Template:Brexit/Post-referendum opinion polling (2016-2020): Right-Wrong
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| Date(s) conducted | Right | Wrong | Undecided | Lead | Sample | Conducted by | Polling type | Notes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–5 Aug 2020 | 39% | 49% | 12% | 10% | 1,606 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30–31 Jul 2020 | 41% | 47% | 13% | 6% | 1,623 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Jul 2020 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,648 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 11–12 Jun 2020 | 40% | 47% | 13% | 7% | 1,693 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 29–30 May 2020 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,650 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 May 2020 | 43% | 45% | 13% | 2% | 1,718 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 Apr 2020 | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 2,015 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 24–26 Mar 2020 | 48% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 1,010 | Number Cruncher Politics | Online | |||
| 9–10 Feb 2020 | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 1,694 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2020 | 43% | 46% | 12% | 3% | 1,575 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 31 Jan 2020 | The UK leaves the EU and begins the Brexit transition period. | |||||||||
| 30–31 Jan 2020 | 43% | 46% | 11% | 3% | 1,015 | Survation | Online | |||
| 24–26 Jan 2020 | 40% | 47% | 13% | 7% | 1,628 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 United Kingdom general election | |||||||||
| 8–10 Dec 2019 | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% | 1,009 | Number Cruncher Politics | Online | |||
| 11–12 Nov 2019 | 41% | 47% | 11% | 6% | 1,619 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 5–6 Nov 2019 | 40% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 1,667 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Oct 2019 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,640 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 20–21 Oct 2019 | 41% | 47% | 11% | 6% | 1,689 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 17–18 Oct 2019 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,609 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 17 Oct 2019 | EU and UK negotiators agree a new withdrawal agreement.[1] | |||||||||
| 14–15 Oct 2019 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,625 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8–9 Oct 2019 | 42% | 48% | 10% | 6% | 1,616 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2019 | 40% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 1,623 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2–3 Sep 2019 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 1,639 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 Aug 2019 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% | 1,867 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 27–28 Aug 2019 | 41% | 47% | 13% | 6% | 2,006 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Aug 2019 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 2,019 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 13–14 Aug 2019 | 42% | 46% | 11% | 4% | 1,625 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 5–6 Aug 2019 | 41% | 47% | 13% | 6% | 1,628 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 29–30 Jul 2019 | 41% | 49% | 11% | 8% | 2,066 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 24 July 2019 | Boris Johnson replaces Theresa May as Prime Minister | |||||||||
| 16–17 Jul 2019 | 40% | 47% | 12% | 7% | 1,749 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2–3 Jul 2019 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 1,605 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 9–10 Jun 2019 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,702 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 5–6 Jun 2019 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,670 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 May 2019 | 41% | 46% | 13% | 5% | 1,763 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 23 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom | |||||||||
| 10–11 Apr 2019 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 1,843 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2–3 Apr 2019 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,771 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr 2019 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 2,098 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 29 Mar 2019 | The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the third time. | |||||||||
| 24–25 Mar 2019 | 41% | 48% | 12% | 7% | 2,110 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 14–15 Mar 2019 | 41% | 49% | 10% | 8% | 1,823 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12 Mar 2019 | The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the second time. | |||||||||
| 7–8 Mar 2019 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% | 1,787 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 6–7 Mar 2019 | 40% | 49% | 11% | 9% | 1,800 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Feb 2019 | 40% | 48% | 13% | 8% | 1,672 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–4 Feb 2019 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 9% | 1,851 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30–31 Jan 2019 | 41% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 1,650 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18 Jan 2019 | 41% | 43% | 16% | 2% | 1,021 | Sky Data | Online | |||
| 16 Jan 2019 | 40% | 50% | 10% | 10% | 1,070 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 15 Jan 2019 | The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the first time.[2] | |||||||||
| 13–14 Jan 2019 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% | 1,701 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 7–8 Jan 2019 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,754 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 6–7 Jan 2019 | 39% | 48% | 12% | 9% | 1,656 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 21 Dec 2018 – 4 Jan 2019 | 40% | 48% | 12% | 8% | 25,537 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Dec 2018 | 40% | 47% | 13% | 7% | 1,675 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12–14 Dec 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 5,043 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–4 Dec 2018 | 38% | 49% | 13% | 11% | 1,624 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 9–30 Nov 2018 | Ministers including Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey resign in protest to the government's proposed withdrawal agreement (or to plans preceding it).[3] | |||||||||
| 26–27 Nov 2018 | 42% | 48% | 11% | 6% | 1,737 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Nov 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,647 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 15 Nov 2018 | 40% | 47% | 12% | 7% | 1,311 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 14 Nov 2018 | The UK Cabinet approves a new draft withdrawal agreement.[4] | |||||||||
