Post-election pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election.

"Very safe" seats require a swing of more than 20 points to change, "safe" seats10–20 points to change, "fairly safe" seats 6–10 points, and "marginal" seats less than 6 points.

Liberal National seats Marginal Bulimba Aaron Dillaway LNP 0.1 points Maryborough Anne Maddern LNP v IND 0.3 points Waterford Mike Latter LNP 1.0 points Thuringowa Sam Cox LNP v KAP 1.4 points Yeerongpilly Carl Judge LNP 1.4 points Lytton Neil Symes LNP 1.6 points Greenslopes Ian Kaye LNP 2.5 points Sandgate Kerry Millard LNP 2.9 points Nudgee Jason Woodforth LNP 3.1 points Cook David Kempton LNP 3.4 points Hinchinbrook Andrew Cripps LNP v KAP 3.6 points Capalaba Steve Davies LNP 3.7 points Ipswich Ian Berry LNP 4.2 points Logan Michael Pucci LNP 4.8 points Townsville John Hathaway LNP 4.8 points Brisbane Central Robert Cavallucci LNP 4.9 points Mount Coot-tha Saxon Rice LNP 5.4 points Morayfield Darren Grimwade LNP 5.6 points Ashgrove Campbell Newman LNP 5.7 points Fairly safe Keppel Bruce Young LNP 6.4 points Stafford Chris Davis LNP 7.1 points Ipswich West Sean Choat LNP 7.2 points Burnett Stephen Bennett LNP v IND 8.5 points Cairns Gavin King LNP 8.9 points Nanango Deb Frecklington LNP v KAP 9.0 points Algester Anthony Shorten LNP 9.1 points Barron River Michael Trout LNP 9.5 points Ferny Grove Dale Shuttleworth LNP 9.5 points Murrumba Reg Gulley LNP 9.5 points Stretton Freya Ostapovitch LNP 9.6 points Toowoomba North Trevor Watts LNP 9.6 points Safe Redcliffe Scott Driscoll LNP 10.1 points Mundingburra David Crisafulli LNP 10.2 points Sunnybank Mark Stewart LNP 10.2 points Beaudesert Jon Krause LNP v KAP 10.6 points Whitsunday Jason Costigan LNP 10.7 points Burleigh Michael Hart LNP 11.0 points Mansfield Ian Walker LNP 11.1 points Mirani Ted Malone LNP 11.2 points Broadwater Verity Barton LNP 11.3 points Albert Mark Boothman LNP 11.9 points Pumicestone Lisa France LNP 12.1 points Kallangur Trevor Ruthenberg LNP 12.4 points Burdekin Rosemary Menkens LNP v KAP 12.5 points Everton Tim Mander LNP 13.2 points Callide Jeff Seeney LNP v KAP 13.5 points Pine Rivers Seath Holswich LNP 13.7 points Chatsworth Steve Minnikin LNP 13.9 points Southport Rob Molhoek LNP 14.7 points Lockyer Ian Rickuss LNP v KAP 14.9 points Springwood John Grant LNP 15.4 points Mount Ommaney Tarnya Smith LNP 16.5 points Gympie David Gibson LNP v KAP 17.3 points Cleveland Mark Robinson LNP 18.1 points Bundaberg Jack Dempsey LNP 18.2 points Gaven Alex Douglas LNP 19.1 points Indooroopilly Scott Emerson LNP 19.5 points Very safe Condamine Ray Hopper LNP v KAP 20.1 points Currumbin Jann Stuckey LNP 20.2 points Glass House Andrew Powell LNP 20.4 points Clayfield Tim Nicholls LNP 20.4 points Maroochydore Fiona Simpson LNP 20.6 points Redlands Peter Dowling LNP 20.9 points Caloundra Mark McArdle LNP 21.2 points Toowoomba South John McVeigh LNP 21.6 points Aspley Tracy Davis LNP 21.7 points Hervey Bay Ted Sorensen LNP 21.7 points Coomera Michael Crandon LNP 23.3 points Moggill Bruce Flegg LNP 23.9 points Warrego Howard Hobbs LNP v IND 25.1 points Gregory Vaughan Johnson LNP 25.5 points Noosa Glen Elmes LNP v GRN 25.5 points Mudgeeraba Ros Bates LNP 25.9 points Buderim Steve Dickson LNP 26.0 points Mermaid Beach Ray Stevens LNP 26.0 points Kawana Jarrod Bleijie LNP 26.3 points Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek LNP 29.5 points Southern Downs Lawrence Springborg LNP v KAP 29.8 points Labor seats Marginal Mackay Tim Mulherin ALP 0.5 points Mulgrave Curtis Pitt ALP 1.1 points Bundamba Jo-Ann Miller ALP 1.8 points Rockhampton Bill Byrne ALP 3.9 points South Brisbane Anna Bligh ALP 4.7 points Woodridge Desley Scott ALP 5.8 points Fairly safe Inala Annastacia Palaszczuk ALP 6.9 points Katter's Australian Party Mount Isa Rob Katter KAP v LNP 10.0 points Dalrymple Shane Knuth KAP v LNP 15.2 points Independents Nicklin Peter Wellington IND v LNP 4.9 points Gladstone Liz Cunningham IND v ALP 14.0 points