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* [[Ben Nelson]], former [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]] from [[Nebraska]] (2001–2013), [[Governor of Nebraska]] (1991–1999)<ref name=FettermanLikely>{{cite web|title=John Fetterman will likely be Pa.'s Democratic Senate nominee. So why do so few elected Democrats back him?|url=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/john-fetterman-pa-senate-race-endorsements-20220511.html|website=[[The Philadelphia Inquirer]]|date=May 12, 2022|access-date=May 18, 2022}}</ref>
* [[Ben Nelson]], former [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]] from [[Nebraska]] (2001–2013), [[Governor of Nebraska]] (1991–1999)<ref name=FettermanLikely>{{cite web|title=John Fetterman will likely be Pa.'s Democratic Senate nominee. So why do so few elected Democrats back him?|url=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/john-fetterman-pa-senate-race-endorsements-20220511.html|website=[[The Philadelphia Inquirer]]|date=May 12, 2022|access-date=May 18, 2022}}</ref>
* [[Gary Peters]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Michigan]] (2015–present), Chair of the [[United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs]] (2021-present), Chair of the [[Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee]] (2021-present), Ranking Member of the [[United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs]] (2019-2021), [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]] from [[Michigan's 14th congressional district]] (2013–2015), [[Michigan's 9th congressional district]] (2009–2013), Commissioner of the [[Michigan Lottery]] (2003-2007), and Member of the [[Michigan Senate]] from [[Michigan's 14th Senate district]] (1995-2002)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.dscc.org/news/dscc-statement-on-john-fettermans-primary-victory-in-pas-senate-race/|title=DSCC Statement On John Fetterman's Primary Victory In PA's Senate Race|website=[[WGAL]]|date=May 17, 2022|access-date=May 18, 2022}}</ref>
* [[Gary Peters]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Michigan]] (2015–present), Chair of the [[United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs]] (2021-present), Chair of the [[Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee]] (2021-present), Ranking Member of the [[United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs]] (2019-2021), [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]] from [[Michigan's 14th congressional district]] (2013–2015), [[Michigan's 9th congressional district]] (2009–2013), Commissioner of the [[Michigan Lottery]] (2003-2007), and Member of the [[Michigan Senate]] from [[Michigan's 14th Senate district]] (1995-2002)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.dscc.org/news/dscc-statement-on-john-fettermans-primary-victory-in-pas-senate-race/|title=DSCC Statement On John Fetterman's Primary Victory In PA's Senate Race|website=[[WGAL]]|date=May 17, 2022|access-date=May 18, 2022}}</ref>
* [[Debbie Stabenow]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Michigan]] (2001-present), Chair of the [[Senate Democratic Policy Committee]] (2017-present), Chair of the [[Senate Agriculture Committee]] (2011-2015,2021-present), Ranking Member of the [[Senate Agriculture Committee]] (2015-2021), [[Secretary of the Senate Democratic Conference]] (2005-2007), former [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]] for [[Michigan's 8th congressional district]] (1997-2001), Member of the [[Michigan Senate]] from [[Michigan's 24th Senate district]] (1991-1994), Member of the [[Michigan House of Representatives]] from [[Michigan's 58th House of Representatives district]] (1979-1991), Chair of the [[Ingham County]] Board of Commissioners (1977-1979), and Member of the [[Ingham County]] Board of Commissioners (1975-1979)<ref name=dcdemsen>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/06/dems-frontrunner-fetterman-pennsylvania-00023543|title=D.C. Dems get out of frontrunner Fetterman's way in Pennsylvania|website=[[Politico]]|date=April 6, 2022|access-date=June 9, 2022</ref>
* [[Debbie Stabenow]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Michigan]] (2001-present), Chair of the [[Senate Democratic Policy Committee]] (2017-present), Chair of the [[Senate Agriculture Committee]] (2011-2015,2021-present), Ranking Member of the [[Senate Agriculture Committee]] (2015-2021), [[Secretary of the Senate Democratic Conference]] (2005-2007), former [[United States House of Representatives|U.S. Representative]] for [[Michigan's 8th congressional district]] (1997-2001), Member of the [[Michigan Senate]] from [[Michigan's 24th Senate district]] (1991-1994), Member of the [[Michigan House of Representatives]] from [[Michigan's 58th House of Representatives district]] (1979-1991), Chair of the [[Ingham County]] Board of Commissioners (1977-1979), and Member of the [[Ingham County]] Board of Commissioners (1975-1979)<ref name=DcDemSen>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/06/dems-frontrunner-fetterman-pennsylvania-00023543|title=D.C. Dems get out of frontrunner Fetterman's way in Pennsylvania|website=[[Politico]]|date=April 6, 2022|access-date=June 9, 2022</ref>
* [[ Elizabeth Warren]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Massachusetts]] (2013-present), Vice Chair of the [[Senate Democratic Caucus]] (2017-present), Special Advisor for the [[Consumer Financial Protection Bureau]] (2010-2011), and the Chair of the [[Congressional Oversight Panel]] (2008-2010)<ref name=dcdemsen/>
* [[ Elizabeth Warren]], [[U.S. Senator]] from [[Massachusetts]] (2013-present), Vice Chair of the [[Senate Democratic Caucus]] (2017-present), Special Advisor for the [[Consumer Financial Protection Bureau]] (2010-2011), and the Chair of the [[Congressional Oversight Panel]] (2008-2010)<ref name=DcDemSen/>