| 4–5 Nov 2018 | 41% | 45% | 14% | 4% | 1,637 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Oct 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,802 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Oct 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 2,158 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 14–15 Oct 2018 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,649 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 10–11 Oct 2018 | 41% | 46% | 13% | 5% | 1,800 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8–9 Oct 2018 | 40% | 47% | 13% | 7% | 1,647 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–4 Oct 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,746 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30 Sep-1 Oct 2018 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,607 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 21–22 Sep 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,643 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Sep 2018 | 40% | 47% | 12% | 7% | 2,509 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12–13 Sep 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,620 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 4–5 Sep 2018 | 43% | 46% | 11% | 3% | 1,628 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–4 Sep 2018 | 42% | 48% | 11% | 6% | 1,883 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 Aug 2018 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,664 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 20–21 Aug 2018 | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% | 1,697 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 13–14 Aug 2018 | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% | 1,660 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 9–13 Aug 2018 | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4% | 1,036 | Number Cruncher Politics | Online | |||
| 8–9 Aug 2018 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,675 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Jul 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,650 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 Jul 2018 | 42% | 47% | 12% | 5% | 1,657 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 10–11 Jul 2018 | 41% | 46% | 12% | 5% | 1,732 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8–9 Jul 2018 | Brexit Secretary David Davis and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson resign.[5] | |||||||||
| 8–9 Jul 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,669 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 6 Jul 2018 | The UK Cabinet agrees the Chequers statement, setting out a proposal on the future UK–EU relationship.[6] | |||||||||
| 3–4 Jul 2018 | 41% | 46% | 13% | 5% | 1,641 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 25–26 Jun 2018 | 43% | 46% | 11% | 3% | 1,645 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Jun 2018 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,663 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Jun 2018 | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 1,606 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 11–12 Jun 2018 | 43% | 46% | 12% | 3% | 1,638 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 4–5 Jun 2018 | 44% | 44% | 13% | 0% | 1,619 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 May 2018 | 40% | 47% | 13% | 7% | 1,670 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 20–21 May 2018 | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 1,660 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 13–14 May 2018 | 44% | 45% | 12% | 1% | 1,634 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8–9 May 2018 | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% | 1,648 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30 Apr-1 May 2018 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,585 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 24–25 Apr 2018 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,668 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 Apr 2018 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,631 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 9–10 Apr 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,639 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 26–27 Mar 2018 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,659 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–23 Mar 2018 | 44% | 48% | 7% | 4% | 1,616 | Sky Data | Online | |||
| 5–6 Mar 2018 | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% | 1,641 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2 Mar 2018 | Theresa May makes Mansion House speech, outlining the UK Government's policy on the future UK–EU relationship.[7] | |||||||||
| 26–27 Feb 2018 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,622 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Feb 2018 | 42% | 45% | 12% | 3% | 1,650 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12–13 Feb 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,639 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 5–6 Feb 2018 | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 2,000 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 Jan 2018 | 40% | 46% | 14% | 6% | 1,669 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 Jan 2018 | 45% | 44% | 12% | 1% | 1,672 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 7–8 Jan 2018 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 1,663 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Dec 2017 | 42% | 45% | 12% | 3% | 1,610 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 15 Dec 2017 | The European Council decides to proceed to the second phase of the Brexit negotiations.[8] | |||||||||
| 10–11 Dec 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,680 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 4–5 Dec 2017 | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1,638 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 26–28 Nov 2017 | 42% | 44% | 14% | 2% | 3,282 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 7–8 Nov 2017 | 42% | 46% | 12% | 4% | 2,012 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 23–24 Oct 2017 | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% | 1,637 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Oct 2017 | 42% | 44% | 14% | 2% | 1,603 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Oct 2017 | 42% | 45% | 14% | 3% | 1,648 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 10–11 Oct 2017 | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% | 1,680 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–24 Sep 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,716 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22 Sep 2017 | Theresa May makes Florence speech, in an attempt to 'unblock' the Brexit negotiations.[9] | |||||||||
