 47.65% 15,607 9,137 6,194 413 – 543 31,894
Scarborough—Rouge River Lib Lib 15,237 41.87% 2,149 5.91% 42.89% 15,237 6,837 13,088 455 – 773 36,390
Scarborough Southwest Lib Lib 14,585 44.09% 4,181 12.64% 47.78% 14,585 7,061 10,404 777 – 250 33,077
Simcoe—Grey PC PC 25,339 54.33% 14,935 32.02% 48.12% 10,404 25,339 6,839 4,057 – – 46,639
Simcoe North PC PC 25,081 55.16% 14,890 32.75% 50.98% 10,191 25,081 7,710 2,488 – – 45,470
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Lib PC 21,463 55.25% 13,050 33.60% 51.40% 8,413 21,463 8,021 551 – 396 38,844
Sudbury Lib Lib 13,735 42.37% 531 1.64% 49.94% 13,735 4,400 13,204 870 44 164 32,417
Thornhill PC PC 20,971 46.71% 2,598 5.79% 45.35% 18,373 20,971 4,024 756 – 772 44,896
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Lib Lib 10,319 38.97% 438 1.65% 46.61% 10,319 5,815 9,881 379 86 – 26,480
Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib Lib 11,765 45.00% 2,654 10.15% 48.20% 11,765 4,578 9,111 555 – 133 26,142
Timiskaming—Cochrane Lib NDP 12,633 50.12% 6,101 24.21% 50.01% 6,532 5,337 12,633 312 – 391 25,205
Timmins—James Bay NDP NDP 11,479 49.47% 2,964 12.77% 46.84% 2,870 8,515 11,479 233 – 108 23,205
Toronto Centre Lib Lib 25,236 54.94% 13,665 29.75% 48.42% 25,236 7,186 11,571 1,123 – 820 45,936
Toronto—Danforth NDP NDP 20,062 54.01% 8,693 23.40% 49.30% 11,369 3,488 20,062 1,354 – 875 37,148
Trinity—Spadina NDP NDP 19,870 42.36% 1,139 2.43% 43.00% 18,731 5,420 19,870 2,415 – 470 46,906
Vaughan Lib Lib 26,174 53.02% 10,754 21.78% 41.08% 26,174 15,420 5,594 694 169 1,316 49,367
Welland NDP NDP 19,527 44.66% 5,479 12.53% 51.64% 8,638 14,048 19,527 1,005 – 505 43,723
Wellington—Halton Hills PC PC 23,495 55.62% 12,161 28.79% 51.11% 11,334 23,495 6,106 1,309 – – 42,244
Whitby—Oshawa PC PC 24,499 48.17% 7,511 14.77% 49.69% 16,988 24,499 7,865 1,139 – 371 50,862
Willowdale Lib Lib 21,984 50.84% 7,456 17.24% 45.40% 21,984 14,528 5,556 874 – 297 43,239
Windsor—Tecumseh Lib Lib 15,946 42.83% 3,718 9.99% 44.69% 15,946 7,751 12,228 830 – 476 37,231
Windsor West Lib Lib 14,127 41.31% 3,583 10.48% 41.57% 14,127 8,476 10,544 1,051 – – 34,198
York Centre Lib Lib 14,694 45.36% 3,188 9.84% 45.74% 14,694 11,506 4,579 535 127 954 32,395
York—Simcoe PC PC 20,425 52.78% 10,929 28.24% 42.91% 9,496 20,425 6,607 1,479 – 690 38,697
York South—Weston Lib Lib 13,805 44.55% 734 2.37% 44.86% 13,805 3,441 13,071 474 45 151 30,987
York West Lib Lib 11,455 50.49% 3,554 15.66% 39.24% 11,455 2,735 7,901 287 203 107 22,688
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  1. ^ "2011 Ontario General Election". elections.on.ca. Elections Ontario. Retrieved June 20, 2023. Error in EO report re Willowdale corrected: "Alexander Brown for Willowdale". willowdalendp.ca. November 7, 2011. Archived from the original on November 7, 2011. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  2. ^ including spoilt ballots
  3. ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Maps