;U.S. Representatives
;U.S. Representatives

Revision as of 01:30, 10 June 2022

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections and 2022 Pennsylvania elections.
Not to be confused with the 2022 Pennsylvania Senate election.

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Mehmet Oz John Fetterman
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Pat Toomey
Republican



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The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators, elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as a gubernatorial election, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

Two-term Republican incumbent Pat Toomey announced on October 5, 2020, that he would not run for re-election to a third term.[1][2] Due to this development, the election is expected to be competitive and important to determine whether Democrats or Republicans will control the Senate in 2023. This is attributed to the seat being an open Republican-held one located in a state that President Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election.[3] This seat is seen by many Democrats as the best possible pick-up opportunity of all the Class 3 Senate seats.[4]

The primary was held on May 17, 2022, with Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman securing the Democratic nomination[5] and Mehmet Oz securing the Republican nomination.

While Fetterman's nomination was announced soon after the election, in the Republican primary, results were still being tabulated weeks later. Mehmet Oz and David McCormick had finished "neck and neck", separated by a difference of 0.1% or 972 votes. Pennsylvania election law requires an automatic recount if the difference between the top two candidates for a statewide office is 0.5% of the vote or less. On June 3, McCormick conceded the race to Oz, making Oz the first Muslim to be nominated by either major party for U.S. Senate.[6]

Republican primary

Campaign

In October 2020, incumbent Republican Senator Pat Toomey announced that he would not run for re-election, stating that he wished to return to the private sector.[7]

By October 2021, businessman Jeff Bartos, who had posted strong fund-raising totals, and veteran Sean Parnell, who had the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, emerged as the race's front-runners.[8] Parnell's campaign was rocked in November 2021, after Parnell's ex-wife, Laurie Snell, testified in court during a custody hearing for the couple's children that Parnell strangled and spit on her, abused their children, and told her to "go get an abortion".[9] Even prior to these allegations doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell's ability to fundraise, and it became widely assumed that he would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children.[10] On November 22, 2021, Snell was given custody of the children and Parnell subsequently announced that he was suspending his campaign.[11]

On November 30, with Parnell out of the race, Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor and television personality, announced his candidacy.[12] Oz's campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania, as he had lived in Cliffside Park, New Jersey, for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020.[12][13] The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick prompted attacks for his past detraction of Trump and criticism of "America First" economic policies from Oz allies.[14] Super PACs allied to McCormick hit back with a spate of highly funded television advertisements, accusing Oz of being a "Hollywood liberal".[15]

