Jump to content

Planned mass deportation of illegal immigrants under the second presidency of Donald Trump

Add links
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from Mass deportation trump)

The planned mass deportation of illegal immigrants under the second presidency of Donald Trump had been extensively discussed prior to Trump's win in the 2024 United States presidential election.

Background

[edit]

2016 campaign

[edit]

In August 2015, during his 2016 campaign, Trump proposed the mass deportation of illegal immigrants as a part of his immigration policy.[1][2][3] During his first town hall campaign meeting in Derry, New Hampshire, Trump said that if he were to win the election, then on "[d]ay 1 of my presidency, they're getting out and getting out fast".[4]

Trump proposed a "Deportation Force" to carry out this plan, modeled after the 1950s-era "Operation Wetback" program during the Eisenhower administration that ended following a congressional investigation.[2][3][5]

In June 2016, Trump stated on Twitter that "I have never liked the media term 'mass deportation'—but we must enforce the laws of the land!"[6][7] Later in June, Trump stated that he would not characterize his immigration policies as including "mass deportations".[8] However, on August 31, 2016, contrary to earlier reports of a "softening" in his stance,[9][10][11] Trump laid out a 10-step plan reaffirming his hardline positions. He reiterated that "anyone who has entered the United States illegally is subject to deportation" with priority given to those who have committed significant crimes and those who have overstayed visas. He noted that all those seeking legalization would have to go home and re-enter the country legally.[12][13]

First presidency (2017–2021)

[edit]

During Donald Trump’s presidency the number of undocumented immigrants deported decreased drastically.[14] While under Trump's presidency, U.S. Immigration Customs Enforcement has conducted hundreds of raids in workspaces and sent removal orders to families, they are not deporting as many immigrants as were deported under Obama's presidency. In Obama's first three years in office, around 1.18 million people were deported, while around 800,000 deportations took place under Trump in his three years of presidency.[14] In the final year of his presidency Trump deported an additional 186,000 immigrants, bringing his total to just under 1 million for his full presidency.[15]

2024 campaign

[edit]

The New York Times reported that Trump planned "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration", including "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled", and that it "amounts to an assault on immigration on a scale unseen in modern American history". The New York Times also reported that Trump's advisors are preparing a 'blitz' strategy designed to overwhelm immigrant-rights lawyers, and that his plans would rely on existing statutes without the need for new legislation, although such legislation would also likely be attempted. Trump's plans are expected to encounter significant Supreme Court challenges, and engender social and economic toil, especially within the housing, agriculture, and service sectors.[16]

During rallies, Trump has blurred the distinction between legal and illegal immigrants, and has promised to deport both.[17][18]

Trump has stated he will deport between 15 and 20 million people, although the estimated number of undocumented immigrants is only 11 million.[19] The American Immigration Council says that a "highly conservative" estimate Trump's plan would cost at least $315 billion, or $967.9 billion over a decade and be unworkable without massive outdoor detention camps. Economic reports from the Brookings Institution and Peterson Institute for International Economics have found that Trump's plans would result in a decrease in employment for American-born workers and result in "no economic growth over the second Trump administration from this policy alone"[20] while other estimates have it shrinking GDP by 4.2-6.8 percent.[21]

Trump has also not ruled out separating families with mixed citizenship status.[22] This could affect millions of families, with most undocumented immigrants having lived in the US for more than 16 years.[23]

Trump has stated that his plan would follow the 'Eisenhower model,' a reference to the 1954 campaign Operation Wetback, stating to a crowd in Iowa: "Following the Eisenhower model, we will carry out the largest domestic deportation operation in American history." To achieve the goal of deporting millions per year, Trump has stated his intent to expand a form of deportation that does not require due process hearings which would be accomplished by the expedited removal authorities of 8 U.S. Code § 1225; invoking the Alien Enemies Act within the Alien and Sedition Acts of 1798; and invoking the Insurrection Act of 1807 to allow the military to apprehend migrants and thus bypass the Posse Comitatus Act.[16]