[edit]
  • Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
    Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
  • Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
    Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
  • Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
    Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
  • Support for Green Party candidates by riding
    Support for Green Party candidates by riding

Principal races

[edit]
Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place Total
Lib PC NDP
Liberal – 40 13 53
Progressive Conservative 34 – 3 37
New Democratic 13 4 – 17
Total 47 44 16 107
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
Parties Seats
█ Liberal █ Progressive Conservative 74
█ Liberal █ New Democratic 26
█ Progressive Conservative █ New Democratic 7
Total 107
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total
█ Liberal 53 47 7 107
█ Progressive Conservative 37 44 26 107
█ New Democratic 17 16 73 1 107
█ Green 1 101 5 107
█ Libertarian 3 36 39
█ Independent 1 10 11
█ Northern Ontario Heritage 1 1 2
█ Family Coalition 21 21
█ Freedom 18 18
█ Special Needs 2 2
█ Communist 1 1
█ Confederation of Regions 1 1
█ Socialist 1 1

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

[edit]

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding Party Candidates Votes Placed
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound █ Independent Shane Jolley 1,478 5th
Oak Ridges—Markham █ Libertarian Karl Boelling 1,057 4th
Sarnia—Lambton █ Independent Andy Bruziewicz 1,077 4th

Seats changing hands

[edit]

There were 18 seats that changed allegiance from the 2007 election.

Resulting composition of the 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Source Party
Lib PC NDP Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 47 21 8 76
Open seats held 6 4 2 12
Byelection loss reversed 1 1
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 6 4 10
Open seats gained 5 3 8
Total 53 37 17 107