Republican straw polls in January 2022 indicated strong support for Bartos and Kathy Barnette among party activists as the campaign started to escalate. Bartos won the Republican State Committee Central Caucus's straw poll, placing first with 49 votes, while Barnette finished in second place with 30 votes. McCormick and Sands trailed at third and fourth place; and Oz and Bochetto performed poorly, each receiving only one vote.[16][17]

The McCormick campaign targeted Oz's ties to Turkey and called on him to renounce his Turkish citizenship, accusing the candidate of harboring dual loyalties.[18] Oz later stated that if he were elected to the Senate, he would renounce his Turkish citizenship.[19] Former President Trump endorsed Oz on April 10, citing the popularity of his television show and perceived appeal to female voters.[20]

Oz had been ahead of the other candidates in the polls since the start of his campaign, with McCormick soon rising quickly in the polls to challenge Oz in the low 20s. Barnette had also begun to rise in the polls at this point after a string of attention-getting debate performances and an ad spend in support of her by the Club for Growth, and her late surge prompted a change in tactics from the two frontrunners, who had largely ignored her as irrelevant until then.[21] Pro-Oz Super PAC American Leadership Action launched an ad campaign accusing Barnette of supporting Black Lives Matter, while McCormick stated that Barnette was unelectable, citing her heavy loss in a U.S. House race the previous election cycle.[21] Oz himself also accused Barnette of Islamophobia, pointing to a 2015 tweet in which she stated that "Pedophilia is a Cornerstone of Islam."[22]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Republican candidates[a]

Disqualified

  • John Debellis, small business owner[35]
  • John Eichenberg, truck driver[36]
  • Robert Jeffries, perennial candidate[37]
  • Ronald Johnson, U.S. Army veteran[38]
  • Richard Mulholland, HVAC technician[39]
  • Max Richardson[40]
  • Martin Rosenfeld, Deputy Sheriff of Elk County, Pennsylvania and Treasurer of the Elk County Republican Party[41]
  • David Xu, U.S. Army veteran, college professor and IT business owner[42]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates and forums

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Kathy Barnette George Bochetto Jeff Bartos Sean Gale David McCormick Mehmet Oz Carla Sands Everett Stern
1 Feb. 22, 2022 BroadandLiberty.com
Pennsylvania Chamber of Business & Industry 		Becky Corbin Video P P P N A A A P
2 Apr. 25, 2022 ABC27 Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		P N P N P P P W
3 May 4, 2022 Newsmax TV Greta Van Susteren
Rick Dayton 		P N P N P P P W