Trump would reassign federal agents to Immigrations and Customs Enforcement and deputize local police officers and sheriffs, agents of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, the Drug Enforcement Administration, and National Guard soldiers volunteered by Republican states which would be sent to blue states.[24][16]

Individuals would be placed in massive camps constructed with funds redirected from the military budget in case of any refusal by Congress to appropriate funding. ICE raids would be expanded to include workplace raids and sweeps in public places. Following arrest, Stephen Miller has stated that immigrants would be taken to "large-scale staging grounds near the border, most likely in Texas" to be held in internment camps prior to deportation. Trump told a rally audience in September 2024 that the deportation effort "will be a bloody story." He has also spoken of rounding up homeless people in blue cities and detaining them in camps.[24][25] The Trump team will also attempt to overturn the Flores settlement that prevents the indefinite holding of children.[16]

Trump has pledged to finish the wall on the southern border if elected.

Trump has promised to reinstate his ban on entry to individuals from certain Muslim-majority nations, and having the Centers for Disease Control reimpose COVID-era restrictions on asylum claims by asserting migrants carry infectious diseases such as the flu, tuberculosis, and scabies.[16] Trump has said he would build more of the border wall, and move thousands of troops currently stationed overseas to the southern border.[26]

Other proposals include: Revoking temporary protected status to individuals living in the United States, including Afghans who moved to America following the 2021 Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, while those who helped U.S. forces would be 're-vetted' to see if they really did; ending birthright citizenship for babies born in the United States to undocumented parents; using coercive diplomacy by making immigration cooperation a condition for any bilateral engagement; reinstating 'Remain in Mexico'; and reviving 'safe third country' status with several nations in Central America, and expanding them to Africa, Asia, and South America.[16][27]

Trump's campaign has stated his intention to expel DACA recipients after his previous attempt failed in 2020 by a 5–4 vote in the Supreme Court in Department of Homeland Security v. Regents of the University of California. Trump's campaign has not stated whether they will reinstate Trump's former child separation policies.[16]

In October 2024, Trump proposed a plan for recruiting and retaining U.S. Customs and Border Protection agents; his plan included a 10 percent wage increase for the agents, $10,000 retention and signing bonuses, and hiring 10,000 new agents.[28]

Post-election

[edit]
Tom Homan, Trump's incoming border czar

Following his victory in the 2024 United States presidential election Trump said that he had "no choice" but to commence the mass deportation upon his assumption to power in 2025.[29] Regarding the financial costs, Trump said "When people have killed and murdered, when drug lords have destroyed countries and now they're going to go back to those countries because they're not staying here. There is no price tag".[29]

The former Acting Director of the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement under Trump from January 2017 to June 2018, Thomas Homan, said that he would "run the biggest deportation force this country has ever seen" in 2025.[30]

Following Trump's 2024 election victory, the stock price of private prison companies increased significantly, with GEO Group's CEO calling Trump's second presidency an "unprecedented opportunity" during an earnings call.[31][32] As of January 2020, 81% of people detained by ICE were held in private prisons, with ICE contracts accounting for 30% of revenue at CoreCivic and GEO Group.[33][34]

According to Tom Homan, Director-to-be of ICE, the administration will cut federal funding from states that do not comply with deportation plans.[35]

Financial cost

[edit]

The American Immigration Council estimated the cost of conducting a million deportations at $967.9bn in federal government spending over a decade.[36]

Economic impact

[edit]

Construction, manufacturing, agriculture, service, and childcare are among the sectors that employ large numbers of undocumented immigrants.[37][38][39][40] Adam Tooze said that the planned deportations would cause "a series of rolling shocks to a large part of the U.S. economy" and would also affect people outside those sectors by raising prices.[38] Manuel Cunha Jr., the president of the Nisei Farmers League in California, said that "you wouldn't eat. ... The country will stop, literally stop because the food system won't move."[41] Lack of childcare would prompt some people to leave the workforce.[40]

