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Opinion polling for the 2025 Polish presidential election

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During the months leading up to the 2025 Polish presidential election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 28 June 2020, to the present day. The next presidential election is scheduled to be held on 18 May 2025, with a potential second round on 1 June 2025.[1]

Graphical summary

[edit]
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round.
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round.

First round

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Hołownia
PL2050
Biejat
NL
Zandberg
Razem
Mentzen
Confederation
Braun
KKP
Jakubiak
WR
Woch
BS
Szumlewicz
Ind.
Others Don't know Lead
SW Research / Wprost 20–21 Jan 2025 17.0 32.9 6.9 3.4 2.7 13.1 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.9 2.0[a] 17.7 15.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 16–19 Jan 2025 1,000 28.9 35.0 8.9 5.0 0.7 11.5 2.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 6.4 6.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 27 37 11 3 2 14 3 1 1 1 10
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Jan 2025 1,000 22 32 9 2 2 10 2 0 1 3[b] 15 10
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 2025 1,000 29.0 34.2 6.7 4.6 1.5 13.0 1.2 0.0 0.2 7.6 5.2
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 2025 1,000 22.6 29.8 7.2 2.9 0.4 13.2 1.4 0.5 1.0 4.6 15.6 7.2
CBOS 7–8 Jan 2025 1,000 31 35 6 3 2 12 2 0 0 1 7 4
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 2024 1,000 28.8 36.2 10.2 5.8 10.1 1.3 7.6 7.4
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19–21 Dec 2024 1,000 26.2 35.7 10.1 6.1 9.6 1.6 0.0 10.8 9.5
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec 2024 22 35 8 5 14 3 0 1[c] 12 13
Opinia24 / RMF FM Dec 2024 1,000 23.3 38.6 7.4 2.6 10.7 1.3 6.6 9.5 15.3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Dec 2024 1,005 28.70 41.96 10.67 3.26 12.68 2.73 13.26
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 2024 1,000 30.3 36.9 7.9 4.8 7.3 0.5 12.3 6.6
SW Research / Wprost Nov 2024 13.1 38.6 8.5 11.8 3.7 24.2 25.5
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 2024 26 41 9 12 8 4 15

Hypothetical polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling before confirmed candidates
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Błaszczak
PiS
Bocheński
PiS
Czarnek
PiS
Jaki
PiS
Morawiecki
PiS
Nawrocki
PiS
Witek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Trzaskowski
PO
Tusk
PO
Hołownia
PL2050
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
NL
Dziemianowicz-Bąk
NL
Biejat
Razem/NL
Zandberg
Razem
Bosak
Confederation
Mentzen
Confederation
Jakubiak
WR
Others Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 21 35 10 4 11 4 15 14
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 2024 1,000 24.5 40.4 9.2 7.5 10.7 2.2 5.5 15.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 27.8 35.8 10.9 5.1 9.9 10.5 8.0
28.9 32.3 12.0 6.7 9.8 10.3 3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Nov 2024 1,000 27.2 34.8 10.6 6.5 10.7 2.2 8.0 7.6
27.5 29.4 10.5 8.5 11.5 2.0 10.6 1.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Oct 2024 1,000 26.6 39.4 11.4 5.9 9.3 7.4 12.8
26.0 25.5 15.1 8.5 13.0 11.9 0.5
IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita 11–12 Oct 2024 1,071 22.2 34.2 10.2 7.7 8.6 3.7[d] 13.4 12.0
IBRiS / Onet 10 Sep 2024 1,000 26.4 33.0 8.8 4.9 8.4 4.1[e] 14.3 6.6
23.8 32.9 8.6 4.9 8.1 7.6[f] 14.0 9.1
17.2 34.8 8.8 4.9 9.2 7.3[g] 17.7 17.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jul 2024 1,000 27.6 32.4 11.2 7.9 15.6 5.3 4.8
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 26–28 Jul 2024 1,000 29.3 34.8 10.1 8.4 7.9 2.0 7.4 5.5
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 27 33 11 7 13 9 6
28 32 11 6 15 8 4
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Jun 2024 1,000 24.8 29.2 13.6 2.6 6.6 7.1[h] 16.1 4.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 May 2024 1,000 25.6 29.2 10.2 3.4 7.9 8.2[i] 15.5 3.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 May 2024 1,000 25.5 29.6 13.8 4.4 9.3 17.4 4.1
OGB / Stan Polityki 22–25 Apr 2024 804 7.20 26.15 29.34 5.77 12.74 3.42 1.22 1.55 6.71 5.90 3.19
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–7 Apr 2024 1,000 22.4 29.0 17.1 3.3 3.8 4.7 8.6[j] 11.2 6.6
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 22–26 Feb 2024 1,000 25 26 16 4 10 3[k] 9 1
United Surveys / WP.pl 23–25 Feb 2024 1,000 25.9 30.8 23.1 4.5 8.0 7.7 4.9
Pollster / SE.pl 11 Feb 2024 1,060 20.92 32.53 25.21 5.45 2.65 7.66 5.58[l] 7.32
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–11 Feb 2024 1,000 24.3 22.2 24.8 1.3 1.9 6.5 9.0[m] 10.0 0.5
IBRiS / Radio Zet 9–10 Feb 2024 1,070 16.1 28.3 24.0 5.2[n] 26.4 4.3
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 Jan 2024 1,070 24.9 25.8 24.6 4.3 3.5 8.0 8.9 0.9
Pollster / SE.pl 17 Dec 2023 1,033 27 30 20 5 18 3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 8–10 Dec 2023 1,000 2.6 9.9 1.2 24.5 0.9 11.9 1.2 2.7 2.2 1.6 33.1[o] 6.6 12.6
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Nov 2023 29.9 34.6 11.7 6.3 7.2 1.5[p] 8.9 4.7
21.4 25.6 16.7 8.6 8.0 8.0 11.7 4.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 2023 1,000 19.0 33.8 13.4 4.5 8.3 18.3[q] 2.7 14.8