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
Jeff Bartos
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
George Bochetto
Judges
Labor unions
Robert Jeffries
Individuals
David McCormick
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Mehmet Oz
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Carla Sands
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Sean Parnell (withdrawn)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Craig Snyder (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Declined to endorse
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kathy
Barnette 		Jeff
Bartos 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Carla
Sands 		Other[b] Margin
Real Clear Politics May 3–16, 2022 May 17, 2022 24.2% 5.4% 19.6% 26.8% 6.0% 18.0% Oz +2.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Kathy
Barnette 		Jeff
Bartos 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Sean
Parnell 		Carla
Sands 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 14–16, 2022 1,195 (LV) ± 2.9% 27% 7% 22% 29% – 7% 4%[d] 6%
Emerson College May 14–15, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 24% 5% 21% 28% – 6% 1%[e] 15%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 12–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 27% 2% 11% 28% – 3% 3%[f] 26%
Osage Research (R)[A] May 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 24% 6% 25% 24% – 7% 1%[g] 13%
InsiderAdvantage (R) May 7–9, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 21% 5% 19% 23% – 5% 3%[h] 26%
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 6–8, 2022 1,080 (LV) ± 3.0% 23% 7% 22% 25% – 7% 2%[i] 15%
Fox News May 3–7, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.0% 19% 7% 20% 22% – 8% 4%[j] 18%
Franklin & Marshall College April 20 – May 1, 2022 325 (RV) ± 6.9% 12% 2% 16% 18% – 5% 6%[k] 39%
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 11–13, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 3.0% 18% 8% 20% 23% – 11% 3%[l] 17%
Franklin & Marshall College March 30 – April 10, 2022 317 (RV) ± 6.6% 7% 6% 15% 16% – 5% 8%[m] 43%
Eagle Consulting Group (R) April 7–9, 2022 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 6% 18% 11% – 9% 2%[n] 45%
Emerson College April 3–4, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 10% 9% 18% 17% – 8% 6%[o] 33%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] March 29 – April 3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 8% 22% 16% – 11% 1%[p] –
Emerson College March 26–28, 2022 372 (LV) ± 5.0% 6% 5% 14% 14% – 6% 3%[q] 51%
Basswood Research (R)[B] March 19–21, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 11% 5% 22% 25% – 13% 1%[p] 23%
Fox News March 2–6, 2022 960 (LV) ± 3.0% 9% 9% 24% 15% – 6% 3%[r] 31%
TargetPoint Consulting (R) February 25–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 5% 10% 25% 19% – 11% 6% 25%
Franklin & Marshall College February 21–27, 2022 178 (LV) ± 10.1% 6% 4% 13% 10% – 11% 3% 53%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~February 23, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 5% 24% 18% – 11% 1%[p] –
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[C] February 16–18, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – – 24% 18% – – 31% 27%
Osage Research (R)[A] February 13–16, 2022 825 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 6% 24% 21% – 11% 3% 28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~February 9, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 5% 17% 23% – 17% 1%[p] –
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 1–4, 2022 1,070 (LV) ± 3.0% 9% 7% 16% 27% – 15% 6%[s] 22%
Osage Research (R)[A] January 31 – February 2, 2022 – (LV) – – – 19% 29% – – – –
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A] ~January 6, 2022 – (LV) – 9% 8% 13% 31% – 12% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 13–16, 2021 1,062 (LV) ± 3.0% 8% 3% – 19% – 7% 12%[t] 51%
Echelon Insights (R) December 1–3, 2021 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 7% 4% – 11% – 5% 10%[u] 63%
November 22, 2021 Parnell withdraws from the race
Civiqs (D) October 31 – November 5, 2021 799 (LV) ± 3.5% 7% 6% – – 31% 8% 2%[v] 54%
Franklin & Marshall College October 18–24, 2021 184 (RV) ± 8.8% 3% 2% – – 11% 2% 3%[w] 78%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[D] October 11–14, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 7% – – 27% 4% 5% 57%
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 154 (RV) ± 10.9% 6% 4% – – 14% 1% 10%[x] 66%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		David
McCormick 		Mehmet
Oz 		Undecided
TargetPoint Consulting (R) February 25–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 26% 18%

Results

Following the first night of results, it became clear that Oz and McCormick were the top two vote-getters in the election; however, the margin between was too close to declare a victor.[105] A mandatory recount then began.[106][105] Former President Trump encouraged Oz to declare victory on election night, stating that Oz would only be defeated as a result of election fraud; these claims were noted by Politico as echoing Trump's claims of election fraud in the 2020 presidential election.[107]

On June 3, McCormick conceded to Oz, saying he could not make up the deficit in the recount.[108]

Results by county:
Oz
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
McCormick
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Barnette
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[106]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mehmet Oz 419,999 31.1
Republican David McCormick 419,048 31.0
Republican Kathy Barnette 331,864 24.6
Republican Carla Sands 73,316 5.4
Republican Jeff Bartos 66,619 4.9
Republican Sean Gale 20,251 1.5
Republican George Bochetto 14,480 1.1
Total votes 1,345,577 100.0

Democratic primary

Campaign

The first two major Democratic candidates to announce were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta.[109] Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats, but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics.[109] By July 2021, Fetterman was considered the frontrunner in the Democratic primary, as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising.[110] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a moderate Democrat considered a member of the party establishment, entered the race on August 6, 2021.[111][112]