Statistics

[edit]
Deportations
Year Deportations (% change from prior year)
2025
TBD
2026
TBD(+)
2027
TBD(+)
2028
TBD(+)

Polling

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Nick Gass, "Trump's immigration plan: Mass deportation" Archived February 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine, Politico (August 17, 2015).
  2. ^ a b Kelley Beaucar Vlahos, "Messy legal process could challenge Trump's mass deportation plan", Fox News (November 27, 2015).
  3. ^ a b Kate Linthicum, "The dark, complex history of Trump's model for his mass deportation plan" Archived January 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine, Los Angeles Times (November 13, 2015).
  4. ^ "Donald Trump emphasizes plans to build 'real' wall at Mexico border". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. August 19, 2015. Archived from the original on September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 29, 2015.
  5. ^ Jim Avila & Serena Marshall, "Donald Trump Models 'Deportation Force' After Inhumane Eisenhower Plan, Scholar Says" Archived March 12, 2017, at the Wayback Machine, ABC News (November 11, 2015).
  6. ^ Reinhard, Beth (June 29, 2016). "Donald Trump Adjusts Some of His Positions". The Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on November 16, 2016. Retrieved March 7, 2017.
  7. ^ "Donald J. Trump on Twitter". Twitter. June 25, 2016. Archived from the original on July 1, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2016.
  8. ^ Cirilli, Kevin. "Trump Says Muslim Ban Plan to Focus on 'Terrorist' Countries". Bloomberg Politics. Archived from the original on July 9, 2016. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  9. ^ Cite error: The named reference Corasaniti was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  10. ^ Miller, Zeke J. (August 23, 2016). "Donald Trump Signals 'Softening' of Immigration Position". Time. Archived from the original on March 31, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  11. ^ Bradner, Eric (August 28, 2016). "Trump to give immigration speech amid major questions". CNN. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  12. ^ Cite error: The named reference WSJ Epstein was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  13. ^ "Donald Trump Pivots Back to Hard-Line Immigration Stance". Time. August 31, 2016. Archived from the original on August 15, 2018. Retrieved September 1, 2016.
  14. ^ a b Budryk, Zack (2019-11-18). "Deportations lower under Trump administration than Obama: report". The Hill. Retrieved 2020-04-26.
  15. ^ Hackman, Michelle (2022-12-30). "Arrests, Deportations of Immigrants Illegally in U.S. Increased in 2022; ICE's arrest and deportation numbers under Biden remain below the levels from Trump and Obama administrations". The Wall Street Journal. p. 1. ProQuest 2759315302. Retrieved 2024-04-04.
  16. ^ a b c d e f g Charlie Savage; Maggie Haberman; Jonathan Swan (November 11, 2023). "Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump's 2025 Immigration Plans". The New York Times. Archived from the original on April 25, 2024. Retrieved November 11, 2023. (subscription required)
  17. ^ Oliphant, James (October 4, 2024). "Trump's already harsh rhetoric on migrants is turning darker as Election Day nears". Reuters. Archived from the original on October 5, 2024. Retrieved October 5, 2024.
  18. ^ Phifer, Donica (October 3, 2024). "Trump floats deporting legal Haitian migrants living in Ohio". Axios. Archived from the original on October 5, 2024. Retrieved October 5, 2024.
  19. ^ Garsd, Jasmine (2024-10-02). "Vance leaves the cat and dog claims behind as he battles Walz over immigration". NPR. Archived from the original on October 7, 2024. Retrieved 2024-10-07.
  20. ^ Sheeler, Andrew (2024-10-02). "A Donald Trump mass deportation of immigrants would cost hundreds of billions, report says". Sacramento Bee. Archived from the original on October 2, 2024. Retrieved 2024-10-02.