Second round

[edit]
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round.
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round.

Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Abstain Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 16–19 Jan 2025 1,000 37.5 48.2 6.4 7.8 10.7
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 46 54 8
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Jan 2025 1,000 29 42 16 9 13
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 2025 1,000 44.5 50.3 5.2 5.8
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 2025 1,000 38.7 47.9 13.3 9.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 2024 1,000 35.9 56.9 6.5 1.4 21.0
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec 2024 34 42 12 12 8
Opinia24 / RMF FM Dec 2024 1,000 34.1 48.9 17.0 14.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 2024 1,000 41.2 50.3 6.1 2.4 9.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 42 58 16
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 2024 41 52 7 11
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 2024 1,000 33.7 55.9 6.8 3.6 22.2
IBRiS / "Rz" 22–23 Nov 2024 1,068 26.2 49.7 12.3 11.8 23.5
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 36.4 49.99 13.8 13.61
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 37.6 55.8 6.6 18.2

Hołownia v. Nawrocki

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Nawrocki
PiS
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 54 46 8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 58 42 16

Hołownia v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 34 66 32
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 33 67 34
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 29.5 51.6 18.9 22.1

Mentzen v. Nawrocki

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mentzen
Confederation
Nawrocki
PiS
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 47 53 6

Mentzen v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mentzen
Confederation
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 43 57 14

Hypothetical polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling with different PiS candidate

Bocheński v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Bocheński
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
OGB / Stan Polityki 22–25 Apr 2024 804 44.59 55.41 10.82

Czarnek v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 35.2 50.9 15.9 15.7

Jaki v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jaki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 39 49 12 10

Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Morawiecki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 38 48 14 10
Pollster 15 Jun 2024 38 62 24

PiS candidate v. Trzaskowski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 39.2 58.5 2.3 19.3
IPSOS / PO ? ? 36 53 8 17
Hypothetical polling with Radosław Sikorski as KO candidate

Nawrocki v. Sikorski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 36.3 46.7 16.9 10.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 38.3 54.1 7.6 15.8

Czarnek v. Sikorski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 35.3 46.5 18.3 11.2

PiS candidate v. Sikorski

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 42.4 54.9 2.7 12.5

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Joanna Senyszyn – 1.1, Katarzyna Cichos – 0.9
  2. ^ Katarzyna Cichos (ind.) – 2
  3. ^ Romuald Starosielec (RNP) – 0
  4. ^ Paulina Matysiak (Razem) – 3.7
  5. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 4.1
  6. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.6
  7. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.3
  8. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 7.1
  9. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 8.2
  10. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 8.6
  11. ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
  12. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
  13. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 9.0
  14. ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 0.2
  15. ^ Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
  16. ^ Joanna Scheuring-Wielgus (NL) – 1.5
  17. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 7.7

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Marszałek Sejmu ogłosił datę wyborów prezydenckich" [Marshal of the Sejm announced the presidential election day]. Polska Agencja Prasowa (in Polish). 8 January 2025. Archived from the original on 12 January 2025. Retrieved 13 January 2025.
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