As the campaign progressed, Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates, with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention. Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December, and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti-Fetterman mantle.[113] On February 4, 2022, Arkoosh withdrew from the race, her campaign having previously suffered from poor poll results and low support from party activists, leaving Kenyatta as the only major candidate from the Philadelphia region.[114] Both Kenyatta and Lamb were considered to have a good chance at picking up voters who had previously supported Arkoosh, Lamb for ideological reasons and Kenyatta for geographical ones.[114]

In addition to Fetterman, Kenyatta, and Lamb, two minor candidates also made the Democratic primary ballot, namely Kevin Baumlin, a hospital physician, and Alexandra Khalil, a municipal official. Baumlin withdrew from the race on March 31, leaving only Khalil in addition to the three major candidates.[115]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Kael Dougherty, data operations associate[122]
  • Larry Johnson, attorney[123]
  • Alan Shank, retail worker[124]
  • Walter Sluzynsky, postal worker[125]
  • Lew Tapera, retail worker[126]

Withdrew

Declined

Debates

2022 Pennsylvania Senate election Democratic primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
John Fetterman Malcolm Kenyatta Conor Lamb
1 Apr. 3, 2022 Muhlenberg College Becky Corbin
Jenny DeHuff
Ari Mittleman 		Video A[y] P P
2 Apr. 21, 2022 ABC27 Dennis Owens
Lisa Sylvester 		Video P P P

Endorsements

Val Arkoosh (withdrawn)
State legislators
Organizations
John Fetterman
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Malcolm Kenyatta
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Political parties
Individuals
Conor Lamb
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		John
Fetterman 		Malcolm
Kenyatta 		Conor
Lamb 		Other
[aa] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics March 26 – May 1, 2022 May 5, 2022 43.0% 6.0% 12.0% 39.0% Fetterman +31.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Val
Arkoosh 		John
Fetterman 		Malcolm
Kenyatta 		Conor
Lamb 		Sharif
Street 		Other Undecided
Franklin & Marshall College April 20 – May 1, 2022 357 (RV) ± 6.6% – 53% 4% 14% – 6%[ab] 22%
Franklin & Marshall College March 30 – April 10, 2022 356 (RV) ± 6.2% – 41% 4% 17% – 9%[ac] 26%
GBAO (D)[E] April 5–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – 44% 17% 19% – 4%[ad] 15%
Emerson College March 26–28, 2022 471 (LV) ± 4.5% – 33% 8% 10% – 12%[ae] 37%
Franklin & Marshall College February 21–27, 2022 185 (LV) ± 9.9% – 28% 2% 15% – 7% 50%
Impact Research (D)[F] Early February 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 3% 47% 7% 17% 5% 8% 13%
February 4, 2022 Arkoosh withdraws from the race
Data for Progress (D)[E] January 26–31, 2022 730 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 46% 12% 16% – – 22%
January 19, 2022 Street withdraws from the race
GQR Research (D)[G] December 14–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 44% 20% 15% – 2% 12%
GBAO (D)[E] November 16–23, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 5% 42% 15% 16% – – 21%
Civiqs (D) October 31 – November 5, 2021 929 (LV) ± 3.2% 2% 52% 5% 12% 2% 6% 21%
Franklin & Marshall College October 18–24, 2021 208 (RV) ± 8.2% 4% 34% 5% 12% 5% 3% 37%
Franklin & Marshall College August 9–15, 2021 175 (RV) ± 10.2% 6% 33% 5% 12% 0% 3% 42%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 302 (LV) ± 6.0% 5% 40% 9% 21% 2% 8%[af] 14%

Results

Fetterman won the Democratic primary by a landslide, winning all 67 counties in Pennsylvania, with Lamb in second place. Lamb's loss was attributed by Vanity Fair to numerous reasons, such as his not being known to voters in Eastern Pennsylvania, where the majority of Democratic voters were located, as said by the director of a progressive Democratic organization, and the far more contested Republican primary taking media attention that Lamb might have used to gain recognition.[190] Fetterman was also widely considered to have run an effective populist campaign, with The Atlantic noting that his campaign focused on the issues of "workers, wages and weed".[191]