  21. ^ Tomasky, Michael (October 14, 2024). "The Media Has Three Weeks to Learn How to Tell the Truth About Trump". The New Republic. ISSN 0028-6583. Retrieved 2024-10-29.
  22. ^ "Trump says he will make 'provisions' for mixed-status families but doesn't rule out separations with mass deportations". NBC News. 2024-08-22. Retrieved 2024-10-13.
  23. ^ "How many U.S. families could be affected by Trump's vows to do mass deportations?". NBC News. 2024-05-02. Retrieved 2024-10-13.
  24. ^ a b Brownstein, Ronald (February 8, 2024). "Trump's 'Knock on the Door'". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on February 10, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  25. ^ Graziosi, Graig (September 8, 2024). "Trump says his plan to expel millions of immigrants will be a 'bloody story'". The Independent. Archived from the original on September 15, 2024. Retrieved September 15, 2024.
  26. ^ Colvin, Jill (November 12, 2023). "Trump's plans if he returns to the White House include deportation raids, tariffs and mass firings". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 10, 2023. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
  27. ^ Oliphant, James; Slattery, Gram (April 24, 2024). "Trump's second-term agenda: deportations, trade wars, drug dealer death penalty". Reuters. Archived from the original on December 5, 2023. Retrieved April 27, 2024.
  28. ^ Trump vows to hire more Border Patrol agents and increase pay Veronica Stracqualursi and Alayna Treene, October 13, 2024, CNN
  29. ^ a b "Trump says there's 'no price tag' for his mass deportation plan". NBC New York. 7 November 2024. Retrieved 7 November 2024. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |authors= ignored (help)
  30. ^ "How would mass deportation of migrants under Trump actually work?". NBC News. 16 July 2024. Retrieved 7 November 2024. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |authors= ignored (help)
  31. ^ Liu, Nicholas (2024-11-08). ""Unprecedented opportunity": For-profit prison execs salivate at potential mass deportation camps". Salon. Retrieved 2024-11-08.
  32. ^ Dennis, Steven (2024-11-07). "Private Prison Stocks Soar After Trump Win on Deportation Plans". Bloomberg. Retrieved 2024-11-08.
  33. ^ Cerullo, Megan (2024-11-07). "Could prison companies get a boost from Trump's immigration policies?". CBS News. Retrieved 2024-11-08.
  34. ^ Hetzner, Christiaan. "Trump's election win sends private prisons stocks soaring as investors anticipate hard crackdown on migration". Fortune. Retrieved 2024-11-08.
  35. ^ Ramirez, Nikki McCann (2024-11-25). "Trump Border Czar: States That Don't 'Cooperate' With Deportations Will See Funding Cut". Rolling Stone. Retrieved 2024-11-27.
  36. ^ Robles, Justo (7 November 2024). "Fear in undocumented communities over Trump's mass deportation threats". the Guardian. Retrieved 8 November 2024.
  37. ^ "Trump's deportation vow alarms Texas construction industry". NPR. November 23, 2024.
  38. ^ a b Abadi, Cameron; Tooze, Adam (2024-11-18). "The Economic Impact of Trump's Planned Tariffs and Deportations". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 2024-11-18.
  39. ^ Rahman, Billal (2024-11-18). "Donald Trump's deportation plan causes 'panic' among farmers". Newsweek. Retrieved 2024-11-18.
  40. ^ a b Mello-Klein, Cody (2024-11-18). "Mass deportations are a day one priority for Trump. Economists explain how it could lead to a recession". Northeastern Global News. Retrieved 2024-11-18.
  41. ^ Hutzler, Alexandra (2024-11-18). "Trump confirms plan to declare national emergency, use military for mass deportations". ABC News. Retrieved 2024-11-18.
[edit]
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Planned_mass_deportation_of_illegal_immigrants_under_the_second_presidency_of_Donald_Trump&oldid=1262586043"