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Type of poll Margin of error
Angus Reid October 4–5, 2011 PDF[usurped] 37 33 26 3 Online 3.6%
EKOS October 3–5, 2011 PDF 37.7 31.5 23.3 5.9 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Forum Research October 4, 2011 HTML 37 36 23 3 Interactive voice response 3.1%
Angus Reid October 3–4, 2011 PDF[usurped] 33 36 26 5 Online 2.1%
Abacus Data October 3–4, 2011 HTML 37 34 24 4 Online 3.1%
EKOS October 2–4, 2011 PDF 39.0 29.7 23.1 6.6 Interactive voice response 2.2%
Nanos Research October 2–3, 2011 PDF 40.1 33.0 23.2 2.8 Telephone 4.2%
EKOS October 2–3, 2011 PDF 39.1 29.1 24.5 6.0 Interactive voice response 2.9%
Nanos Research October 1–3, 2011 PDF 37.7 33.2 25.8 2.1 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid September 30 – October 3, 2011 PDF 41 31 25 3 Telephone 3.1%
Nanos Research September 30 – October 2, 2011 PDF 35.9 36.4 25.7 1.2 Telephone 3.5%
EKOS September 29 – October 2, 2011 PDF 37.8 30.6 22.7 7.3 Interactive voice response 2.8%
Nanos Research September 29 – October 1, 2011 PDF 36.5 34 26.8 1.9 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research September 28–30, 2011 PDF 38.0 35.3 24.6 1.8 Telephone 3.5%
Angus Reid September 28–30, 2011 PDF[usurped] 33 34 26 6 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 28–29, 2011 PDF[permanent dead link‍] 32 34 29 5 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research September 28–29, 2011 PDF 37.7 34.4 25.5 2.0 Telephone 4.3%
Environics September 26–28, 2011 HTML 35 36 25 3 Online
Abacus Data September 23–25, 2011 PDF 33 37 23 6 Online 2.9%
EKOS September 21–25, 2011 PDF 34.9 31.4 24.7 7.6 Interactive voice response 2.3%
Forum Research September 22–23, 2011 HTML 35 35 23 5 Interactive voice response 0.5%
Angus Reid September 13–15, 2011 HTML[usurped] 32 36 26 6 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 12–15, 2011 PDF[permanent dead link‍] 33 36 26 5 Online 3.1%
Abacus Data September 9–12, 2011 HTML 32 41 20 6 Online 3.2%
Nanos Research September 10–11, 2011 PDF 38.1 34.7 24.3 2.7 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid September 7–11, 2011 HTML Archived September 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 38 37 24 1 Telephone 3.5%
Harris-Decima August 25 – September 4, 2011 HTML 40 29 24 6 Telephone 3.8%
Nanos Research August 30 – September 1, 2011 PDF 31.9 35.4 22.8 4.1 Telephone 3.1%
Forum Research August 29–30, 2011 HTML 30 35 26 7 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Angus Reid August 25–28, 2011 PDF[usurped] 31 38 24 6 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research August 10–13, 2011 PDF 37.6 42.1 16.2 3.4 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid July 29 – August 4, 2011 HTML Archived October 9, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 36 38 23 3 Telephone 4.9%
Forum Research July 27–28, 2011 HTML 28 38 24 7 Interactive voice response 2.1%
Ipsos Reid June 7 – July 7, 2011 HTML Archived October 3, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 31 42 22 5 Telephone 3.5%
Forum Research June 21–22, 2011 HTML 26 41 22 8 Interactive voice response 1.7%
Ipsos Reid May 17 – June 9, 2011 HTML 34 40 20 6 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research May 14–15, 2011 PDF 34 41 19 5 Telephone 4.7%
Nanos Research March 8–11, 2011 PDF 35 44 16 4 Telephone 4.9%
Nanos Research January 31 – February 3, 2011 PDF 39 43 13 5 Telephone 4.7%
Ipsos Reid January 20, 2011 HTML Archived January 29, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 35 38 17 9 Telephone
Ipsos Reid November 18, 2010 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 32 41 20 7
Angus Reid September 28, 2010 PDF[usurped] 29 41 22 8 Online 3.5%
Ipsos Reid August 21, 2010 HTML 35 36 18 11
Ipsos Reid June 19, 2010 HTML 37 32 20 11
Nanos Research February 9–10, 2010 PDF 41.4 37.9 12.8 7.9 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid December 13, 2009 HTML 38 34 15 10
Angus Reid December 4, 2009 PDF 27 41 20 11
Nanos Research October 24–25, 2009 PDF 36.6 35 17.2 9.8 Telephone 4.8%
Environics October 2009 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 32 37 19 11
Environics June 2009 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 44 32 15 8
Environics April 2009 HTML 44 29 17 11
Environics January 2009 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 45 32 12 11
Environics November 2008 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 35 30 21 13
Environics June 2008 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 41 31 16 12
Environics March 2008 HTML 38 30 19 12
Environics January 2008 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 45 34 18 2
Environics November 2007 HTML[permanent dead link‍] 44 31 22 3
Election 2007 October 10, 2007 PDF 42.3 31.6 16.8 8.0