Results by county
Fetterman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[192]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Fetterman 751,537 58.6
Democratic Conor Lamb 336,607 26.3
Democratic Malcolm Kenyatta 139,121 10.9
Democratic Alexandria Khalil 54,240 4.2
Total votes 1,281,505 100.0

Libertarian convention

Libertarian nominee Erik Gerhardt

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Green convention

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Independent candidate Everett Stern

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[204] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[205] Tilt R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[206] Tossup March 1, 2022
Politico[207] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[208] Tossup January 10, 2022
Fox News[209] Tossup May 12, 2022

Endorsements

Mehmet Oz (R)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Organizations
Individuals
John Fetterman (D)
U.S. Presidents
Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Mehmet
Oz (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] December 3–5, 2021 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% 13%
Hypothetical polling
Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[H] May 10–19, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.7% 36% 45% 19%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 38% 48% 14%
Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Bartos (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 42% 43% 15%
Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		John
Fetterman (D) 		Undecided
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[H] May 10–19, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.7% 42% 42% 16%
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 310 (LV) ± 5.6% 40% 48% 12%
Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Sean
Parnell (R) 		Conor
Lamb (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] May 7–14, 2021 341 (LV) ± 5.3% 44% 42% 14%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mehmet Oz
Democratic John Fetterman
Libertarian Erik Gerhardt
Green Richard L. Weiss N/A
Independent Everett Stern N/A
Total votes N/A

Notes

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Bochetto and Gale with 2%
  5. ^ Bochetto with 1%, Gale with 0%
  6. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ Bochetto with 1%
  8. ^ Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  9. ^ Bochetto and Gale with 1%
  10. ^ Gale with 2%, Bochetto and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 5%, Gale with 1%, Bochetto with 0%
  12. ^ Bochetto with 3%, Gale with 1%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 6%, Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 0%
  14. ^ Bochetto and Gale with ≤1%
  15. ^ Bochetto with 4%, Gale with 3%
  16. ^ a b c d Bochetto with 1%
  17. ^ Bochetto with 2%, Gale with 1%
  18. ^ Bochetto, Stern, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  19. ^ Bochetto, Gale, and Stern with 2%
  20. ^ "Another Candidate" with 11%, Gale with 1%
  21. ^ Gale with 4%; Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%; Stern with 0%
  22. ^ Gale with 2%
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, Gale with 0%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 7%, Gale with 3%
  25. ^ Fetterman was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
  26. ^ Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169, but failed to reach the self-imposed threshold of a two-thirds majority vote, meaning that no candidate will receive the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.
  27. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  28. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Baumlin and Khalil with 1%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 9%; Baumlin and Khalil with 0%
  30. ^ Khalil with 4%
  31. ^ Baumlin with 9%; Khalil with 3%
  32. ^ Houlahan with 8%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by Honor Pennsylvania PAC, which supports McCormick.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Oz's campaign.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Parnell's campaign.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Fetterman's campaign.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by pro-Lamb super PAC Penn Progress.
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Kenyatta's campaign.
  8. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Collective PAC.