| 30–31 Aug 2017 | 44% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 1,658 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 21–22 Aug 2017 | 43% | 45% | 11% | 2% | 1,664 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 31 Jul-1 Aug 2017 | 45% | 45% | 10% | 0% | 1,665 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Jul 2017 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 1,593 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 10–11 Jul 2017 | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 1,700 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 21–22 Jun 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,670 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19 Jun 2017 | Brexit negotiations begin.[10] | |||||||||
| 12–13 Jun 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,651 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 United Kingdom general election | |||||||||
| 5–7 Jun 2017 | 45% | 45% | 10% | 0% | 2,130 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30–31 May 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,875 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 24–25 May 2017 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 2,052 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 May 2017 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 1,861 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–14 May 2017 | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% | 1,952 | GfK | Online | |||
| 9–10 May 2017 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,651 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2–3 May 2017 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 2,066 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 25–26 Apr 2017 | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% | 1,590 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 20–21 Apr 2017 | 44% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 1,590 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Apr 2017 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 1,727 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12–13 Apr 2017 | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 2,069 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 5–6 Apr 2017 | 46% | 42% | 11% | 4% | 1,651 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 29 Mar 2017 | The United Kingdom invokes Article 50.[11] | |||||||||
| 26–27 Mar 2017 | 44% | 43% | 13% | 1% | 1,957 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 20–21 Mar 2017 | 44% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 1,627 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 1–15 Mar 2017 | 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% | 1,938 | GfK | Online | |||
| 13–14 Mar 2017 | 44% | 42% | 15% | 2% | 1,631 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 10–14 Mar 2017 | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% | 2,003 | Opinium | Online | |||
| 27–28 Feb 2017 | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 1,666 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 21–22 Feb 2017 | 45% | 45% | 10% | 0% | 2,060 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 12–13 Feb 2017 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 2,052 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30–31 Jan 2017 | 45% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1,705 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 17–18 Jan 2017 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 1,654 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 17 Jan 2017 | Theresa May makes Lancaster House speech, setting out the UK Government's negotiating priorities.[12] | |||||||||
| 9–12 Jan 2017 | 52% | 39% | 9% | 13% | 2,005 | Opinium | Online | |||
| 9–10 Jan 2017 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 1,660 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 3–4 Jan 2017 | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 1,740 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 18–19 Dec 2016 | 44% | 44% | 12% | 0% | 1,595 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 4–5 Dec 2016 | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% | 1,667 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 28–29 Nov 2016 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | 1,624 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 14–15 Nov 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 1,717 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 19–20 Oct 2016 | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 1,608 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 11–12 Oct 2016 | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 1,669 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 2 Oct 2016 | Theresa May makes Conservative Party Conference speech, announcing her intention to invoke Article 50 by 31 March 2017.[13] | |||||||||
| 13–14 Sep 2016 | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% | 1,732 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 30–31 Aug 2016 | 47% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 1,687 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 22–23 Aug 2016 | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 1,660 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 16–17 Aug 2016 | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% | 1,677 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 8–9 Aug 2016 | 45% | 44% | 12% | 1% | 1,692 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 1–2 Aug 2016 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | 1,722 | YouGov | Online | |||
| 13 Jul 2016 | Theresa May becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.[14] | |||||||||
References
[edit]- ^ "New Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration". GOV.UK. Department for Exiting the European Union. 19 October 2019. Retrieved 2 November 2019.
The revised Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration were considered and agreed at European Council on 17 October 2019.
- ^ "Brexit: Theresa May's deal is voted down in historic Commons defeat". BBC News. 15 January 2019. Retrieved 17 January 2019.
- ^ "Tory minister Sam Gyimah resigns in protest at Theresa May's Brexit deal". The Daily Telegraph. 1 December 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
- ^ "Brexit: Cabinet backs draft agreement". BBC News. 14 November 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
- ^ "Boris Johnson tells PM she is suffocating Brexit 'dream'". BBC News. 9 July 2018. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
- ^ "Brexit: Cabinet agrees 'collective' stance on future EU deal". BBC News. 7 July 2018. Retrieved 8 July 2018.
- ^ "'Hard facts' for both sides in Brexit talks – Theresa May". BBC News. 2 March 2018. Retrieved 11 March 2018.
- ^ "Brexit: EU leaders agree to move talks to next stage". BBC News. 15 December 2017. Retrieved 16 December 2017.
- ^ "Theresa May urges EU to retain trade terms for two years after Brexit". BBC News. 22 September 2017. Retrieved 13 October 2017.
- ^ "Brexit negotiations: Barnier rules out 'concessions'". BBC News. 19 June 2017. Retrieved 23 June 2017.
- ^ "'No turning back' on Brexit as Article 50 triggered". BBC News. 29 March 2017. Retrieved 29 March 2017.
- ^ "Brexit: UK to leave single market, says Theresa May". BBC News. 17 January 2017. Retrieved 24 March 2017.
- ^ "Brexit: Theresa May to trigger Article 50 by end of March". BBC News. 2 October 2016. Retrieved 16 October 2016.
- ^ "Theresa May vows to be 'one nation' prime minister". BBC News. 13 July 2016. Retrieved 24 March 2017.