Media endorsements

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Liberals

Progressive Conservatives

Did not endorse

References

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  1. ^ a b "Statistical Summary" (PDF). [Elections Ontario]. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 25, 2018. Retrieved March 24, 2018.
  2. ^ "Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005". Service Ontario e-laws. December 15, 2005. Archived from the original on June 13, 2011. Retrieved May 19, 2008.
  3. ^ "Robert Benzie and Susan Delacourt. "Ontario cabinet minister to seek federal seat." Toronto Star". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on October 23, 2012. Retrieved September 7, 2017.
  4. ^ Benzie, Robert (June 4, 2011). "Retiring Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier dead". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on June 7, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  5. ^ "Elections Ontario - When to Vote". Wemakevotingeasy.ca. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  6. ^ "Ontario leaders' debate set for Sept. 27". CBC.ca. September 2, 2011. Archived from the original on September 3, 2011. Retrieved September 2, 2011.
  7. ^ Examiner staff (January 21, 2011). "Aileen Carroll won't seek a second term". The Barrie Examiner. Barrie, ON. Archived from the original on July 22, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  8. ^ Benzie, Robert (July 5, 2010). "Conservative MPP Bill Murdoch to ride off into the sunset". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  9. ^ The Canadian Press (February 21, 2011). "MPP Savoline will not seek re-election". The Hamilton Spectator. Hamilton. Archived from the original on July 17, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  10. ^ Nugget, Carol-Ann (October 14, 2010). "MPP Gerry Martiniuk to retire from provincial politics in 2011". Cambridge Now. Cambridge, ON. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  11. ^ "Veteran Ontario MPP Norm Sterling loses bitter PC nomination battle " Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine. Globe and Mail.
  12. ^ QMI Agency (November 25, 2010). "Hoy won't seek re-election". London Free Press. London, ON. Archived from the original on March 19, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  13. ^ Liberal backbencher Tony Ruprecht won’t seek re-election Archived October 24, 2012, at the Wayback Machine "Toronto Star"
  14. ^ Liberal MPP Caplan not running again Archived October 24, 2012, at the Wayback Machine "Toronto Star"
  15. ^ Chant, Miranda (November 9, 2011). "Elgin-Middlesex-London MPP Calls it Quits". News/Talk 1290 CJBK. London, ON. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  16. ^ Sherwin, Fred (April 13, 2011). "Veteran MPP calls it a day after 41 years in politics". Orléans Online. Ottawa. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  17. ^ Robert, Benzie (July 30, 2011). "Former NDP leader Howard Hampton quits". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved July 30, 2011.
  18. ^ Cramer, Brandi (November 19, 2011). "Smith steps aside: MPP recalls her accomplishments and regrets". North Bay Nugget. North Bay, ON. Archived from the original on July 20, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  19. ^ "Longtime Pickering politician calls it quits"[permanent dead link‍]. Pickering News Advertiser.
  20. ^ The Canadian Press (March 25, 2011). "Veteran MPP Gerry Phillips the latest Ontario Liberal not seeking re-election". iPolitics.ca. Archived from the original on July 20, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  21. ^ CTV staff (November 29, 2010). "Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier retires". CTV Ottawa. Ottawa. Archived from the original on October 22, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  22. ^ Blizzard, Christine (January 13, 2011). "MPP David Ramsay won't run again". The Toronto Sun. Toronto. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  23. ^ Talaga, Tanya (June 3, 2011). "NDP's Peter Kormos to retire". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2011.
  24. ^ Benzie, Robert; Rob Ferguson (June 10, 2011). "Liberals lose a star: Sandra Pupatello won't seek re-election". Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 10, 2011.
  25. ^ "Simcoe County Breaking News - Simcoe County's Online Newspaper". Simcoe.com. Archived from the original on March 15, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  26. ^ Canada. "Dalton McGuinty's Liberals the best choice for Ontario's challenges". Toronto: The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on October 23, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  27. ^ "Liberals, despite faults, are the best option". TheSpec. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  28. ^ Ottawa Citizen October 4, 2011. "Hold your nose and vote Liberal". Ottawacitizen.com. Archived from the original on December 16, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  29. ^ "Liberals best fit for Sudbury - Point of View - The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CA". The Sudbury Star. October 3, 2011. Archived from the original on September 13, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  30. ^ "Liberals best choice for Ontario's future". thestar.com. Toronto. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on January 5, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  31. ^ "Editorial: Liberals offer voters best hope". TheRecord. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on November 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  32. ^ The Windsor Star October 1, 2011 (October 1, 2011). "Ontario votes". Windsorstar.com. Archived from the original on December 9, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  33. ^ "EDITORIAL: Vote for change". BramptonGuardian Article. September 29, 2011. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  34. ^ "Progressive Conservatives the party to lead Ontario". DurhamRegion Article. September 29, 2011. Archived from the original on October 10, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  35. ^ "On Thursday, Ontarians should vote Conservative". Nationalpost.com. October 3, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.[permanent dead link‍]
  36. ^ "Ontario deserves better | Editorial | Opinion". Toronto Sun. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  37. ^ "Editorial: None of the above | Editorial | Opinion". Ottawa Sun. October 1, 2011. Archived from the original on November 2, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
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