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  223. ^ @PAGOP (June 5, 2022). "Congratulations @DrOz!" (Tweet). Retrieved June 5, 2022 – via Twitter.
  224. ^ @PACRFederation (June 3, 2022). "Congratulations to our nominee for Senate, @DrOz" (Tweet). Retrieved June 5, 2022 – via Twitter.
  225. ^ @GOP (June 4, 2022). "Congratulations to @DrOz on winning Pennsylvania's GOP Senate Primary! The Commonwealth is done with the failed policies of Biden and Washington Democrats and ready to take back the U.S. Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved June 5, 2022 – via Twitter.
  226. ^ Boteach, Shmuley (December 27, 2021). "Dr. Oz is a great friend of Israel – comment". Jerusalem Post.
  227. ^ Durot, Matt (June 4, 2022). "The Billionaire Family Behind Dr. Oz Is One Of The Wealthiest Clans In Pennsylvania". Forbes.
  228. ^ Vigdor, Neil (May 7, 2022). "Dr. Oz rallies with Trump and Vance on a rainy night in Pennsylvania, and meets a damp reception". The New York Times.
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  230. ^ "partnerships with john gisele fetterman". Voices4America. May 19, 2022. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
  231. ^ "The guy who can flip Pennsylvania". Jeff Merkley. May 20, 2022. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
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  234. ^ a b {{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/04/06/dems-frontrunner-fetterman-pennsylvania-00023543%7Ctitle=D.C. Dems get out of frontrunner Fetterman's way in Pennsylvania|website=Politico|date=April 6, 2022|access-date=June 9, 2022
  235. ^ Meyer, Katie (June 8, 2022). "Trust fund kid, carpetbagger, radical: Campaigns draw battle lines in Pa. Senate race". WHYY. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
  236. ^ Kapur, Sahil; Burns, Dasha (May 16, 2022). "Pennsylvania Senate race rocked by late twists, from John Fetterman's stroke to Kathy Barnette's meteoric rise". NBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  237. ^ a b c d Kapur, Sahil (June 2, 2022). "Fetterman's health, return to campaign trail a mystery as some Democrats grow 'very nervous' about Pa. Senate race". NBC News. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  238. ^ a b Prater, Nia (June 3, 2022). "Fetterman on Stroke: 'I Almost Died'". New York. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
  239. ^ Tamari, Jonathan; Terruso, Julia (June 4, 2022). "Mehmet Oz vs. John Fetterman is a clash of two personalities running as outsiders". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
  240. ^ Howell Jr., Tom (June 9, 2022). "N.J. Gov. Murphy says Dr. Oz will fail in Pa. Senate race, return to Garden State". The Washington Times. Retrieved June 9, 2022.
  241. ^ Scherer, Michael (May 17, 2022). "Democrats pick John Fetterman for Senate in Pennsylvania". Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  242. ^ "Kenyatta to campaign for Fetterman in Pennsylvania". The Hill. May 18, 2022.
  243. ^ "Senate Candidates 2022 Endorsements". Council for a Livable World.
  244. ^ @DemMaj4Israel (May 18, 2022). "DMFI PAC is thrilled to endorse Lt. Gov. @JohnFetterman for U.S. Senate, a proud pro-Israel progressive" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022 – via Twitter.
  245. ^ @dscc (May 17, 2022). "BREAKING NEWS:@JohnFetterman is Pennsylvania's Democratic nominee for Senate! John rolls up his sleeves and gets things done, and will always put Pennsylvania families first" (Tweet). Retrieved May 18, 2022 – via Twitter.
  246. ^ a b @StopBigMoney (May 26, 2022). "🚨 ENDORSEMENT ALERT 🚨 Sheetz > Wawa; and @StopBigMoney/@LetAmericaVote endorsed @JohnFetterman > whichever MAGA Republican ends up winning the Republican nomination to Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved May 26, 2022 – via Twitter.
  247. ^ "Giffords Endorses Lt. Governor John Fetterman for United States Senate". Giffords. June 9, 2022. Retrieved June 2, 2022.
  248. ^ "UNPRECEDENTED SPENDING BY AIPAC, BILLIONAIRE SUPERPACS FAIL IN EFFORTS TO DECIDE ELECTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA AND OREGON". J Street. May 18, 2022.
  249. ^ Connon, Courtnee (June 6, 2022). "JOHN FETTERMAN EARNS LCV ACTION FUND ENDORSEMENT FOR U.S. SENATE IN PENNSYLVANIA". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
  250. ^ Routh, Julian (June 8, 2022). "Planned Parenthood political arm backs John Fetterman in Pa.'s U.S. Senate race as Roe v. Wade ruling looms". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved June 8, 2022.
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  252. ^ "Gisele Barreto Fetterman speaks on behalf of husband after PA primary win". NBC News. May 17, 2022. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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