Draft:2025 Atlantic hurricane season
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| 2025 Atlantic hurricane season | |
|---|---|
| Seasonal boundaries | |
| First system formed | Season not started |
| Last system dissipated | Season not started |
| Seasonal statistics | |
| Total fatalities | Unknown |
| Total damage | Unknown |
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is the future event for the annual Atlantic hurricane season for the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially begins on June 1, 2025, and ends on November 30, 2025. Those dates, adopted by convention, describe the period in which most subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the Atlantic Ocean (over 97%). The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will begin issuing routine Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2025, about two weeks prior to the seasons official beginning date.
Seasonal forecasts
[edit]| Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes |
Ref |
| Average (1991–2020) | 14.4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | [1] | |
| Record high activity | 30 | 15 | 7† | [2] | |
| Record low activity | 1 | 0† | 0† | [2] | |
| TSR | December 11, 2024 | 15 | 7 | 3 | [3] |
| Actual activity | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| * June–November only † Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all) | |||||
In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office, and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the amount of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular season.
According to NOAA and CSU, the average hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 contained about 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 and higher), as well as an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 72-111 units. Broadly speaking, ACE is the measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical cyclone multiplied by the length of time it existed. ACE is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical or subtropical cyclones reaching wind speeds of 39 mph (63 km/h) or higher. NOAA typically describes a season as above-average, average, or below-average depending on the cumulative ACE index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes or major hurricanes can also be considered.
Pre-season forecasts
[edit]On December 11, 2024, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released their extended range outlook for the 2025 season, which predicted a near-average season of 15 tropical storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes, as well as an ACE index of 129 units. They took into account slightly warmer than usual sea surface temperatures (SST) throughout the basin, specifically in the Main Development Region (MDR) and Caribbean Sea on top of an ENSO that would slightly trend towards a neutral El Niño phase by summer 2025.
Storm names
[edit]The following list of names is for all storms that will form in the basin during 2025. This was the same list used in the 2019 season with the exception of Dexter, which replaced |Dorian. Names retired, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in the spring of 2026; any names that are not retired will be used again for the 2031 season.
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Season effects
[edit]The following is a table of all of the storms that formed in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, intensities, areas affected, damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2025 USD.
| Saffir–Simpson scale | ||||||
| TD | TS | C1 | C2 | C3 | C4 | C5 |
| Storm name |
Dates active | Storm category at peak intensity |
Max 1-min wind mph (km/h) |
Min. press. (mbar) |
Areas affected | Damage (USD) |
Deaths | Ref(s) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season aggregates | ||||||||||
| 0 systems | Season not started | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
- ^ "Background Information: North Atlantic Hurricane Season". College Park, Maryland: Climate Prediction Center. April 9, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
- ^ a b "North Atlantic Ocean Historical Tropical Cyclone Statistics". Fort Collins, Colorado: Colorado State University. Retrieved July 18, 2023.
- ^ Wood, Nick (December 10, 2024). "Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2025" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Retrieved December 10, 2024.